5775 Sunnybrook Ct #28 · Loveland, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Take a look. Its breathtaking. Vacant and Move in Ready. Romantic Gas Fireplace in the Dramatic Step Down Living Room. Gorgeous Glass Buffet & Cupboards. The list goes on and on. Its a must see.
Key facts
- Pet friendly park
- Gas fireplace
- Natural light
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Annual tax information available
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No designated parking features
- Utilities: City water (meter installed); Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured in park; Mobile home; Bonnavilla model
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Fenced; Land lease; Storage structure; Ramp access
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Open floor plan; Gas fireplace with gas log; Fire alarm
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $86k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $86k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 2.9% in Loveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#52 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime C-, commute F, cost of living F.
- Thompson School District R-2J (suburban): math 28% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #28 of 86 in CO (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cottonwood Plains Elementary School (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #634 of 966 statewide, top 67%, 386 students, 52% FRL); Lucile Erwin Middle School (math 18% / reading 35%, grade F, #160 of 270 statewide, top 60%, 712 students, 36% FRL); Loveland High School (math 35% / reading 71%, grade C-, #88 of 381 statewide, top 23%, 1,525 students, 28% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 430 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $591 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $86k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.17%
- DSCR
- 3.37
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $95,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 420 E 57th St #297 | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,078 (-4%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $102 | 80 |
| 5816 Lake View Ct | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+9%) | 6mo | $39,000 | $32 | 79 |
| 420 E 57th Street #223 | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-6%) | 3mo | $99,000 | $94 | 78 |
| 420 E 57th St #163 | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,216 (+9%) | 5mo | $109,000 | $90 | 64 |
| 221 W 57th St Unit 90A | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+14%) | 0mo | $42,000 | $33 | 62 |
| 605 W 57th St #6 | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,088 (-3%) | 1mo | $81,000 | $74 | 60 |
| 605 W 57th St #34 | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,088 (-3%) | 2mo | $74,999 | $69 | 59 |
| 605 W 57th St #20 | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,088 (-3%) | 6mo | $86,200 | $79 | 56 |
| 605 W 57th St #42 | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-6%) | 2mo | $89,900 | $85 | 54 |
| 605 W 57th St | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-6%) | 2mo | $89,900 | $85 | 54 |
| 221 W 57th St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+14%) | 0mo | $42,000 | $33 | 51 |
| 605 W 57th St #64 | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,024 (-9%) | 1mo | $89,000 | $87 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $53,911
- Equity at exit
- $12,748
- IRR
- 56.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.63×
- Total profit
- $134,774
- Equity at exit
- $7,392
Cash invested: $23,940 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80538
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 430
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,990 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$448
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $328/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$418
- Net cashflow
- $1,061
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,109 | -5% $1,085 | +0% $1,061 | +5% $1,037 | +10% $1,012 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $904 | -5% $982 | +0% $1,061 | +5% $1,139 | +10% $1,218 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,104 | -0.5pp $1,083 | base $1,061 | +0.5pp $1,039 | +1.0pp $1,016 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,375
- Closing costs
- $2,565
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4950 Basswood Dr Unit 4952 Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,495 | $1.61 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4952 Basswood Dr Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,619 | $1.74 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 6444 Eden Garden Dr Loveland, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1033 | $2,200 | $2.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4927 Basswood Dr Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,695 | $1.88 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4885 Basswood Dr Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 894 | $1,595 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4838 Basswood Dr Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,433 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4832 Basswood Dr Unit 4838 Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4830 N Grant Ave Loveland, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 866 | $1,925 | $2.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1375 W 45th St Loveland, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1221 | $2,480 | $2.03 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $85,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $86,800 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $86,800 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $86,800 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $86,800 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $86,800 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $86,800
-
2026-04-01$87,500 Active
-
2016-08-23soldstatus $50,000 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Take a look. Its breathtaking. Vacant and Move in Ready. Romantic Gas Fireplace in the Dramatic Step Down Living Room. Gorgeous Glass Buffet & Cupboards. The list goes on and on. Its a must see.
-
2016-03-27$57,000 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Take a look. Its breathtaking. Vacant and Move in Ready. Romantic Gas Fireplace in the Dramatic Step Down Living Room. Gorgeous Glass Buffet & Cupboards. The list goes on and on. Its a must see.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $328 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $470 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- +$142/yr (+$12/mo · 43.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,881
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,789
- − Property taxes
- −$328
- − Insurance
- −$428
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,910
- − Management
- −$1,910
- − Depreciation
- −$2,487
- Taxable income
- $12,028
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,887
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,843/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thompson School District R-2J
- NCES district ID
- 0805400
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,040
- Composite
- 34.01/100
- National rank
- #5313
- State rank
- #28 of 86 in CO
Livability — Loveland
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #5353
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Larimer County · 338,255 people
- City population
- 94,535
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,110
- Household income
- $86,671
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1447.0
Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,361 people
- By 2030
- 457,762 · +10.2%
- By 2040
- 542,310 · +30.6%
- By 2050
- 627,048 · +51.0%
- By 2075
- 833,722 · +100.7%
- By 2100
- 952,590 · +129.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 10% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Larimer
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -515.25%
- Current HPI
- 242.9397
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.11%
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+52.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $86,800 IRES
- 2026-04-01 Listed $87,500 IRES
- 2016-08-23 Sold (MLS) $50,000 IRES
- 2016-03-27 Listed $57,000 IRES
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $328 · +296.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…