710 Central Pkwy · Florissant, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fully Renovated & Move-In Ready Ranch! Beautifully updated 3 bed, 1.5 bath ranch featuring an inviting open-concept layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The renovated kitchen includes brand-new stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and custom cabinetry. Spacious family room with a cozy wood-burning fireplace. Primary bedroom includes a private half bath. Major updates include brand-new HVAC, fresh paint, luxury vinyl plank flooring, and updated lighting. Enjoy the fenced backyard with plenty of space for pets, play, or relaxing outdoors. Conveniently located near schools, parks, and shopping. Showings start Wednesday 4/15
Key facts
- Built 1960
- Listed 56 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $174k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (1.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $169k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 6.3% in Florissant — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, schools D.
- Hazelwood (suburban): math 11% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #306 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $91k; list at $174k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.29%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,884
- List price
- $174,000
- Delta
- -5.37%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 725 Pelican Ln | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,382 (-7%) | 1mo | $212,500 | $154 | 74 |
| 1865 Curtis Ct | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+1%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $122 | 73 |
| 2270 Patterson Rd | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,625 (+9%) | 3mo | $169,900 | $105 | 71 |
| 2405 Orleans Ln | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,424 (-5%) | 2mo | $239,900 | $168 | 70 |
| 615 Central Pkwy | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,274 (-15%) | 1mo | $169,900 | $133 | 69 |
| 1283 Kingsford Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 | 1,525 (+2%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $131 | 67 |
| 1900 Violet Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (-8%) | 1mo | $159,900 | $117 | 65 |
| 2011 Aristocrat Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,378 (-8%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $131 | 61 |
| 549 Rancho Ln | 0.56mi | 3/3.0 | 1,432 (-4%) | 0mo | $279,000 | $195 | 61 |
| 490 Jana Dr | 0.33mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+7%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $122 | 60 |
| 1760 Fernbrook Ln | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,615 (+8%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $99 | 57 |
| 2250 Loveland Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 | 1,352 (-9%) | 1mo | $159,900 | $118 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-12,311
- Equity at exit
- $25,944
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $16,159
- Equity at exit
- $15,044
Cash invested: $48,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63031
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 271
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,710 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$912
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,811/yr
- Insurance
- −$72
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $215
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,500
- Closing costs
- $5,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 775 Sherwood Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,690 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1095 Humes Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 330 Moule Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,575 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1983 Greenheath Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,331 | $1.28 | 2d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2857 Dawnview Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,325 | $1.49 | 7d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1145 Swallow Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,645 | $1.28 | 2d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2942 Chance Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,700 | $1.86 | 12d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 470 Hundley Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,595 | $1.66 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2160 Splendor Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 2d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1395 Bluebird Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,599 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1740 Deborah Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $1,750 | $1.06 | 17d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 13 Cricket Ct Florissant, MO | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1560 | $2,550 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 855 Daniel Boone Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,400 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1710 Kay Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 1d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 765 Babler Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,700 | $1.91 | 7d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4 Sharon Ct Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $1,800 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 9 Charlotte Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1404 | $1,641 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1540 Aspen Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,395 | $1.53 | 7d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3 Champlain Ct Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1939 Suns Up Way Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1544 | $1,700 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 9 Saint Celeste Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,450 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1015 Lindsay Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,600 | $1.62 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3015 Matlock Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,475 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1315 Bobolink Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,700 | $1.66 | 12d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1545 Swan Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,590 | $1.49 | 7d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2316 Millvalley Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1189 | $1,696 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1332 Langholm Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,650 | $1.79 | 1d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2400 Teakwood Manor Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,725 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1785 Trotter Way Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $1,806 | $1.39 | 7d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10price $174,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $176,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $176,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $176,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $176,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $176,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $176,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $176,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $176,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $180,000
-
2026-04-12$185,000 Active
-
2026-03-24historical
-
2025-03-14historical
-
2025-03-04price $179,900
-
2025-02-25price $181,000
-
2025-02-15price $184,900
-
2025-02-08$189,900 Active
-
2025-02-06historical
-
2024-03-01soldstatus Closed
-
2024-01-29status Pending
-
2024-01-03$179,999 Active
-
2024-01-01historical $179,999
-
2023-12-20historical
-
2023-12-08$183,000 Active
-
2023-12-07historical
-
2023-07-07soldstatus
-
2023-06-30soldstatus Closed
-
2023-06-28status Pending
-
2023-06-07historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-05-25status Active
-
2023-05-24historical
-
2023-05-23status Active
-
2023-05-04historical
-
2023-03-10status Pending
-
2023-03-01historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-01-31$99,950 Active
-
2023-01-30historical $99,950
-
2019-08-09soldstatus $91,000
-
2019-08-07soldstatus Closed
-
2019-07-02status Pending
-
2019-06-19$99,900 Active
-
2012-01-27soldstatus
-
2011-12-10$39,900
-
2006-08-18soldstatus $97,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,811 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,811 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,518
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,747
- − Property taxes
- −$1,811
- − Insurance
- −$870
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,641
- − Management
- −$1,641
- − Depreciation
- −$5,062
- Taxable loss
- −$254
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$61
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,640/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazelwood
- NCES district ID
- 2913830
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,621
- Composite
- 16.77/100
- National rank
- #9156
- State rank
- #306 of 324 in MO
Livability — Florissant
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #5406
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florissant, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 69,104
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,196
- Household income
- $70,811
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1279.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 41% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -223.57%
- Current HPI
- 202.7192
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.27%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+414.3% since first listed38 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $180,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-12 Listed $185,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Coming Soon — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-14 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-04 Price Changed $179,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-25 Price Changed $181,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-15 Price Changed $184,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-08 Listed $189,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-06 Coming Soon — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-01 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-29 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-03 Listed $179,999 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-01 Coming Soon $179,999 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-20 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-08 Listed $183,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-07 Coming Soon — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-06-30 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-28 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-07 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-25 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-24 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-23 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-04 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-10 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-01 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-31 Listed $99,950 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-30 Coming Soon $99,950 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
- 2019-08-07 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-02 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-19 Listed $99,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-01-27 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-12-10 Listed $39,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $97,900 Public Records
- 1997-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 1983-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,500 Public Records
- 1980-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2022): $1,811 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…