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14851 Jeffrey Rd #117
B- Composite 67.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -5.8

$236,500

14851 Jeffrey Rd #117 · Irvine, CA 92618
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 4 Days on market
Manufactured home likely 55+ (park) Built 1972 Good condition $164/sqft · 16% below area Est $281k · 16% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity is at Your Door! Corner lot with a great view of the clubhouse, colorful landscaping and guest parking. This lovely two bedrooms, two bathrooms about 1,440 SF, is looking for new owners. Spacious living room with cozy fireplace and large dining room. Compact kitchen offers lots of cabinets, deluxe appliances and a breakfast bar. Refrigerator and Washer + Dryer included. Slider in den opens to a good-sized porch. Primary suite has two large closets, step-in shower, and make-up vanity. Nice 2nd bedroom and guest bathroom. Newer windows, plantation shutters and Pergo-type flooring. Brick skirting, central air conditioning and storage shed for your extras.

Key facts

  • Guest parking
  • Lots of cabinets
  • Cozy fireplace

Tags

CORNER LOTGREAT VIEWCOLORFUL LANDSCAPINGGUEST PARKINGCOZY FIREPLACELOTS OF CABINETS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $236k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $734 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $236k).
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 1.3% in Irvine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#100 in CA, #3,537 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
  • Irvine Unified (urban): math 74% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #31 of 517 in CA (top 6%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Greentree Elementary (449 students, 30% FRL); Venado Middle (583 students, 20% FRL); Irvine High (math 70% / reading 74%, grade B+, #92 of 1,170 statewide, top 8%, 1,862 students, 21% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 621 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 78d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 85% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $236,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.02%
Cash-on-cash
13.31%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$280,789
List price
$236,500
Delta
-14.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14851 Jeffrey Rd #241 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 6mo $140,000 $97 94
14851 Jeffrey Rd #145 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (0%) 1mo $400,000 $278 93
14851 Jeffrey Rd #248 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,488 (+3%) 1mo $170,000 $114 93
14851 Jeffrey Rd #135 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 9mo $205,000 $142 92
14851 Jeffrey #334 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 10mo $178,000 $124 91
14851 Jeffrey Rd #184 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,547 (+7%) 2mo $325,000 $210 85
14851 Jeffrey Rd #17 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (0%) 11mo $297,000 $206 85
14851 Jeffrey Rd #25 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,536 (+7%) 9mo $195,000 $127 80
14851 Jeffrey Rd #38 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,540 (+7%) 6mo $268,000 $174 78
14851 Jeffrey Rd #352 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (+5%) 10mo $302,500 $200 77
14851 Jeffrey #269 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,608 (+12%) 3mo $356,000 $221 72
14851 Jeffrey #171 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,640 (+14%) 2mo $430,000 $262 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.64% appreciation · 2.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$44,564
Equity at exit
$76,367
10-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$128,277
Equity at exit
$98,187

Cash invested: $66,220 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
7 active · 9 under contract
Months of supply
4.7 mo (21%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$190,000 ($169/sqft)
Median days on market
42 d
This list price
71% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+15.5% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 92618

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
621
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,999 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,240
Tax est. 1.5%
$296 /mo · $3,548/yr
Insurance
$99
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$630
Net cashflow
$734

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,069
Max offer price $236,500
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $898 -5% $816 +0% $734 +5% $653 +10% $571
Rent -10% $498 -5% $616 +0% $734 +5% $853 +10% $971
Rate -1.0pp $854 -0.5pp $795 base $734 +0.5pp $673 +1.0pp $611

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,125
Closing costs
$7,095
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17 Deodar Irvine, CA 3.0 2.5 1647 $4,395 $2.67 59d 1 0.21mi
5224 Walnut Ave Irvine, CA 3.0 2.5 1428 $4,000 $2.80 94d 1 0.22mi
4 Austin Irvine, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 873 $3,020 $3.46 0d 9 0.28mi
34 Elksford Ave Irvine, CA 2.0 2.0 1078 $3,280 $3.04 139d 1 0.28mi
34 Elksford Ave Irvine, CA 2.0 2.0 1078 $3,350 $3.11 39d 1 0.28mi
5 Locust Irvine, CA 3.0 2.5 1517 $4,300 $2.83 74d 1 0.28mi
5 Locust Irvine, CA 3.0 2.5 1517 $4,495 $2.96 116d 1 0.28mi
5071 Doanoke Ave Irvine, CA 3.0 2.0 1379 $4,600 $3.34 10d 1 0.31mi
51 Golden Glen St #1 Irvine, CA 3.0 2.0 1048 $4,050 $3.86 78d 1 0.32mi
152 Kazan St Irvine, CA 3.0 2.0 1091 $3,800 $3.48 39d 1 0.33mi
43 Golden Glen St Irvine, CA 3.0 2.0 1091 $3,500 $3.21 51d 1 0.33mi
5011 Greencap Ave Irvine, CA 3.0 2.0 1216 $4,400 $3.62 100d 1 0.34mi
5011 Greencap Ave Irvine, CA 3.0 2.0 1216 $4,500 $3.70 86d 1 0.34mi
31 Golden Glen St Irvine, CA 2.0 2.0 1048 $3,250 $3.10 107d 1 0.35mi
5151 Walnut Ave #29 Irvine, CA 2.0 3.0 1142 $3,400 $2.98 139d 1 0.41mi
5101 Chateau Cir Irvine, CA 3.0 2.0 1650 $4,800 $2.91 120d 1 0.49mi
4 Albany Irvine, CA 2.0 1.5 1011 $2,995 $2.96 85d 1 0.52mi
4 Albany Irvine, CA 2.0 1.5 1020 $2,795 $2.74 7d 1 0.52mi
8 Albany Irvine, CA 2.0 1.5 1011 $2,800 $2.77 54d 1 0.53mi
15431 Lorraine Way Irvine, CA 3.0 2.0 1450 $4,500 $3.10 120d 1 0.55mi
4801 Winvale Ave Irvine, CA 3.0 2.0 1299 $4,200 $3.23 44d 1 0.55mi
11 Eccelstone Cir Irvine, CA 3.0 2.0 1480 $4,795 $3.24 120d 1 0.55mi
1300 Hayes St Irvine, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 956 $3,425 $3.58 3d 19 0.56mi
5 Dover Irvine, CA 3.0 1.5 1121 $3,600 $3.21 68d 1 0.57mi
38 Cresthaven Irvine, CA 2.0 2.0 1105 $3,995 $3.62 4d 1 0.65mi
51 Ashbrook Irvine, CA 3.0 2.5 1399 $4,500 $3.22 63d 1 0.65mi
78 Rose Arch #21 Irvine, CA 2.0 2.0 1300 $3,950 $3.04 139d 1 0.66mi
43 Alderwood #69 Irvine, CA 3.0 1.5 1220 $3,700 $3.03 116d 1 0.66mi
70 Painted Trellis Irvine, CA 3.0 3.5 1626 $4,500 $2.77 50d 1 0.68mi
86 Rose Arch Irvine, CA 2.0 2.5 1441 $4,100 $2.85 24d 1 0.68mi
24 Elderglen Irvine, CA 2.0 1.5 1125 $3,200 $2.84 55d 1 0.68mi
21 Cresthaven Irvine, CA 3.0 2.5 1508 $4,500 $2.98 70d 1 0.69mi
21 Cresthaven #50 Irvine, CA 3.0 2.5 1601 $4,700 $2.94 89d 1 0.69mi
26 Elderglen Irvine, CA 3.0 2.0 1104 $4,150 $3.76 116d 1 0.69mi
88 Painted Trellis Irvine, CA 3.0 2.5 1559 $4,500 $2.89 139d 1 0.69mi
21 Ashbrook #102 Irvine, CA 3.0 2.5 1383 $4,300 $3.11 90d 1 0.70mi
21 Ashbrook #102 Irvine, CA 3.0 3.0 1383 $4,300 $3.11 65d 1 0.70mi
13 Ashbrook Irvine, CA 3.0 2.5 1399 $4,000 $2.86 80d 1 0.71mi
85 Painted Trellis Unit 24 Irvine, CA 3.0 3.5 1632 $4,600 $2.82 84d 1 0.71mi
53 Strawberry Grv Irvine, CA 3.0 3.5 1658 $4,500 $2.71 57d 1 0.71mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Park directions: From Jeffrey, enter The Meadows park on Poplar.
HOA & community
Senior communityStreet lightingMonthly land lease of $1,650 (seller-reported)

Exterior

Parking
Park name: The Meadows
Utilities
Public sewerDistrict/public water
Home design
Manufactured/mobile home (24 ft x 60 ft)Single-storyLocated in The Meadows (Meadows Trailer Park)
Construction
Mobile home remains on lotYear built reported by seller
Exterior features
Front yardShedAssociation pool

Interior

Kitchen
Refrigerator
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central cooling
Interior features
One-level layoutEntry on level 1
Laundry & utility
Indoor laundry in a dedicated room

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-23
    days on market $236,500 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $236,500 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $236,500 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-09-20
    pricedays on marketlisting id $236,500 Active 1 DOM
  6. 2026-08-31
    days on market $239,000 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-08-29
    days on market $239,000 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-08-28
    days on market $239,000 Active 70 DOM
  9. 2026-08-27
    days on market $239,000 Active 69 DOM
  10. 2026-08-26
    days on market $239,000 Active 68 DOM
  11. 2026-08-25
    days on market $239,000 Active 67 DOM
  12. 2026-08-24
    days on market $239,000 Active 66 DOM
  13. 2026-08-23
    days on market $239,000 Active 65 DOM
  14. 2026-08-22
    days on market $239,000 Active 64 DOM
  15. 2026-08-21
    days on market $239,000 Active 63 DOM
  16. 2026-08-20
    days on market $239,000 Active 62 DOM
  17. 2026-08-19
    days on market $239,000 Active 61 DOM
  18. 2026-08-18
    days on market $239,000 Active 60 DOM
  19. 2026-08-17
    days on market $239,000 Active 59 DOM
  20. 2026-08-16
    days on market $239,000 Active 58 DOM
  21. 2026-08-15
    days on market $239,000 Active 57 DOM
  22. 2026-08-14
    days on market $239,000 Active 56 DOM
  23. 2026-08-13
    days on market $239,000 Active 55 DOM
  24. 2026-08-12
    days on market $239,000 Active 54 DOM
  25. 2026-08-11
    days on market $239,000 Active 53 DOM
  26. 2026-08-10
    days on market $239,000 Active 52 DOM
  27. 2026-08-09
    days on market $239,000 Active 51 DOM
  28. 2026-08-08
    days on market $239,000 Active 50 DOM
  29. 2026-08-06
    days on market $239,000 Active 48 DOM
  30. 2026-08-05
    days on market $239,000 Active 47 DOM
  31. 2026-08-04
    days on market $239,000 Active 46 DOM
  32. 2026-08-03
    days on market $239,000 Active 45 DOM
  33. 2026-07-31
    days on market $239,000 Active 42 DOM
  34. 2026-07-30
    days on market $239,000 Active 41 DOM
  35. 2026-07-30
    days on market $239,000 Active 40 DOM
  36. 2026-07-28
    days on market $239,000 Active 39 DOM
  37. 2026-07-26
    days on market $239,000 Active 37 DOM
  38. 2026-07-24
    days on market $239,000 Active 35 DOM
  39. 2026-07-23
    days on market $239,000 Active 34 DOM
  40. 2026-07-23
    remarks 517-char remark
  41. 2026-07-22
    days on market $239,000 Active 33 DOM
  42. 2026-07-21
    days on market $239,000 Active 32 DOM
  43. 2026-07-20
    days on market $239,000 Active 31 DOM
  44. 2026-07-18
    days on market $239,000 Active 29 DOM
  45. 2026-07-18
    days on market $239,000 Active 28 DOM
  46. 2026-07-16
    pricedays on market $239,000 Active 27 DOM
  47. 2026-07-15
    days on market $249,900 Active 26 DOM
  48. 2026-07-14
    days on market $249,900 Active 25 DOM
  49. 2026-07-13
    days on market $249,900 Active 24 DOM
  50. 2026-07-13
    days on market $249,900 Active 23 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,982
− Mortgage interest
−$13,248
− Property taxes
−$3,548
− Insurance
−$1,182
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,879
− Management
−$2,879
− Depreciation
−$6,880
Taxable income
$5,368
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,288
After-tax cash flow
$7,525/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,200–$21,600 screening

This manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Painting the exterior siding and maintaining the HVAC system would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both Clean and maintain HVAC system — A clean and functioning HVAC system improves comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

B Composite school gradezoned avg 72/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Greentree Elementary Middle Venado Middle High Irvine High B+ CA #92/1,170 Nat'l #1,878/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Irvine Unified
NCES district ID
0684500
Math proficiency
74% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
80% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$92,078
Composite
69.17/100
National rank
#319
State rank
#31 of 517 in CA
B Composite livability gradescore 76/100

Livability — Irvine

Score
76/100
State rank
#100
US rank
#3537

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety C- User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Irvine, CA
County
Orange County · 3,477,456 people
City population
287,839
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
66,126
Household income
$145,731
Rent vs Own
59.5% rent · 40.5% own
Severe rent burden
13% of renters

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 48% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
42% · China, South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
44% English-only · Chinese 15% Other Indo-European 10% Korean 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-5.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-09-19 Listed $236,500 CRMLS
  • 2026-09-01 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2026-07-16 Price Changed $239,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-06-19 Listed $249,900 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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