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3807 Grizzard Rd NW
B- Composite 65.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.8/15.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

3807 Grizzard Rd NW · Huntsville, AL 35810
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,048 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1964 0.28 ac lot $143/sqft · 26% above area Est $174k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 4 bed, 2 bath home is packed with potential! The main level features a spacious living room, separate dining area with sliders to a screened-in porch, and a functional kitchen. The lower level offers flexible living options with a bedroom, full bath, and den with patio access overlooking the large, level backyard. Perfect for a guest suite, in-law setup, or private primary retreat! Upstairs includes 3 additional bedrooms and a hall bath. Complete with a double-width driveway and 1-car garage, this home is ideal for investors, DIYers, or anyone ready to add value through sweat equity

Key facts

  • Screened-in porch
  • Large level backyard
  • Patio access

Tags

SCREENED-IN PORCHFLEXIBLE LIVING OPTIONSPATIO ACCESSLARGE LEVEL BACKYARDDOUBLE-WIDTH DRIVEWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Located in the Scenic View Hills subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: One-car garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Tri-level home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built with crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Public water; Lot approximately 0.28 acres

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Tri-level layout

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Highlands Elementary School (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #508 of 627 statewide, top 84%, 371 students, 83% FRL); Jemison High School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #242 of 305 statewide, top 80%, 843 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 46% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 13% at this address vs 34% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Huntsville City average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $120k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.00%
Cash-on-cash
9.68%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$174,250
List price
$149,900
Delta
-13.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3210 Tucker Dr 0.29mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,006 (-4%) 1mo $168,000 $167 74
3628 Grizzard Rd NW 0.12mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,165 (+11%) 2mo $178,500 $153 65
2906 Hester Ln 0.45mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,113 (+6%) 2mo $122,000 $110 62
3120 Las Animas Ave 0.27mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,135 (+8%) 9mo $160,000 $141 59
2208 Glen Iris Cir NW 0.39mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,126 (+7%) 9mo $150,000 $133 55
3121 Greenhill Dr NW 0.66mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,100 (+5%) 2mo $184,000 $167 52
3614 Wilbur Ave NW 0.29mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,196 (+14%) 2mo $150,000 $125 52
2505 Piney Branch Rd NW 0.65mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,015 (-3%) 6mo $140,000 $138 52
3609 Purdy Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,172 (+12%) 1mo $175,000 $149 51
3512 Lois Ln NW 0.69mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,116 (+6%) 2mo $180,000 $161 51
3511 Purdy Dr 0.62mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,198 (+14%) 1mo $150,000 $125 39
2822 Cora Hill Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,180 (+13%) 3mo $204,900 $174 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-7,533
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,627
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35810

Home prices YoY
-23.5%
Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
337
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,630 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$101 /mo · $1,210/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$339

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,202
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $423 -5% $381 +0% $339 +5% $296 +10% $254
Rent -10% $210 -5% $274 +0% $339 +5% $403 +10% $467
Rate -1.0pp $414 -0.5pp $377 base $339 +0.5pp $300 +1.0pp $260

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3203 Dyas Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1346 $2,100 $1.56 24d 1 0.16mi
3210 Tucker Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1005 $1,475 $1.47 14d 1 0.27mi
3614 Wilbur Ave NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1196 $1,420 $1.19 24d 1 0.28mi
3210 Caywood Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1005 $1,475 $1.47 14d 1 0.35mi
3309 Charleston Ave NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1425 $1,375 $0.96 21d 1 0.36mi
3304 Caywood Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,475 $1.13 24d 1 0.38mi
3415 Mimosa Ln NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1320 $1,590 $1.20 44d 1 0.44mi
3803 Mastin Lake Rd NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1103 $1,295 $1.17 44d 1 0.48mi
2215 Shady Lane Dr NW Huntsville, AL 4.0 1.0 1450 $1,500 $1.03 44d 1 0.49mi
3721 Broadmor Rd NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1423 $1,450 $1.02 44d 1 0.52mi
3505 Mastin Lake Rd NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1376 $2,000 $1.45 44d 1 0.55mi
2201 Shady Lane Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1472 $3,000 $2.04 44d 1 0.59mi
2508 Piney Branch Rd NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1205 $1,385 $1.15 44d 1 0.60mi
2505 Piney Branch Rd NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1222 $1,300 $1.06 24d 1 0.64mi
3100 Gayhart Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,298 $1.24 44d 1 0.72mi
2803 Hester Ln NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1224 $1,400 $1.14 24d 1 0.73mi
3423 Rosedale Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1145 $1,000 $0.87 44d 1 0.84mi
4214 Fortson Ln NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1308 $1,395 $1.07 44d 1 0.90mi
3406 Oakmont Ave NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1389 $1,600 $1.15 44d 1 0.94mi
2721 Clayton Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1000 $998 $1.00 44d 1 0.95mi
2002 Laverne Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1165 $1,100 $0.94 24d 1 0.97mi
3205 Lewisburg Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,600 $1.14 24d 1 0.98mi
2711 Clayton Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1030 $1,400 $1.36 44d 1 1.01mi
2502 Hill St NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1288 $1,200 $0.93 44d 1 1.04mi
2706 Norton Ave NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1127 $1,098 $0.97 44d 1 1.08mi
4216 Chalet Cir NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1296 $1,500 $1.16 24d 1 1.08mi
2708 Monticello Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,350 $1.32 44d 1 1.08mi
2708 Monticello Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,300 $1.27 24d 1 1.08mi
2416 Hanover Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,395 $1.07 44d 1 1.15mi
3013 Kirkland Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1324 $1,295 $0.98 44d 1 1.17mi
3708 Valleydale Rd NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1136 $1,350 $1.19 44d 1 1.30mi
2640 Blue Spring Rd NW Huntsville, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 944 $1,149 $1.22 44d 3 1.36mi
3606 Crestmore Ave NW Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.0 1275 $1,400 $1.10 21d 1 1.38mi
1904 Oglesby Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1026 $1,395 $1.36 14d 1 1.40mi
3706 Wilbanks Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 1.42mi
1713 Niblick Ave NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 24d 1 1.46mi
4706 Whitehall Dr NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1469 $1,550 $1.06 21d 1 1.48mi
1715 Chester St NW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,250 $1.32 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $149,900 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $149,900 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    price $149,900 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 22 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 20 DOM
  16. 2026-05-10
    listed $159,900 Active 594-char remark
  17. 2026-05-01
    soldstatus $120,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,210 · $101/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,210 · $101/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,564
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$1,210
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,565
− Management
−$1,565
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$1,717
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$412
After-tax cash flow
$3,651/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Huntsville City
NCES district ID
0101800
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$48,264
Composite
28.84/100
National rank
#6647
State rank
#48 of 129 in AL

Livability — Huntsville

Score
82/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1082

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntsville, AL
County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
220,435
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
32,843
Household income
$51,233
Rent vs Own
36.6% rent · 63.4% own
Severe rent burden
1223.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -61.00%
Current HPI
198.9629
Rent YoY
▬ -0.05%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+24.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $149,900 VMLS
  • 2026-05-10 Listed $159,900 VMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+23.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,210 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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