47386 Lily Ave · Bennett, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- ARV discount +6.4/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$420,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to easy one-level living in the heart of Bennett Crossing, where neighborhood comfort and everyday convenience come together beautifully. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style home offers 1,490 finished square feet with an open, practical layout designed for real life-whether that means quiet evenings at home, weekend gatherings, or keeping the daily routine running smoothly. Built in 2018, the home delivers the benefits of newer construction with a comfortable single-level floor plan, an attached 2-car garage, and a manageable yard that gives you outdoor space without creating a second job. One of the standout features is the location within the community. With neighborhood park and playground amenities nearby, this home offers the kind of setting buyers love: a place where kids can play, neighbors can connect, and outdoor time is easy to work into the day. Picnic areas, green space, and community amenities help create a welcoming feel that goes beyond the walls of the home. It is the kind of neighborhood where an evening walk or a quick trip to the playground can become part of the lifestyle-not an item on the calendar. Bennett continues to attract buyers looking for a quieter small-town atmosphere while still wanting access to modern conveniences. Nearby grocery, gas, dining, schools, parks, and commuter routes make day-to-day living simple, while the location offers reasonable access to I-70, DIA, Aurora, and the Denver metro area. Whether you are looking for your first home, simplifying into a ranch-style layout, or searching for a community-oriented setting with room to enjoy Colorado's open skies, this home checks the boxes. Comfortable, convenient, and set near the neighborhood amenities that make a house feel like home-47386 Lily Avenue is ready for its next chapter.
Key facts
- Playground amenities
- Community amenities
- Outdoor space
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association managed by Homestead Management Corp; Professionally managed; Monthly HOA fee of $52 ($624 annually); HOA includes grounds maintenance, recycling, snow removal, and trash; Community amenities: park, playground
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Total 2 parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Wired internet access
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; North-facing; Live/work compatible; Property unattached
- Construction: Cement siding, wood siding, frame, and rock exterior materials; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Private yard; Rain gutters; Front porch; Level lot (grassed)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Pantry; Laminate countertops
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fan(s); High-speed internet; Laminate countertops; Open floorplan; Pantry; Primary suite; Walk-in closet(s); No stairs
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry (washer and dryer included)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $420k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-417 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $346k (17.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $300k (28.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $300k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#263 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Bennett School District No. 29J (rural): math 13% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #69 of 86 in CO (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Bennett Preschool (71 students, 11% FRL); Bennett Middle School (math 8% / reading 42%, grade F, #168 of 270 statewide, top 63%, 304 students, 38% FRL); Bennett High School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #209 of 381 statewide, top 56%, 427 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 25% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 213 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,299 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (343 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $45k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Adams County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$72k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($414k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.25%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 11.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $409,750
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47385 Lily Ave | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,490 (0%) | 4mo | $397,500 | $267 | 95 |
| 47349 Lily Ave | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,490 (0%) | 4mo | $415,000 | $279 | 92 |
| 319 Walnut St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,490 (0%) | 1mo | $425,000 | $285 | 91 |
| 46577 Sunflower Ln | 0.62mi | 3/3.0 | 1,464 (-2%) | 3mo | $389,999 | $266 | 62 |
| 46585 Sunflower Ln | 0.61mi | 3/3.0 | 1,464 (-2%) | 4mo | $383,490 | $262 | 61 |
| 220 Mckinley Dr | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,482 (-0%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $219 | 57 |
| 845 Madison Way | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (-7%) | 4mo | $378,900 | $275 | 52 |
| 46526 Avery Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,643 (+10%) | 3mo | $419,990 | $256 | 48 |
| 46570 Avery Ln | 0.65mi | 3/3.0 | 1,643 (+10%) | 4mo | $404,999 | $246 | 45 |
| 46506 Avery Ln | 0.71mi | 3/3.0 | 1,311 (-12%) | 0mo | $377,605 | $288 | 43 |
| 46514 Avery Ln | 0.70mi | 3/3.0 | 1,311 (-12%) | 1mo | $370,000 | $282 | 42 |
| 46534 Avery Ln | 0.69mi | 3/3.0 | 1,311 (-12%) | 3mo | $359,990 | $275 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $202,172
- Equity at exit
- $378,369
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.24×
- Total profit
- $616,186
- Equity at exit
- $815,968
Cash invested: $117,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80102
- Home prices YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 213
- Price-to-rent
- 11.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,203
- Tax from tax record
- −$357 /mo · $4,287/yr
- Insurance
- −$175
- HOA
- −$52
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$630
- Net cashflow
- $-417
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-179 | -5% $-298 | +0% $-417 | +5% $-536 | +10% $-655 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-654 | -5% $-535 | +0% $-417 | +5% $-298 | +10% $-180 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-205 | -0.5pp $-310 | base $-417 | +0.5pp $-526 | +1.0pp $-636 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $105,000
- Closing costs
- $12,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 239 Adams St Bennett, CO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1653 | $3,000 | $1.81 | 26d | 1 | 0.18mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $52 · $624/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $420,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $420,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $420,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $420,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $420,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $420,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $420,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $420,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $420,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $420,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $420,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $420,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $420,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $420,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $420,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,287 · $357/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,287 · $357/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,527
- − Property taxes
- −$4,287
- − Insurance
- −$2,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,880
- − Management
- −$2,880
- − HOA
- −$624
- − Depreciation
- −$12,218
- Taxable loss
- −$12,516
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,004
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,998/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bennett School District No. 29J
- NCES district ID
- 0802430
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,795
- Composite
- 21.39/100
- National rank
- #8353
- State rank
- #69 of 86 in CO
Livability — Bennett
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #263
- US rank
- #19691
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bennett, CO
- City population
- 5,994
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,994
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 598,184 people
- By 2030
- 651,880 · +9.0%
- By 2040
- 759,778 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 862,889 · +44.3%
- By 2075
- 1,085,994 · +81.5%
- By 2100
- 1,211,318 · +102.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 11% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.0) · D 53.2% · R 44.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.3pp toward R · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.0 2020: D+16.3 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+15.1 2008: D+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.94%
- Current HPI
- 494.39
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+16.7% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $420,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-29 Listed $420,000 IRES
- 2022-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $440,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-11 Sold (MLS) $440,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-11 Sold (MLS) $440,000 IRES
- 2022-06-12 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-09 Listed $440,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-09 Listed $440,000 IRES
- 2021-09-11 Listing Removed — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-08 Relisted — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-31 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-31 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2021-08-25 Listed $415,000 IRES
- 2021-08-25 Listed $415,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-09 Sold (MLS) $352,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-08 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-05 Price Changed $352,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-07 Relisted — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-23 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-20 Price Changed $364,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-16 Relisted — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-22 Listing Removed — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-22 Listed $359,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+171.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,287 · -8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…