2713 Naples St · Brownsville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- ARV discount +4.0/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$207,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This one wont last long! Brick veneer home on corner lot with 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, large living room, dining room, appx 1692 sf living area plus a new roof, newly painted interior & exterior, ceramic tile flooring throughout, central air & heat, spacious backyard with storage shed, wood fence, and conveniently located with easy access to local amenities, schools, and major roadways. One year home warranty included (valued at $515) & easy to show!
Key facts
- Brick veneer home
- Central air
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family home; One story
- Construction: Brick veneer construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Home warranty included
- Exterior features: Corner lot
Interior
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Tile flooring; Ceiling fans; Central air conditioning; Central electric heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $208k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $208k).
- Recommended offer: $205k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.0% in Brownsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#62 in TX, #2,311 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, employment F.
- Brownsville ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #710 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Keller El (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 532 students, 92% FRL); Manzano Middle (math 30% / reading 38%, grade F, #892 of 1,662 statewide, top 55%, 905 students, 82% FRL); Pace Early College H S (math 32% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,632 statewide, top 64%, 1,788 students, 92% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 413 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 93% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.45%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $193,062
- List price
- $207,900
- Delta
- 7.69%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2761 Mayorca St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,784 (+5%) | 22mo | $199,900 | $112 | 53 |
| 4524 Osborn Ave | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,909 (+13%) | 4mo | $294,500 | $154 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-20,362
- Equity at exit
- $30,999
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,795
- Equity at exit
- $17,975
Cash invested: $58,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78526
- Home prices YoY
- -12.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 413
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,146 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,090
- Tax from tax record
- −$302 /mo · $3,628/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$451
- Net cashflow
- $216
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,975
- Closing costs
- $6,237
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2733 Naples St Brownsville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1796 | $2,400 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2460 Munich St Brownsville, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1984 | $2,000 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3255 W Alton Gloor Blvd Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1213 | $1,020 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3513 Hidalgo Cir Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1289 | $1,750 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2246 Athens St Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3528 Hidalgo Cir Unit C Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1061 | $1,600 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2186 Athens St Brownsville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3008 Chadwick Pl Brownsville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $2,000 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1150 Quail Hollow Dr Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1333 | $1,950 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3 Conquistador Dr Lot 3 Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,500 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1935 Athens St Brownsville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $2,200 | $1.84 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1935 Athens St Brownsville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $2,200 | $1.84 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3255 W Alton Gloor Blvd Unit 1-210 Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1213 | $1,020 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2100 Laredo Rd Brownsville, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 976 | $1,540 | $1.58 | 14d | 6 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-11status Active 468-char remark
-
2026-05-11status Pending 468-char remark
-
2026-04-28price $207,900 468-char remark
-
2026-04-28$107,900 Active 468-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,628 · $302/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,805 · $317/mo
- Expected delta
- +$177/yr (+$15/mo · 4.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,751
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,646
- − Property taxes
- −$3,628
- − Insurance
- −$1,040
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,060
- − Management
- −$2,060
- − Depreciation
- −$6,048
- Taxable loss
- −$730
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$175
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,768/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brownsville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811680
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,490
- Composite
- 21.8/100
- National rank
- #8249
- State rank
- #710 of 826 in TX
Livability — Brownsville
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #2311
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brownsville, TX
- County
- Cameron County · 310,734 people
- City population
- 212,132
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,012
- Household income
- $70,565
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1063.0
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 93% Two or more races 45% White 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 87%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 19% English-only · Spanish 79% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.28%
- Current HPI
- 220.5233
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.77%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+92.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Pending — RGVMLS
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — RGVMLS
- 2026-05-11 Pending — RGVMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $207,900 RGVMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $107,900 RGVMLS
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,628 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…