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2109 Church St
C+ Composite 62.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$30,000

2109 Church St · Flint, MI 48503
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 681 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1920 7,841 sqft lot Est $25k · 19% over ↓ 60% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits with this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring a full basement and endless potential. Being sold as-is, this fixer-upper is perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. With solid bones and plenty of space, this home is ready for some inspiration and personal touches to restore it to its full charm. The basement offers additional storage. Whether you’re looking for your next project or a chance to create your dream home, this property is full of possibilities. BATVAI

Key facts

  • Solid bones
  • Plenty of space
  • Full basement

Tags

FULL BASEMENTADDITIONAL STORAGEFIXER-UPPERSOLID BONESPLENTY OF SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot roughly 0.18 acres (approx. 7,841 sq ft)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-a-half story; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; One-and-a-half story design
  • Exterior features: Front porch

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 total rooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $455 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($908 rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.5% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 50% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $29,100 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.03%
Cap rate
24.50%
Cash-on-cash
65.01%
DSCR
3.89
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$25,197
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
636 Partridge St 0.24mi 2/1.0 720 (+6%) 0mo $18,400 $26 79
133 Orville St 0.23mi 1/1.0 (-1) 610 (-10%) 0mo $66,500 $109 66
834 Remington Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 726 (+7%) 2mo $10,000 $14 64
842 Ossington Ave 0.55mi 2/1.0 704 (+3%) 7mo $15,000 $21 63
647 Monroe St 0.25mi 2/1.0 590 (-13%) 6mo $35,000 $59 61
955 Paddington Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 660 (-3%) 10mo $16,000 $24 57
908 Barrie Ave 0.65mi 2/2.0 660 (-3%) 8mo $9,250 $14 54
221 W Belvidere Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 750 (+10%) 12mo $10,900 $15 52
616 Pettibone Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 734 (+8%) 6mo $60,000 $82 48
3116 Camden Ave 0.65mi 2/1.0 766 (+12%) 5mo $29,000 $38 45
937 Barrie Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 780 (+14%) 1mo $29,000 $37 41
809 Neubert Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 616 (-10%) 11mo $37,000 $60 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
70.3%
Equity multiple
4.45×
Total profit
$28,969
Equity at exit
$4,473
10-year hold
IRR
75.9%
Equity multiple
11.07×
Total profit
$84,578
Equity at exit
$2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48503

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Rents YoY
12.3%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$908 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$92 /mo · $1,108/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$191
Net cashflow
$455

Break-even live

Break-even rent $332
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $472 -5% $464 +0% $455 +5% $447 +10% $438
Rent -10% $383 -5% $419 +0% $455 +5% $491 +10% $527
Rate -1.0pp $470 -0.5pp $463 base $455 +0.5pp $447 +1.0pp $439

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1023 Barrie Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 660 $775 $1.17 21d 1 0.80mi
813 Alvord Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 724 $850 $1.17 14d 1 1.13mi
1426 Pettibone Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 21d 1 1.22mi
607 E 2nd Ave Unit 803 Flint, MI 1.0 1.0 606 $1,025 $1.69 14d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $30,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $30,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $30,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $30,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $30,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $30,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $30,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $30,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $30,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $30,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $30,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $30,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $30,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $30,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $30,000 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $30,000 Active 18 DOM
  17. 2026-05-13
    price $30,000 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring a full basement and endless potential. Being sold as-is, this fixer-upper is perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. With solid bones and plenty of space, this home is ready for some inspiration and personal touches to restore it to its full charm. The basement offers additional storage. Whether you’re looking for your next project or a chance to create your dream home, this property is full of possibilities. BATVAI

  18. 2026-05-12
    price $30,000
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring a full basement and endless potential. Being sold as-is, this fixer-upper is perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. With solid bones and plenty of space, this home is ready for some inspiration and personal touches to restore it to its full charm. The basement offers additional storage. Whether you’re looking for your next project or a chance to create your dream home, this property is full of possibilities. BATVAI

  19. 2026-05-12
    listed $20,000 Active 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring a full basement and endless potential. Being sold as-is, this fixer-upper is perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. With solid bones and plenty of space, this home is ready for some inspiration and personal touches to restore it to its full charm. The basement offers additional storage. Whether you’re looking for your next project or a chance to create your dream home, this property is full of possibilities. BATVAI

  20. 2026-05-12
    listed $20,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring a full basement and endless potential. Being sold as-is, this fixer-upper is perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. With solid bones and plenty of space, this home is ready for some inspiration and personal touches to restore it to its full charm. The basement offers additional storage. Whether you’re looking for your next project or a chance to create your dream home, this property is full of possibilities. BATVAI

  21. 2024-12-20
    historical Active Under Contract
  22. 2024-12-17
    status Active
  23. 2023-04-14
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  24. 2023-04-14
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  25. 2023-04-14
    historical
  26. 2023-04-14
    historical
  27. 2023-03-29
    listed $39,999 Active
  28. 2023-03-29
    listed $39,999 Active
  29. 2022-09-16
    historical
  30. 2022-09-15
    historical
  31. 2022-09-03
    price $33,333
  32. 2022-09-02
    price $33,333
  33. 2022-08-03
    price $49,900
  34. 2022-08-03
    price $49,900
  35. 2022-07-29
    status Active
  36. 2022-07-28
    historical
  37. 2022-06-04
    listed $75,000 Active
  38. 2022-06-04
    listed $75,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,108 · $92/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,108 · $92/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 9% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,895
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$1,108
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$872
− Management
−$872
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$5,340
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,282
After-tax cash flow
$4,179/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,347
Household income
$44,411
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1293.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.84%
Current HPI
130.1152
Rent YoY
▲ 12.35%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-60.0% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $20,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-12-20 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-17 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2023-04-14 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-04-14 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2023-04-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-04-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-03-29 Listed $39,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-29 Listed $39,999 REALCOMP
  • 2022-09-16 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-09-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-09-03 Price Changed $33,333 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-09-02 Price Changed $33,333 REALCOMP
  • 2022-08-03 Price Changed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-08-03 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-07-29 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2022-07-28 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-06-04 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-06-04 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,108 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…