3578 451 Hwy · Bordelonville, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
LAND WITH OPPORTUNITY -- Approximately 14.83 acres along Hwy 451 in Moreauville offering a versatile mix of open pasture, multiple ponds including a water well, and a crawfish pond that can provide extra income, making this land well-suited for recreational, agricultural, and/or mixed-use purposes. With ample road frontage and a rural setting just minutes from town, the property provides privacy, space, and usability that are increasingly hard to find. Additionally, there is a 2,100+ sqft, unfinished structure that could be converted into a beautiful home. This property combines usable acreage, natural features, and future potential in one offering. Schedule your private showing today!
Key facts
- Water well
- Crawfish pond
- Ample road frontage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No parking features listed
- Home design: Single family residence
- Construction: Metal roof; Wood siding with frame construction
- Exterior features: Acreage
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen present (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Includes at least four bedrooms (Bedroom 1, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3, Bedroom 4)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating specified; No cooling specified
- Interior features: Bedrooms, kitchen, living room, utility room, and an additional room
- Laundry & utility: Utility room available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#368 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Avoyelles Parish (rural): math 22% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #56 of 98 in LA (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Riverside Elementary School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #487 of 646 statewide, top 78%, 240 students, 80% FRL); Avoyelles High School (math 18% / reading 25%, grade F, #177 of 265 statewide, top 67%, 536 students, 53% FRL).
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Avoyelles Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Avoyelles County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.18%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.49×
- Total profit
- $69,605
- Equity at exit
- $90,088
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.90×
- Total profit
- $193,116
- Equity at exit
- $194,278
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71355
- Home prices YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,175 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $237
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $307 | -5% $272 | +0% $237 | +5% $203 | +10% $168 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $145 | -5% $191 | +0% $237 | +5% $284 | +10% $330 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $288 | -0.5pp $263 | base $237 | +0.5pp $212 | +1.0pp $185 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-15status $100,000 Pending 152 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $100,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $100,000
-
2026-03-12price $125,000
-
2026-01-14$130,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,104
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,128
- − Management
- −$1,128
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,337
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$321
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,529/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Avoyelles Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200150
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -29.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,891
- Composite
- 21.32/100
- National rank
- #8378
- State rank
- #56 of 98 in LA
Livability — Bordelonville
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #368
- US rank
- #23389
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bordelonville, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,192
Population outlook (Avoyelles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,084 people
- By 2030
- 37,784 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 35,049 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 32,225 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 25,695 · -34.3%
- By 2100
- 18,985 · -51.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 12% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 32% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Avoyelles
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.1) · D 27.8% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.1pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -43.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.1 2020: R+40.8 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.03%
- Current HPI
- 172.85
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-23.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $100,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $125,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $130,000 AcadianaMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…