CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
47386 Lily Ave
D- Composite 38.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.4/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$420,000

47386 Lily Ave · Bennett, CO 80102
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,490 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 2018 6,202 sqft lot Est $410k · at est. $52/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to easy one-level living in the heart of Bennett Crossing, where neighborhood comfort and everyday convenience come together beautifully. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style home offers 1,490 finished square feet with an open, practical layout designed for real life-whether that means quiet evenings at home, weekend gatherings, or keeping the daily routine running smoothly. Built in 2018, the home delivers the benefits of newer construction with a comfortable single-level floor plan, an attached 2-car garage, and a manageable yard that gives you outdoor space without creating a second job. One of the standout features is the location within the community. With neighborhood park and playground amenities nearby, this home offers the kind of setting buyers love: a place where kids can play, neighbors can connect, and outdoor time is easy to work into the day. Picnic areas, green space, and community amenities help create a welcoming feel that goes beyond the walls of the home. It is the kind of neighborhood where an evening walk or a quick trip to the playground can become part of the lifestyle-not an item on the calendar. Bennett continues to attract buyers looking for a quieter small-town atmosphere while still wanting access to modern conveniences. Nearby grocery, gas, dining, schools, parks, and commuter routes make day-to-day living simple, while the location offers reasonable access to I-70, DIA, Aurora, and the Denver metro area. Whether you are looking for your first home, simplifying into a ranch-style layout, or searching for a community-oriented setting with room to enjoy Colorado's open skies, this home checks the boxes. Comfortable, convenient, and set near the neighborhood amenities that make a house feel like home-47386 Lily Avenue is ready for its next chapter.

Key facts

  • Playground amenities
  • Community amenities
  • Outdoor space

Tags

ONE LEVEL LIVINGNEIGHBORHOOD PARKPLAYGROUND AMENITIESOUTDOOR SPACECOMMUNITY AMENITIESREASONABLE ACCESS TO I-70

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association managed by Homestead Management Corp; Professionally managed; Monthly HOA fee of $52 ($624 annually); HOA includes grounds maintenance, recycling, snow removal, and trash; Community amenities: park, playground

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Total 2 parking spaces
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Wired internet access
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; North-facing; Live/work compatible; Property unattached
  • Construction: Cement siding, wood siding, frame, and rock exterior materials; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Rain gutters; Front porch; Level lot (grassed)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Pantry; Laminate countertops
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fan(s); High-speed internet; Laminate countertops; Open floorplan; Pantry; Primary suite; Walk-in closet(s); No stairs
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry (washer and dryer included)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $420k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-417 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $346k (17.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $300k (28.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $300k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#263 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bennett School District No. 29J (rural): math 13% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #69 of 86 in CO (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Bennett Preschool (71 students, 11% FRL); Bennett Middle School (math 8% / reading 42%, grade F, #168 of 270 statewide, top 63%, 304 students, 38% FRL); Bennett High School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #209 of 381 statewide, top 56%, 427 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 25% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 213 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,299 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (343 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $45k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Adams County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$72k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($414k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $300,000 (28.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.10%
Cash-on-cash
-4.25%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$409,750
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
47385 Lily Ave 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,490 (0%) 4mo $397,500 $267 95
47349 Lily Ave 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,490 (0%) 4mo $415,000 $279 92
319 Walnut St 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,490 (0%) 1mo $425,000 $285 91
46577 Sunflower Ln 0.62mi 3/3.0 1,464 (-2%) 3mo $389,999 $266 62
46585 Sunflower Ln 0.61mi 3/3.0 1,464 (-2%) 4mo $383,490 $262 61
220 Mckinley Dr 0.75mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,482 (-0%) 2mo $325,000 $219 57
845 Madison Way 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,380 (-7%) 4mo $378,900 $275 52
46526 Avery Ln 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,643 (+10%) 3mo $419,990 $256 48
46570 Avery Ln 0.65mi 3/3.0 1,643 (+10%) 4mo $404,999 $246 45
46506 Avery Ln 0.71mi 3/3.0 1,311 (-12%) 0mo $377,605 $288 43
46514 Avery Ln 0.70mi 3/3.0 1,311 (-12%) 1mo $370,000 $282 42
46534 Avery Ln 0.69mi 3/3.0 1,311 (-12%) 3mo $359,990 $275 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$202,172
Equity at exit
$378,369
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
6.24×
Total profit
$616,186
Equity at exit
$815,968

Cash invested: $117,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 80102

Home prices YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
213
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,203
Tax from tax record
$357 /mo · $4,287/yr
Insurance
$175
HOA
$52
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$630
Net cashflow
$-417

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,528
Max offer price $346,373
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-179 -5% $-298 +0% $-417 +5% $-536 +10% $-655
Rent -10% $-654 -5% $-535 +0% $-417 +5% $-298 +10% $-180
Rate -1.0pp $-205 -0.5pp $-310 base $-417 +0.5pp $-526 +1.0pp $-636

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$105,000
Closing costs
$12,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
239 Adams St Bennett, CO 3.0 2.5 1653 $3,000 $1.81 26d 1 0.18mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$52 · $624/yr
Likely covers
gas

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $420,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $420,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $420,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $420,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $420,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $420,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $420,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $420,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $420,000 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $420,000 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $420,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $420,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $420,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $420,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $420,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,287 · $357/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,287 · $357/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,000
− Mortgage interest
−$23,527
− Property taxes
−$4,287
− Insurance
−$2,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,880
− Management
−$2,880
− HOA
−$624
− Depreciation
−$12,218
Taxable loss
−$12,516
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,004
After-tax cash flow
$-1,998/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bennett School District No. 29J
NCES district ID
0802430
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$69,795
Composite
21.39/100
National rank
#8353
State rank
#69 of 86 in CO

Livability — Bennett

Score
59/100
State rank
#263
US rank
#19691

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime A- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bennett, CO
City population
5,994
Population (ZIP)
5,994

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
598,184 people
By 2030
651,880 · +9.0%
By 2040
759,778 · +27.0%
By 2050
862,889 · +44.3%
By 2075
1,085,994 · +81.5%
By 2100
1,211,318 · +102.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 11% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.0) · D 53.2% · R 44.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
-9.3pp toward R · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 9.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.0 2020: D+16.3 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+15.1 2008: D+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.94%
Current HPI
494.39
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+16.7% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $420,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $420,000 IRES
  • 2022-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $440,000 Public Records
  • 2022-07-11 Sold (MLS) $440,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-11 Sold (MLS) $440,000 IRES
  • 2022-06-12 Pending REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-09 Listed $440,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-09 Listed $440,000 IRES
  • 2021-09-11 Listing Removed REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-09-08 Relisted REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-31 Pending REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-31 Listing Removed IRES
  • 2021-08-25 Listed $415,000 IRES
  • 2021-08-25 Listed $415,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-11-09 Sold (MLS) $352,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-08 Pending REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-05 Price Changed $352,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-08-07 Relisted REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-23 Pending REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-20 Price Changed $364,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-16 Relisted REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-06-22 Listing Removed REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-06-22 Listed $359,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+171.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,287 · -8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…