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4368 Highway 49
B Composite 70.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0

$79,900

4368 Highway 49 · Monroe, AR 72069
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 17 Days on market
Built 2020 Good condition 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home on 1 acre in a quiet country setting. Featuring new carpet throughout and a relaxing garden tub in the master bath. This secluded property is move-in ready and offers the perfect retreat. Don’t miss out on this great opportunity!

Key facts

  • 1 acre lot
  • Built 2020
  • Listed 16 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Municipal electric service (Entergy)
  • Home design: Single-story property
  • Construction: Metal or vinyl siding; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Built on approximately 1 acre
  • Exterior features: Level lot; No paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Refrigerator included
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; Free-standing stove; Refrigerator stays

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Clarendon School District (rural): math 7% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #232 of 238 in AR (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $78,701 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.80%
Cash-on-cash
19.68%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$28,777
Equity at exit
$35,926
10-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
4.38×
Total profit
$75,667
Equity at exit
$55,367

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72069

Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,084 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $444/yr
Insurance
$33
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$300

Break-even live

Break-even rent $703
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $346 -5% $323 +0% $300 +5% $278 +10% $255
Rent -10% $215 -5% $258 +0% $300 +5% $343 +10% $386
Rate -1.0pp $341 -0.5pp $321 base $300 +0.5pp $280 +1.0pp $259

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $79,900 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 New Listing 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 New Listing 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    remarks 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (267 chars)

    charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home on 1 acre in a quiet country setting. Featuring new carpet throughout and a relaxing garden tub in the master bath. This secluded property is move-in ready and offers the perfect retreat. Don’t miss out on this great opportunity!

  12. 2026-06-02
    listed $79,900 New Listing 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (267 chars)

    charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home on 1 acre in a quiet country setting. Featuring new carpet throughout and a relaxing garden tub in the master bath. This secluded property is move-in ready and offers the perfect retreat. Don’t miss out on this great opportunity!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$444 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$511 · $43/mo
Expected delta
+$67/yr (+$6/mo · 15.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,005
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$444
− Insurance
−$1,197
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,040
− Management
−$1,040
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$2,483
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$596
After-tax cash flow
$3,009/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home is move-in ready with fresh paint and new carpet, offering a great opportunity for a quick renovation.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Dated appearance
  • Minor Carpet — Worn appearance
  • Minor Paint — Faded appearance

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn carpet — New carpet improves comfort and appearance
  • Both Install new kitchen cabinets — Fresh cabinets update the kitchen and add value
  • Both Landscaping — Improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance Minor $500–3,000
Bathroom fixtures · Dated appearance Minor $500–3,000
Carpet · Worn appearance Minor $500–3,000
Paint · Faded appearance Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $2,000–12,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn carpet — New carpet improves comfort and appearance
  • Both Install new kitchen cabinets — Fresh cabinets update the kitchen and add value
  • Both Landscaping — Improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clarendon School District
NCES district ID
0504350
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$31,539
Composite
8.66/100
National rank
#9896
State rank
#232 of 238 in AR

Livability — Monroe

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
941

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
6,269 people
By 2030
5,738 · -8.5%
By 2040
4,856 · -22.5%
By 2050
4,205 · -32.9%
By 2075
3,448 · -45.0%
By 2100
3,278 · -47.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 35%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Hungarian 1% Romanian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
R (+15.8) · D 41.2% · R 56.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -15.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+3.7 2012: R+0.1 2008: R+4.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $79,900 HSBOR
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $79,900 CARMLS

Property tax history

+56.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $444 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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