6710 36th Ave E #192 · Ellenton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well kept home in the popular community of Shadow Brook. All ages and pets are welcome! Nicely kept home with new a/c in 2017, new Florida anchor & barrior in 2013, new plumbing & water heater in 2017. Large screen porch with deep utility shed & w/ d off of carport area. Additional sunny Florida room is great for relaxing or crafting! Very large living room, separate dining room along with a breakfast bar in the kitchen. 2nd bedroom offers a full bath with a separate door to home entrance Light and bright home with lots of storage.
Key facts
- Pet friendly park
- Large library
- Pool table
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $876 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 4.5% in Ellenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#232 in FL, #3,666 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: James Tillman Elementary Magnet School (math 65% / reading 34%, grade D, #1,088 of 2,144 statewide, top 53%, 520 students, 74% FRL); Palmetto High School (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #456 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 2,100 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 51% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 39% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Manatee average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 1160 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.52%
- DSCR
- 2.76
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $161,280
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6710 36th Ave E #359 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,327 (-1%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $113 | 89 |
| 6710 36th Ave E #8 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,400 (+4%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $136 | 87 |
| 6710 36th Ave E #176 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 11mo | $190,000 | $141 | 87 |
| 6710 36th Ave E #241 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,280 (-5%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $94 | 86 |
| 6710 36th Ave E #312 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,320 (-2%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $98 | 84 |
| 6710 36th Ave E #269 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,292 (-4%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $58 | 83 |
| 6710 36th Ave E #287 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,421 (+6%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $120 | 82 |
| 6710 36th Ave E #271 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,446 (+8%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $145 | 79 |
| 6710 36th Ave E #109 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $94 | 73 |
| 6710 36th Ave E #222 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,211 (-10%) | 10mo | $148,000 | $122 | 71 |
| 6710 36th Ave E #37 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $109 | 66 |
| 6710 36th Ave E #323 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $143 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $34,089
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 37.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.90×
- Total profit
- $77,176
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34221
- Rents YoY
- -3.0%
- Active inventory
- 1160
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,209 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$115 /mo · $1,382/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$216
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$464
- Net cashflow
- $876
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $930 | -5% $903 | +0% $876 | +5% $849 | +10% $822 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $702 | -5% $789 | +0% $876 | +5% $963 | +10% $1,050 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $924 | -0.5pp $900 | base $876 | +0.5pp $851 | +1.0pp $826 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6010 33rd Dr E Palmetto, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1287 | $2,115 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3303 54th St E Palmetto, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $2,000 | $1.56 | 4d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 9940 Mahaffey DR Palmetto, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1106 | $1,700 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6045 Bird Key Pl Palmetto, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 986 | $2,005 | $2.03 | 4d | 220 | 0.88mi |
| 5029 Rocky Coast Pl Palmetto, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $2,400 | $1.62 | 11d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4014 84th Ct E Palmetto, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1555 | $2,516 | $1.62 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5185 Rocky Coast Pl Palmetto, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1529 | $2,450 | $1.60 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4117 84th Ct E Palmetto, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $2,466 | $1.70 | 22d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5413 Badini Way Palmetto, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $2,550 | $1.80 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $216 · $2,592/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-03-31status Pending
-
2026-03-10$95,000 Active
-
2019-04-18soldstatus $85,000
-
2019-04-16soldstatus $85,000 Sold 555-char remark
Show marketing remark (555 chars)
Well kept home in the popular community of Shadow Brook. All ages and pets are welcome! Nicely kept home with new a/c in 2017, new Florida anchor & barrior in 2013, new plumbing & water heater in 2017. Large screen porch with deep utility shed & w/ d off of carport area. Additional sunny Florida room is great for relaxing or crafting! Very large living room, separate dining room along with a breakfast bar in the kitchen. 2nd bedroom offers a full bath with a separate door to home entrance Light and bright home with lots of storage.
-
2019-03-16status Pending 555-char remark
Show marketing remark (555 chars)
Well kept home in the popular community of Shadow Brook. All ages and pets are welcome! Nicely kept home with new a/c in 2017, new Florida anchor & barrior in 2013, new plumbing & water heater in 2017. Large screen porch with deep utility shed & w/ d off of carport area. Additional sunny Florida room is great for relaxing or crafting! Very large living room, separate dining room along with a breakfast bar in the kitchen. 2nd bedroom offers a full bath with a separate door to home entrance Light and bright home with lots of storage.
-
2018-12-03$90,000 Active 555-char remark
Show marketing remark (555 chars)
Well kept home in the popular community of Shadow Brook. All ages and pets are welcome! Nicely kept home with new a/c in 2017, new Florida anchor & barrior in 2013, new plumbing & water heater in 2017. Large screen porch with deep utility shed & w/ d off of carport area. Additional sunny Florida room is great for relaxing or crafting! Very large living room, separate dining room along with a breakfast bar in the kitchen. 2nd bedroom offers a full bath with a separate door to home entrance Light and bright home with lots of storage.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,382 · $115/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,382 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,506
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,382
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,120
- − Management
- −$2,120
- − HOA
- −$2,592
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $9,730
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,335
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,177/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ellenton
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #232
- US rank
- #3666
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- City population
- 14,819
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,208
- Household income
- $77,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1193.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 22% Black 14% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -383.53%
- Current HPI
- 302.1458
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.98%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+5.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-10 Listed $95,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2019-04-16 Sold (MLS) $85,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-16 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-03 Listed $90,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,382 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…