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607 Hill Ave
C- Composite 50.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$113,000

607 Hill Ave · Muscle Shoals, AL 35661
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,092 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 481 Days on market
Built 1953 7,405 sqft lot $103/sqft · 39% below area Est $185k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 Houses available. these houses are Across Woodward Ave from Captain D's then behind the Days Inn hotel. houses are between Woodward and John R st. GREAT LOCATION!! SUPER CONVENIENT. You can buy AS IS or Seller will do more updating. This one has 1092 sq ft. 2 bed 1 bath . Hardwood floors and detached carport. This has now been Painted throughout . Some flooring added. New fans and lights plugs and switches installed. One of the cheapest houses in Muscle Shoals City. More work on the agenda but will affect price. Looking at refinishing Hardwoods or installing new vinyl plank. Stop by and walk around and see what you think. If you like what you see call to see it.

Key facts

  • Painted throughout
  • Flooring added
  • Detached carport

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSDETACHED CARPORTPAINTED THROUGHOUTNEW FANS AND LIGHTSFLOORING ADDED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $113k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($440/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $90k (20.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $90k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.8% in Muscle Shoals — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#68 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Muscle Shoals City (urban): math 42% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #11 of 129 in AL (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 254 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 91 units permitted in Colbert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $781 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Colbert County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 481 days — a 12% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,900 (20.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 481 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.68%
Cash-on-cash
1.39%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$185,484
List price
$113,000
Delta
-39.08%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
611 Courtland Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,093 (+0%) 8mo $115,000 $105 68
608 Candler Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,140 (+4%) 8mo $224,000 $196 61
506 Lasalle Ave 0.28mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,209 (+11%) 14mo $175,000 $145 48
708 Elmhurst Ave 0.25mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,200 (+10%) 21mo $200,000 $167 48
800 Tyler Ave 0.75mi 2/2.0 1,208 (+11%) 23mo $179,900 $149 24
1004 Courtland Ave 0.73mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,238 (+13%) 24mo $125,000 $101 17

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-16,029
Equity at exit
$16,849
10-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-11,164
Equity at exit
$9,770

Cash invested: $31,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35661

Active inventory
254
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$899 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$593
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $407/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$189
Net cashflow
$37

Break-even live

Break-even rent $853
Max offer price $113,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $101 -5% $69 +0% $37 +5% $5 +10% $-27
Rent -10% $-34 -5% $1 +0% $37 +5% $72 +10% $108
Rate -1.0pp $94 -0.5pp $65 base $37 +0.5pp $7 +1.0pp $-22

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,250
Closing costs
$3,390
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
100 Brink Ct Sheffield, AL 2.0 2.0 1100 $899 $0.82 44d 5 1.36mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $113,000 Active 481 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $113,000 Active 480 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $113,000 Active 479 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $113,000 Active 478 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $113,000 Active 477 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $113,000 Active 475 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $113,000 Active 474 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $113,000 Active 472 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $113,000 Active 471 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $113,000 Active 470 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $113,000 Active 469 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $113,000 Active 466 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $113,000 Active 465 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $113,000 Active 464 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $113,000 Active 463 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $113,000 Active 462 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $113,000 Active 461 DOM
  18. 2025-02-24
    listed $113,000 Active 672-char remark
    Show marketing remark (672 chars)

    2 Houses available. these houses are Across Woodward Ave from Captain D's then behind the Days Inn hotel. houses are between Woodward and John R st. GREAT LOCATION!! SUPER CONVENIENT. You can buy AS IS or Seller will do more updating. This one has 1092 sq ft. 2 bed 1 bath . Hardwood floors and detached carport. This has now been Painted throughout . Some flooring added. New fans and lights plugs and switches installed. One of the cheapest houses in Muscle Shoals City. More work on the agenda but will affect price. Looking at refinishing Hardwoods or installing new vinyl plank. Stop by and walk around and see what you think. If you like what you see call to see it.

  19. 2024-07-03
    status Active
  20. 2024-06-07
    status Pending
  21. 2023-12-22
    price $113,000
  22. 2023-11-21
    status Active
  23. 2023-11-14
    status Pending
  24. 2023-08-22
    status Active
  25. 2023-08-08
    status Pending
  26. 2023-01-18
    listed $109,200 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$407 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$463 · $39/mo
Expected delta
+$57/yr (+$5/mo · 13.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,788
− Mortgage interest
−$6,330
− Property taxes
−$407
− Insurance
−$565
− Repairs & maintenance
−$863
− Management
−$863
− Depreciation
−$3,287
Taxable loss
−$1,527
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$366
After-tax cash flow
$806/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Muscle Shoals City
NCES district ID
0102520
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$50,688
Composite
43.61/100
National rank
#2969
State rank
#11 of 129 in AL

Livability — Muscle Shoals

Score
68/100
State rank
#68
US rank
#9422

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Muscle Shoals, AL
Population (ZIP)
18,957

Population outlook (Colbert County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
54,154 people
By 2030
53,746 · -0.8%
By 2040
52,431 · -3.2%
By 2050
50,303 · -7.1%
By 2075
44,789 · -17.3%
By 2100
36,676 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 14% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Colbert

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.4% · R 72.8%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: -20.3pp · 2024: -46.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.4 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+38.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.94%
Current HPI
174.6414
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2025-02-24 Listed $113,000 SAARMLS
  • 2024-07-03 Relisted SAARMLS
  • 2024-06-07 Pending SAARMLS
  • 2023-12-22 Price Changed $113,000 SAARMLS
  • 2023-11-21 Relisted SAARMLS
  • 2023-11-14 Pending SAARMLS
  • 2023-08-22 Relisted SAARMLS
  • 2023-08-08 Pending SAARMLS
  • 2023-01-18 Listed $109,200 SAARMLS

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $407 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…