CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
211 Pace Dr #2
B- Composite 69.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.0/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,500

211 Pace Dr #2 · East Wenatchee, WA 98802
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured public records · 165 Days on market
Built 1979 $85/sqft · 5% above area Est $85k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Enjoy easy living in this bright and spacious 2-bedroom, 1.75-bath home! The interior is flooded with natural light thanks to impressive oversized windows, creating an airy atmosphere throughout the 1,056 sq ft layout. Perfectly positioned for convenience, this property is located near the neighborhood entrance with quick access to shopping and groceries. A standout feature is the versatile shop/shed, fully equipped with heating and AC. Relax on the covered front or back porches and take in the great views. This home is designed for comfort, remains easy to heat and cool, and includes a convenient carport. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood with friendly neighbors, it’s the perfect blend

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Versatile shop
  • Quiet neighborhood

Tags

OVERSIZED WINDOWSVERSATILE SHOPCOVERED FRONT PORCHCOVERED BACK PORCHQUICK ACCESS TO SHOPPINGQUIET NEIGHBORHOOD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $931 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 2.9% in East Wenatchee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#54 in WA, #972 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
  • Eastmont School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #118 of 291 in WA (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 324 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 263 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $619 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $90k implies a 258% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $78,760 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.15%
Cap rate
18.77%
Cash-on-cash
44.56%
DSCR
2.98
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$84,844
List price
$89,500
Delta
5.49%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
211 S Pace Dr #30 0.03mi 2/2.0 924 (-12%) 4mo $65,000 $70 74
211 Pace Dr #22 0.03mi 2/1.5 980 (-7%) 14mo $84,900 $87 73
211 Pace Dr #16 0.03mi 2/1.0 924 (-12%) 11mo $82,500 $89 64
211 Pace Dr #41 0.03mi 2/1.0 924 (-12%) 22mo $84,900 $92 55
211 Pace Dr #45 0.03mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (-12%) 22mo $79,900 $86 50
341 N Georgia Ave 0.61mi 2/2.0 900 (-15%) 13mo $85,000 $94 36
323 N Georgia Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 910 (-14%) 23mo $49,000 $54 27
621 S Iowa Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+14%) 18mo $380,000 $317 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.47% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.9%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$41,863
Equity at exit
$13,345
10-year hold
IRR
45.5%
Equity multiple
5.04×
Total profit
$101,212
Equity at exit
$7,738

Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98802

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
324
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,925 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$469
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $998/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$404
Net cashflow
$931

Break-even live

Break-even rent $747
Max offer price $89,500
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,375
Closing costs
$2,685
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
419 S Pace Dr Unit 419 East Wenatchee, WA 1.0 1.0 714 $1,595 $2.23 43d 1 0.10mi
286 N Iowa Ave East Wenatchee, WA 3.0 1.0 1264 $2,600 $2.06 43d 1 0.61mi
667 4th St NE Apt I201 East Wenatchee, WA 2.0 1.0 884 $1,650 $1.87 43d 1 0.67mi
460 N James Ave Unit 456 James East Wenatchee, WA 2.0 2.0 850 $2,495 $2.94 43d 1 0.81mi
224 6th St NE East Wenatchee, WA 3.0 1.0 966 $1,895 $1.96 43d 1 0.85mi
623 N Baker Ave Apt D East Wenatchee, WA 3.0 1.0 1006 $1,695 $1.68 43d 1 0.94mi
1763 Grant Rd East Wenatchee, WA 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,795 $1.86 43d 1 0.97mi
1620 5th St NE Unit 1622 East Wenatchee, WA 2.0 1.0 1166 $1,900 $1.63 43d 1 1.13mi
214 Antles Ave Unit 309 Wenatchee, WA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,695 $1.88 43d 1 1.15mi
212 Antles St Wenatchee, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,695 $1.88 43d 1 1.15mi
1686 S Mission St Apt 2 Wenatchee, WA 2.0 2.0 980 $1,650 $1.68 43d 1 1.17mi
933 N Baker Ave Apt 10 East Wenatchee, WA 1.0 1.0 800 $1,595 $1.99 43d 1 1.23mi
1121 Monitor Ave Unit 1/2 Downstairs Wenatchee, WA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,495 $2.14 43d 1 1.25mi
1121 Monitor Ave Unit A Upstairs Wenatchee, WA 3.0 1.0 800 $1,695 $2.12 43d 1 1.25mi
564 11th St NE East Wenatchee, WA 3.0 2.0 1220 $2,195 $1.80 43d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,500 Active 165 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,500 Active 164 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,500 Active 163 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,500 Active 162 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,500 Active 161 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,500 Active 159 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,500 Active 158 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,500 Active 156 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,500 Active 155 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,500 Active 154 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,500 Active 153 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,500 Active 150 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,500 Active 148 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,500 Active 147 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,500 Active 146 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,500 Active 145 DOM
  17. 2026-04-12
    price $98,500
  18. 2026-01-05
    listed $110,000 Active
  19. 2001-07-10
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$998 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$998 · $83/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 25 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,095
− Mortgage interest
−$5,013
− Property taxes
−$998
− Insurance
−$448
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,848
− Management
−$1,848
− Depreciation
−$2,604
Taxable income
$10,338
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,481
After-tax cash flow
$8,687/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Eastmont School District
NCES district ID
5302310
Math proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$56,015
Composite
47.31/100
National rank
#5047
State rank
#118 of 291 in WA

Livability — East Wenatchee

Score
83/100
State rank
#54
US rank
#972

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime B- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Wenatchee, WA
County
Douglas County · 33,539 people
City population
33,539
Metro
Wenatchee, WA
Population (ZIP)
33,539
Household income
$87,744
Rent vs Own
30.3% rent · 69.7% own
Severe rent burden
741.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,264 people
By 2030
47,398 · +4.7%
By 2040
51,407 · +13.6%
By 2050
55,020 · +21.6%
By 2075
63,862 · +41.1%
By 2100
69,870 · +54.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+24.1 2016: R+31.5 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -570.14%
Current HPI
305.0094
Rent YoY
▲ 1.47%
Metro
Wenatchee, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+294.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Price Changed $98,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $110,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $998 · +16.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…