5120 W Courtland Ave · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy 2 bedroom ranch on a quiet block. . Plenty of interior updates. New flooring in the living room and kitchen. New carpet in the bedrooms, walk in closet, rec room and lower bonus room. New bathroom vanity, paint, and light fixtures. 2017 Roof , 2018 Water Heater. 2013 Furnace. Off street parking slab. Low Taxes. Why rent when you can own for less. Being sold ''As IS''
Key facts
- Finished rec room
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer
- Home design: 1.5-story single-family home; Approximately 1001-1250 sq. ft. (est. 807 above grade, 400 finished below grade)
- Construction: Aluminum/steel and wood siding
- Exterior features: Aluminum and wood exterior; Lot under 1/2 acre (approx. 0.1 acre); Zoned residential
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level — 11 x 10; Oven; Refrigerator; Kitchen appliances included
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Main) — 13 x 8; Second bedroom (Main) — 12 x 7
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heat
- Interior features: Finished full basement; Bonus room on the lower level; Living room on the main level; Family room on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $120k implies a 900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.44%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $150,861
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -20.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-10,226
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $12,241
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53218
- Home prices YoY
- -19.0%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,278 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$234 /mo · $2,811/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $96
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $164 | -5% $130 | +0% $96 | +5% $62 | +10% $28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-5 | -5% $46 | +0% $96 | +5% $147 | +10% $197 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $157 | -0.5pp $127 | base $96 | +0.5pp $65 | +1.0pp $34 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4640 N 51st Blvd Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,275 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 4852 N 48th St Unit 4852 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $995 | $1.20 | 2d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4727 N 46th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,700 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 4703 N 45th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1031 | $1,695 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4702 N 44th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,850 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 4479A N 44th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $895 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5050 N 47th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4610 W Eggert Pl #4612 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,095 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 5165-5167 N 45th St Unit 5165 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 17d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 6518 W Hampton Ave Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4661 N 38th St Unit 4661 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $845 | $0.84 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4572 N 38th St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4651 N 36th St #4 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $945 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3925 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,400 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3890 N Sherman Blvd Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4153 N 68th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,700 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5435 N 40th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3925 N 41st St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $845 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4843 N 72nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,485 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5688 N 56th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,445 | $1.70 | 13d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5657 N 60th St #5659 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $995 | $1.13 | 17d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5237 N 34th St Unit 5237 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,350 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5032 N 32nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,750 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 6221 W Thurston Ave #6223 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 20d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5659 N 64th St Unit 5659A Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7348 W Medford Ave Unit 7348A Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $950 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5137 W Keefe Ave Unit 5137 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 6026 W Carmen Ave Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,195 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3871-3873 N 36th St Unit 3871 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 987 | $950 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 4060 N 73rd St Apt 2 Milwaukee, WI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 5830 N 61st St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,450 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-13$120,000 Active 581-char remark
-
2021-07-03historical 374-char remark
Show marketing remark (374 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom ranch on a quiet block. . Plenty of interior updates. New flooring in the living room and kitchen. New carpet in the bedrooms, walk in closet, rec room and lower bonus room. New bathroom vanity, paint, and light fixtures. 2017 Roof , 2018 Water Heater. 2013 Furnace. Off street parking slab. Low Taxes. Why rent when you can own for less. Being sold ''As IS''
-
2021-04-13historical Contingent 374-char remark
Show marketing remark (374 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom ranch on a quiet block. . Plenty of interior updates. New flooring in the living room and kitchen. New carpet in the bedrooms, walk in closet, rec room and lower bonus room. New bathroom vanity, paint, and light fixtures. 2017 Roof , 2018 Water Heater. 2013 Furnace. Off street parking slab. Low Taxes. Why rent when you can own for less. Being sold ''As IS''
-
2021-04-02$74,900 Active 374-char remark
Show marketing remark (374 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom ranch on a quiet block. . Plenty of interior updates. New flooring in the living room and kitchen. New carpet in the bedrooms, walk in closet, rec room and lower bonus room. New bathroom vanity, paint, and light fixtures. 2017 Roof , 2018 Water Heater. 2013 Furnace. Off street parking slab. Low Taxes. Why rent when you can own for less. Being sold ''As IS''
-
2014-04-01soldstatus $12,000
-
2001-03-19soldstatus $26,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,811 · $234/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,811 · $234/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,339
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$2,811
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,227
- − Management
- −$1,227
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$738
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$177
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,333/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,196
- Household income
- $45,642
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2421.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% Asian 10% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Philippines, Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 7% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.44%
- Current HPI
- 325.1975
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.29%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+361.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Pending — METROMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $120,000 METROMLS
- 2021-07-03 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2021-04-13 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2021-04-02 Listed $74,900 METROMLS
- 2014-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
- 2001-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2024): $2,811 · +218.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…