11310 Hwy 24 · Centreville, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.7/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +0.6/10.0
$81,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 11310 Highway 24 in Centreville, Mississippi--a well-maintained, move-in ready home that checks all the boxes for affordability, convenience, and potential. This 3 bedroom, 1 bath brick home sits on a solid slab foundation and offers the kind of low-maintenance living that's perfect for a first-time buyer, downsizer, or investor looking for a reliable rental property. Inside, you'll find a clean and functional layout with comfortable living spaces and plenty of natural light. The home has been well cared for over the years, giving you confidence that you're stepping into a property that's been properly maintained. With just a few personal touches or updates, this place could easi
Key facts
- Manageable yard
- Brick construction
- 0.59 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; 1 carport space
- Utilities: Public sewer; Community water; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family house; One story; Brick construction; Built on a slab foundation
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Lot in a General Residence District
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Has fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $81k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($973 rent vs $81k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#277 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Wilkinson County School District (rural): math 4% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #124 of 130 in MS (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 95% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($560 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
- Wilkinson County population projected at -37% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.05%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.35% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $24,596
- Equity at exit
- $38,038
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.96×
- Total profit
- $67,090
- Equity at exit
- $59,909
Cash invested: $22,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39631
- Home prices YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $973 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$425
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$101 /mo · $1,215/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$204
- Net cashflow
- $209
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $265 | -5% $237 | +0% $209 | +5% $181 | +10% $153 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $132 | -5% $170 | +0% $209 | +5% $247 | +10% $286 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $250 | -0.5pp $229 | base $209 | +0.5pp $188 | +1.0pp $167 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,250
- Closing costs
- $2,430
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $81,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $81,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $81,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $81,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $81,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $81,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $81,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $81,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $81,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $81,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $81,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $81,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $81,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $81,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $81,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-03-19$81,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,676
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,537
- − Property taxes
- −$1,215
- − Insurance
- −$405
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$934
- − Management
- −$934
- − Depreciation
- −$2,356
- Taxable income
- $1,294
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$311
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,196/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include painting, updating the HVAC system, and landscaping.
Repairs flagged
- Major paint — peeling paint in some areas
- Moderate HVAC — basic setup
- Major landscaping — bare yard, no landscaping
Value-add opportunities
- Both painting and updating the interior — improves both resale and rental value
- Both upgrading HVAC system — enhances comfort and energy efficiency
- Both landscaping and curb appeal improvements — enhances curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| paint · peeling paint in some areas | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC · basic setup | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| landscaping · bare yard, no landscaping | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $33,000–115,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both painting and updating the interior — improves both resale and rental value ↑
- Both upgrading HVAC system — enhances comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Both landscaping and curb appeal improvements — enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wilkinson County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2804710
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,558
- Composite
- 5.57/100
- National rank
- #10025
- State rank
- #124 of 130 in MS
Livability — Centreville
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #277
- US rank
- #21497
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,346
Population outlook (Wilkinson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,916 people
- By 2030
- 7,289 · -7.9%
- By 2040
- 6,036 · -23.7%
- By 2050
- 4,978 · -37.1%
- By 2075
- 3,361 · -57.5%
- By 2100
- 2,387 · -69.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 28% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wilkinson
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.3) · D 62.0% · R 36.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.1pp toward R · 2008: 38.4pp · 2024: 25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.3 2020: D+34.5 2016: D+36.4 2012: D+39.3 2008: D+38.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.35%
- Current HPI
- 84.8886
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Listed $81,000 MLSU
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…