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6582-6586 Mission St Triplex
C Composite 56.61
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.2/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$939,000

6582-6586 Mission St · Daly City, CA 94014
None bd · None ba · 2,554 sqft · MultiFamily · 162 Days on market
Built 1948 1,263 sqft lot Est $976k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

This mixed use property is located on a commercial section of Mission Street (Daly City). Lisa's Restaurant is being operated on the ground floor. It is open 11:00a. m to 10:00p. m. , closed on Mondays. It has the use of the full basement for storage. The restaurant is leased through 7/31/17. The addendum to the lease allows for an increase in rent each year until the lease expires. Two studio apts. are located above the restaurant, both are tenant occupied. Trust Sale subject to court confirmation.

Key facts

  • Steady rental income
  • Cozy outdoor space
  • 1,263 sq ft lot

Tags

MISSION STREET FRONTAGETWO RESIDENTIAL UNITSSTEADY RENTAL INCOMECOZY OUTDOOR SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Total of 3 units with 1 unit currently leased and 2 vacant
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Home design: Residential income property; Mixed-use triplex; Built in 1948
  • Construction: 1948 construction
  • Exterior features: Lot features listed as 'Other'

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Studio units (multiple)
  • Interior features: Triplex with mixed-use designation; Front upper studio occupied by tenant; Rear upper studio available (vacant by end of December 2025)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $939k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $358/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $939k).
  • Recommended offer: $826k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.2% in Daly City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#35 in CA, #1,221 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Jefferson Union High (suburban): math 50% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #66 of 517 in CA (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 60 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,019 units permitted in San Mateo County in 2024 (484 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $9,575/mo this rent would consume 93% of the median local household income ($123k/yr) (locally 1517% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Mateo County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.1% rent growth), your $263k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($826k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $750k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $826,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.67%
Cash-on-cash
4.91%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$975,628
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6454 Mission St 0.08mi 2/1.0 2,274 (-11%) 23mo $1,073,000 $472 59
54 Garibaldi St 0.68mi 4/2.0 2,430 (-5%) 4mo $900,000 $370 57
60 Garibaldi St 0.68mi 4/2.0 2,430 (-5%) 9mo $925,000 $381 53
771 Templeton Ave 0.64mi 4/2.0 2,663 (+4%) 22mo $1,055,000 $396 45
23 2nd Ave 0.74mi 3/3.0 2,750 (+8%) 12mo $875,000 $318 43
143 Sickles Ave 0.66mi —/— 2,208 (-14%) 9mo $1,180,000 $534 39
180 School St 0.73mi 3/2.0 2,828 (+11%) 17mo $1,080,000 $382 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-42,417
Equity at exit
$140,008
10-year hold
IRR
9.8%
Equity multiple
1.90×
Total profit
$235,487
Equity at exit
$81,188

Cash invested: $262,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 94014

Rents YoY
7.1%
Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
24.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$9,575 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,924
Tax est. 1.5%
$1,174 /mo · $14,085/yr
Insurance
$391
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,011
Net cashflow
$1,075

Break-even live

Break-even rent $8,214
Max offer price $939,000
Occupancy floor 84%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $9,575

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$234,750
Closing costs
$28,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
875 Huron Ave San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0 2542 $4,950 $1.95 1d 1 0.80mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $939,000 Active 162 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $939,000 Active 161 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $939,000 Active 160 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $939,000 Active 159 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $939,000 Active 157 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $939,000 Active 156 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $939,000 Active 153 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $939,000 Active 152 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $939,000 Active 151 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $939,000 Active 148 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $939,000 Active 147 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $939,000 Active 146 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $939,000 Active 145 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $939,000 Active 144 DOM
  15. 2026-02-02
    price $939,000
  16. 2026-01-24
    status Active
  17. 2026-01-17
    status Pending
  18. 2025-12-30
    listed $988,000 Active
  19. 2014-01-27
    soldstatus $750,000 Closed 505-char remark
    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    This mixed use property is located on a commercial section of Mission Street (Daly City). Lisa's Restaurant is being operated on the ground floor. It is open 11:00a. m to 10:00p. m. , closed on Mondays. It has the use of the full basement for storage. The restaurant is leased through 7/31/17. The addendum to the lease allows for an increase in rent each year until the lease expires. Two studio apts. are located above the restaurant, both are tenant occupied. Trust Sale subject to court confirmation.

  20. 2013-12-10
    status Pending 505-char remark
    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    This mixed use property is located on a commercial section of Mission Street (Daly City). Lisa's Restaurant is being operated on the ground floor. It is open 11:00a. m to 10:00p. m. , closed on Mondays. It has the use of the full basement for storage. The restaurant is leased through 7/31/17. The addendum to the lease allows for an increase in rent each year until the lease expires. Two studio apts. are located above the restaurant, both are tenant occupied. Trust Sale subject to court confirmation.

  21. 2013-11-19
    price $714,500 505-char remark
    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    This mixed use property is located on a commercial section of Mission Street (Daly City). Lisa's Restaurant is being operated on the ground floor. It is open 11:00a. m to 10:00p. m. , closed on Mondays. It has the use of the full basement for storage. The restaurant is leased through 7/31/17. The addendum to the lease allows for an increase in rent each year until the lease expires. Two studio apts. are located above the restaurant, both are tenant occupied. Trust Sale subject to court confirmation.

  22. 2013-10-25
    listed $599,000 Active 505-char remark
    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    This mixed use property is located on a commercial section of Mission Street (Daly City). Lisa's Restaurant is being operated on the ground floor. It is open 11:00a. m to 10:00p. m. , closed on Mondays. It has the use of the full basement for storage. The restaurant is leased through 7/31/17. The addendum to the lease allows for an increase in rent each year until the lease expires. Two studio apts. are located above the restaurant, both are tenant occupied. Trust Sale subject to court confirmation.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$114,900
− Mortgage interest
−$52,599
− Property taxes
−$14,085
− Insurance
−$4,695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$9,192
− Management
−$9,192
− Depreciation
−$27,316
Taxable loss
−$2,179
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$523
After-tax cash flow
$13,423/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson Union High
NCES district ID
0618930
Math proficiency
50% ▲ 15.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▲ 19.00%
Median HH income
$82,212
Composite
56.13/100
National rank
#1180
State rank
#66 of 517 in CA

Livability — Daly City

Score
82/100
State rank
#35
US rank
#1221

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Daly City, CA
County
San Mateo County · 733,415 people
City population
109,406
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
45,315
Household income
$122,966
Rent vs Own
40.3% rent · 59.7% own
Severe rent burden
1517.0

Population outlook (San Mateo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
864,008 people
By 2030
910,523 · +5.4%
By 2040
997,285 · +15.4%
By 2050
1,071,189 · +24.0%
By 2075
1,197,206 · +38.6%
By 2100
1,192,523 · +38.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 54% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 11% White 9% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
54% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
34% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 20% Chinese 17%

Political lean MEDSL · San Mateo

2024 margin
Solid D (+50.3) · D 73.5% · R 23.2% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
+1.6pp toward D · 2008: 48.7pp · 2024: 50.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+50.3 2020: D+57.7 2016: D+57.7 2012: D+44.8 2008: D+48.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1224.05%
Current HPI
275.8666
Rent YoY
▲ 7.10%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+56.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $939,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2026-01-24 Relisted San Francisco MLS
  • 2026-01-17 Pending San Francisco MLS
  • 2025-12-30 Listed $988,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2014-01-27 Sold (MLS) $750,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2013-12-10 Pending San Francisco MLS
  • 2013-11-19 Price Changed $714,500 San Francisco MLS
  • 2013-10-25 Listed $599,000 San Francisco MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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