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3578 451 Hwy
B- Composite 68.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$100,000

3578 451 Hwy · Bordelonville, LA 71355
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,124 sqft · SingleFamily · 152 Days on market
Built 1970 15 ac lot ↓ 23% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

LAND WITH OPPORTUNITY -- Approximately 14.83 acres along Hwy 451 in Moreauville offering a versatile mix of open pasture, multiple ponds including a water well, and a crawfish pond that can provide extra income, making this land well-suited for recreational, agricultural, and/or mixed-use purposes. With ample road frontage and a rural setting just minutes from town, the property provides privacy, space, and usability that are increasingly hard to find. Additionally, there is a 2,100+ sqft, unfinished structure that could be converted into a beautiful home. This property combines usable acreage, natural features, and future potential in one offering. Schedule your private showing today!

Key facts

  • Water well
  • Crawfish pond
  • Ample road frontage

Tags

MULTIPLE PONDSWATER WELLCRAWFISH PONDAMPLE ROAD FRONTAGERURAL SETTINGUSABLE ACREAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking features listed
  • Home design: Single family residence
  • Construction: Metal roof; Wood siding with frame construction
  • Exterior features: Acreage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen present (appliances not specified)
  • Bedrooms: Includes at least four bedrooms (Bedroom 1, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3, Bedroom 4)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating specified; No cooling specified
  • Interior features: Bedrooms, kitchen, living room, utility room, and an additional room
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room available

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#368 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Avoyelles Parish (rural): math 22% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #56 of 98 in LA (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Riverside Elementary School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #487 of 646 statewide, top 78%, 240 students, 80% FRL); Avoyelles High School (math 18% / reading 25%, grade F, #177 of 265 statewide, top 67%, 536 students, 53% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Avoyelles Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Avoyelles County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.14%
Cash-on-cash
10.18%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.7%
Equity multiple
3.49×
Total profit
$69,605
Equity at exit
$90,088
10-year hold
IRR
27.4%
Equity multiple
7.90×
Total profit
$193,116
Equity at exit
$194,278

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71355

Home prices YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,175 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$247
Net cashflow
$237

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $307 -5% $272 +0% $237 +5% $203 +10% $168
Rent -10% $145 -5% $191 +0% $237 +5% $284 +10% $330
Rate -1.0pp $288 -0.5pp $263 base $237 +0.5pp $212 +1.0pp $185

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $100,000 Pending 152 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 152 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $100,000 Active 150 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 149 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $100,000 Active 147 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 146 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 145 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 144 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 140 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 139 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 138 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 137 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $100,000 Active 136 DOM
  14. 2026-04-16
    price $100,000
  15. 2026-03-12
    price $125,000
  16. 2026-01-14
    listed $130,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,104
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,128
− Management
−$1,128
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$1,337
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$321
After-tax cash flow
$2,529/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Avoyelles Parish
NCES district ID
2200150
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -29.00%
Median HH income
$33,891
Composite
21.32/100
National rank
#8378
State rank
#56 of 98 in LA

Livability — Bordelonville

Score
55/100
State rank
#368
US rank
#23389

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bordelonville, LA
Population (ZIP)
2,192

Population outlook (Avoyelles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,084 people
By 2030
37,784 · -3.3%
By 2040
35,049 · -10.3%
By 2050
32,225 · -17.5%
By 2075
25,695 · -34.3%
By 2100
18,985 · -51.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 12% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 32% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
89% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Avoyelles

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.1) · D 27.8% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-20.1pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -43.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.1 2020: R+40.8 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.03%
Current HPI
172.85
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-23.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $100,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $125,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $130,000 AcadianaMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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