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212 S Lorenz St
C+ Composite 61.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$135,000

212 S Lorenz St · Hooker, OK 73945
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,320 sqft · Manufactured public records · 152 Days on market
Built 1983 2.00 ac lot ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3 bed 2 bath mobile home is a great starter home for any family. Located in Hooker, Ok

Key facts

  • 2 acre lot
  • Built 1983
  • Listed 152 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#38 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Hooker (rural): math 17% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #190 of 270 in OK (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Hooker Es (math 15% / reading 17%, grade F, #582 of 845 statewide, top 69%, 420 students, 0% FRL); Hooker Hs (math 34% / reading 24%, grade F, #96 of 447 statewide, top 26%, 183 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Texas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Texas County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.95%
Cash-on-cash
9.47%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
1.93×
Total profit
$35,229
Equity at exit
$60,702
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
3.61×
Total profit
$98,744
Equity at exit
$93,549

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73945

Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,433 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $838/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$298

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,056
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $375 -5% $337 +0% $298 +5% $260 +10% $222
Rent -10% $185 -5% $242 +0% $298 +5% $355 +10% $412
Rate -1.0pp $366 -0.5pp $333 base $298 +0.5pp $263 +1.0pp $228

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2024-07-19
    soldstatus $120,000
  2. 2024-06-19
    status Pending
  3. 2024-01-18
    listed $135,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$838 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,215 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$377/yr (+$31/mo · 45.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,202
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$838
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,376
− Management
−$1,376
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$1,447
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$347
After-tax cash flow
$3,234/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hooker
NCES district ID
4015090
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$49,685
Composite
15.81/100
National rank
#9267
State rank
#190 of 270 in OK

Livability — Hooker

Score
70/100
State rank
#38
US rank
#7543

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hooker, OK
Population (ZIP)
2,258

Population outlook (Texas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,936 people
By 2030
23,733 · +3.5%
By 2040
25,578 · +11.5%
By 2050
27,732 · +20.9%
By 2075
32,511 · +41.7%
By 2100
35,649 · +55.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (57%)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 39% Two or more races 6% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 38% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Texas

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.7) · D 15.2% · R 83.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.8pp toward D · 2008: -70.5pp · 2024: -67.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.7 2020: R+65.4 2016: R+65.2 2012: R+70.4 2008: R+70.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2024-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2024-06-19 Pending MLSOK
  • 2024-01-18 Listed $135,000 MLSOK

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $838 · +18.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…