4368 Highway 49 · Monroe, AR
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home on 1 acre in a quiet country setting. Featuring new carpet throughout and a relaxing garden tub in the master bath. This secluded property is move-in ready and offers the perfect retreat. Don’t miss out on this great opportunity!
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Built 2020
- Listed 16 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Municipal electric service (Entergy)
- Home design: Single-story property
- Construction: Metal or vinyl siding; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Built on approximately 1 acre
- Exterior features: Level lot; No paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Refrigerator included
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; Free-standing stove; Refrigerator stays
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Clarendon School District (rural): math 7% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #232 of 238 in AR (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.68%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $28,777
- Equity at exit
- $35,926
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.38×
- Total profit
- $75,667
- Equity at exit
- $55,367
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72069
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,084 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $444/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $300
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $346 | -5% $323 | +0% $300 | +5% $278 | +10% $255 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $215 | -5% $258 | +0% $300 | +5% $343 | +10% $386 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $341 | -0.5pp $321 | base $300 | +0.5pp $280 | +1.0pp $259 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $79,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 New Listing 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 New Listing 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home on 1 acre in a quiet country setting. Featuring new carpet throughout and a relaxing garden tub in the master bath. This secluded property is move-in ready and offers the perfect retreat. Don’t miss out on this great opportunity!
-
2026-06-02$79,900 New Listing 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home on 1 acre in a quiet country setting. Featuring new carpet throughout and a relaxing garden tub in the master bath. This secluded property is move-in ready and offers the perfect retreat. Don’t miss out on this great opportunity!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $444 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $511 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- +$67/yr (+$6/mo · 15.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,005
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$444
- − Insurance
- −$1,197
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,040
- − Management
- −$1,040
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $2,483
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$596
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,009/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home is move-in ready with fresh paint and new carpet, offering a great opportunity for a quick renovation.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Dated appearance
- Minor Carpet — Worn appearance
- Minor Paint — Faded appearance
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace worn carpet — New carpet improves comfort and appearance
- Both Install new kitchen cabinets — Fresh cabinets update the kitchen and add value
- Both Landscaping — Improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Dated appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Carpet · Worn appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Paint · Faded appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $2,000–12,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace worn carpet — New carpet improves comfort and appearance ↑
- Both Install new kitchen cabinets — Fresh cabinets update the kitchen and add value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clarendon School District
- NCES district ID
- 0504350
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,539
- Composite
- 8.66/100
- National rank
- #9896
- State rank
- #232 of 238 in AR
Livability — Monroe
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 941
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,269 people
- By 2030
- 5,738 · -8.5%
- By 2040
- 4,856 · -22.5%
- By 2050
- 4,205 · -32.9%
- By 2075
- 3,448 · -45.0%
- By 2100
- 3,278 · -47.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 35%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Hungarian 1% Romanian 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.8) · D 41.2% · R 56.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -15.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+3.7 2012: R+0.1 2008: R+4.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $79,900 HSBOR
- 2026-06-01 Listed $79,900 CARMLS
Property tax history
+56.2%/yrLatest (2025): $444 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…