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150 Clinton Rd #38
B Composite 71.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

150 Clinton Rd #38 · Jackson, CA 95642
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Manufactured · 23 Days on market
Built 1977 Good condition 4,356 sqft lot $90/sqft · 9% below area Est $72k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to your peaceful retreat in the desirable Highlands Senior Mobile Home Community! This charming two-bedroom, one-bathroom home offers a comfortable and upgraded living space nestled in one of the more private locations in the park. Step inside to find beautifully updated flooring throughout, installed just eight years ago, bringing a clean and cohesive feel to every room. The kitchen is equipped with a newer stove, while the laundry area boasts a washer and dryer that were also replaced during the same renovation periodmaking this home move-in ready and well cared for. Outside, enjoy the luxury of a spacious two-car carport, providing convenient covered parking, and a large yard tha

Key facts

  • Newer stove
  • Washer and dryer
  • Large yard

Tags

UPDATED FLOORINGNEWER STOVEWASHER AND DRYERSPACIOUS TWO-CAR CARPORTLARGE YARDMATURE TREES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land lease: No (listed land lease amount present in source but excluded per instructions)
  • HOA & community: No association; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured in park; Single wide; Fleetwood make; Built in 1977
  • Construction: Shingle/composition roof; Wood skirting
  • Exterior features: Private lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Synthetic counters
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Simulated wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Tub with shower over
  • Heating & cooling: No central cooling (see remarks); Heating details: see remarks
  • Interior features: Simulated wood flooring; Dining and living room combined; Living room with unspecified 'Other' feature; Synthetic kitchen counters
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry area with 220V outlet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $222 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($850 rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 2.8% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#313 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Amador County Unified (town): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #330 of 517 in CA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 66 units permitted in Amador County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Amador County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $64,025 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.40%
Cash-on-cash
14.66%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$71,733
List price
$65,000
Delta
-3.81%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
150 Clinton Rd #2 0.00mi 2/2.0 720 (0%) 20mo $110,000 $153 80
150 Clinton Road Space #55 0.07mi 2/1.0 632 (-12%) 3mo $80,000 $127 74

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$3,638
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$21,452
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95642

Active inventory
93
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$850 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$178
Net cashflow
$222

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $267 -5% $245 +0% $222 +5% $200 +10% $177
Rent -10% $155 -5% $189 +0% $222 +5% $256 +10% $289
Rate -1.0pp $255 -0.5pp $239 base $222 +0.5pp $205 +1.0pp $188

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
135 Summit St Apt 2 Jackson, CA 1.0 1.0 500 $850 $1.70 45d 1 0.84mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 27 unhealthy d/yr today · 29 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,200
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$816
− Management
−$816
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$1,736
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$417
After-tax cash flow
$2,251/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready manufactured home in the Highlands Senior Mobile Home Community offers a good condition with updated flooring and appliances, and a good investment opportunity with potential for rental or resale value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both painting — refreshes interior and exterior
  • Both upgrading appliances — improves functionality and appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both painting — refreshes interior and exterior
  • Both upgrading appliances — improves functionality and appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amador County Unified
NCES district ID
0602450
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$55,428
Composite
26.67/100
National rank
#7163
State rank
#330 of 517 in CA

Livability — Jackson

Score
67/100
State rank
#313
US rank
#10542

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living F Crime D Employment C Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, CA
City population
7,350
Population (ZIP)
7,350

Population outlook (Amador County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,295 people
By 2030
34,147 · -3.3%
By 2040
31,618 · -10.4%
By 2050
29,913 · -15.2%
By 2075
27,308 · -22.6%
By 2100
23,465 · -33.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 10% Asian 4% Native American 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Russian 4% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Amador

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.8) · D 34.7% · R 62.6% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
-13.2pp toward R · 2008: -14.6pp · 2024: -27.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.8 2020: R+24.4 2016: R+25.2 2012: R+19.0 2008: R+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -144.51%
Current HPI
135.3393
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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