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37156 Alabama Dr
C- Composite 51.53
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$250,000

37156 Alabama Dr · Ocean View, DE 19945
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured · 10 Days on market
Built 2000 10,019 sqft lot $13/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Your summer home awaits you! Renovated 3 BD, 2 BA class C. New paint, dishwasher, carpet and screens in porch. Home features laminate floors, central AC, oil heat, storage shed, deck and enclosed porch, paved drive & central sewer.

Key facts

  • Peaceful wooded lot
  • New roof
  • Newer hvac system

Tags

PRIVATE BEACH RETREATPEACEFUL WOODED LOTNEWER HVAC SYSTEMNEW ROOFCOMFORTABLE ONE-LEVEL LIVING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: HOA fee $150 annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Above-grade finished area reported as 672 (assessor)
  • Construction: T-1-11 exterior siding
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Lot dimensions approximately 75 x 135; Ground rent paid annually

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump with electric backup; Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Living area reported by assessor; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($968/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (20.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $200k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 1.9% in Ocean View — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#27 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 281 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $103k; list at $250k implies a 143% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $200,000 (20.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.68%
Cash-on-cash
1.38%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.3%
Equity multiple
3.02×
Total profit
$141,184
Equity at exit
$225,220
10-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
6.88×
Total profit
$411,503
Equity at exit
$485,695

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19945

Home prices YoY
16.9%
Active inventory
281
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $854/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$13
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$81

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,898
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
30022 Center Point Rd Millville, DE 3.0 2.5 704 $2,000 $2.84 21d 1 1.25mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$13 · $156/yr
Likely covers
sewer

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $250,000 Pending 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-05-30
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-05-30
    listed $250,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$854 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,152 · $96/mo
Expected delta
+$298/yr (+$25/mo · 34.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,000
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$854
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,920
− Management
−$1,920
− HOA
−$156
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$3,376
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$810
After-tax cash flow
$1,778/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indian River School District
NCES district ID
1000680
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$53,838
Composite
28.99/100
National rank
#6620
State rank
#14 of 26 in DE

Livability — Ocean View

Score
69/100
State rank
#27
US rank
#8560

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,917

Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,853 people
By 2030
264,464 · +6.3%
By 2040
290,980 · +16.9%
By 2050
311,259 · +25.1%
By 2075
352,488 · +41.6%
By 2100
367,406 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Sussex

2024 margin
R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 46.51%
Current HPI
322.2407
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+127.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-07-16 Sold (MLS) $103,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-07-15 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-02-01 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $854 · -5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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