212 S Lorenz St · Hooker, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 3 bed 2 bath mobile home is a great starter home for any family. Located in Hooker, Ok
Key facts
- 2 acre lot
- Built 1983
- Listed 152 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#38 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Hooker (rural): math 17% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #190 of 270 in OK (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Hooker Es (math 15% / reading 17%, grade F, #582 of 845 statewide, top 69%, 420 students, 0% FRL); Hooker Hs (math 34% / reading 24%, grade F, #96 of 447 statewide, top 26%, 183 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Texas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Texas County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.47%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $35,229
- Equity at exit
- $60,702
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.61×
- Total profit
- $98,744
- Equity at exit
- $93,549
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73945
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,433 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $838/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $298
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $375 | -5% $337 | +0% $298 | +5% $260 | +10% $222 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $185 | -5% $242 | +0% $298 | +5% $355 | +10% $412 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $366 | -0.5pp $333 | base $298 | +0.5pp $263 | +1.0pp $228 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2024-07-19soldstatus $120,000
-
2024-06-19status Pending
-
2024-01-18$135,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $838 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,215 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$377/yr (+$31/mo · 45.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,202
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$838
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,376
- − Management
- −$1,376
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,447
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$347
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,234/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hooker
- NCES district ID
- 4015090
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,685
- Composite
- 15.81/100
- National rank
- #9267
- State rank
- #190 of 270 in OK
Livability — Hooker
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #7543
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hooker, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,258
Population outlook (Texas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,936 people
- By 2030
- 23,733 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 25,578 · +11.5%
- By 2050
- 27,732 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 32,511 · +41.7%
- By 2100
- 35,649 · +55.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (57%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 39% Two or more races 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 38% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Texas
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.7) · D 15.2% · R 83.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: -70.5pp · 2024: -67.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.7 2020: R+65.4 2016: R+65.2 2012: R+70.4 2008: R+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-11.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2024-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2024-06-19 Pending — MLSOK
- 2024-01-18 Listed $135,000 MLSOK
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $838 · +18.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…