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187 Nichols St
B+ Composite 76.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

187 Nichols St · Rochester, NY 14609
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,464 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1920 3,936 sqft lot Est $171k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property is a nice house that needs no major love. It has large size rooms and even a detached garage. Stop in today take a look, if you know someone who is handy they can turn this house into a home for you! The Price is Right! This property is UNINSURED WITH THE FOLLOWING REPAIR ITEMS. PER PCR NEW ROOF REQUIRED. $6,000.00; PER PCR ELECTRICAL SERVICE REPAIR. $500.00; MINOR PAINT REPAIR ON EXTERIOR. $750.00; COPPER PLUMBING IS MISSING IN BASEMENT. $1,500.00

Key facts

  • 3,936 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1920

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Cable available; Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story house; Resale property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Copper plumbing; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Existing (built previously)
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Enclosed porch; Covered porch; Patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Appliances negotiable
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5 (includes laundry and entry foyer)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Luxury vinyl; Resilient flooring; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Window-unit cooling
  • Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Window treatments; Drapes
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Laundry located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $562 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $23k; list at $120k implies a 419% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $119,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
11.92%
Cash-on-cash
20.10%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$171,288
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
227 Newcomb St 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,372 (-6%) 1mo $225,000 $164 80
30 Newcomb St 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,502 (+3%) 1mo $70,000 $47 78
1646 Norton St 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,450 (-1%) 0mo $135,000 $93 69
1542 N Goodman St 0.39mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,340 (-8%) 0mo $205,000 $153 58
207 Herald St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,288 (-12%) 1mo $60,000 $47 48
281 Ellison St 0.58mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,350 (-8%) 0mo $184,000 $136 46
1863 Norton St 0.74mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,326 (-9%) 2mo $155,000 $117 44
128 5th St 0.73mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,606 (+10%) 2mo $62,000 $39 43
298 Fieldwood Dr 0.75mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,320 (-10%) 2mo $193,000 $146 38
265 Springfield Ave 0.70mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,268 (-13%) 0mo $200,000 $158 37
865 N Goodman St 0.67mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,245 (-15%) 2mo $76,000 $61 35
1271 North St 0.74mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,276 (-13%) 2mo $128,900 $101 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$25,236
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
29.2%
Equity multiple
4.23×
Total profit
$108,278
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14609

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Rents YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
199
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,714 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,352/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$562

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,002
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $630 -5% $596 +0% $562 +5% $528 +10% $494
Rent -10% $427 -5% $495 +0% $562 +5% $630 +10% $698
Rate -1.0pp $623 -0.5pp $593 base $562 +0.5pp $531 +1.0pp $500

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
207 Lux St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1728 $2,150 $1.24 11d 1 0.18mi
811 Portland Ave Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1616 $1,300 $0.80 15d 1 0.30mi
47 Priscilla St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1250 $1,900 $1.52 22d 1 0.33mi
Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 896 $1,100 $1.23 14d 1 0.44mi
25 Trust St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1003 $1,600 $1.60 4d 1 0.46mi
171 Mohawk St Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1054 $1,775 $1.68 44d 1 0.46mi
326 Northland Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,500 $1.28 3d 1 0.46mi
127 Carter St #125 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1320 $1,400 $1.06 44d 1 0.49mi
52 Frances St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1256 $1,595 $1.27 44d 1 0.55mi
86-88 Baycliff Dr Unit 86 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,030 $1.14 22d 1 0.60mi
1890 Clifford Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 936 $1,800 $1.92 24d 1 0.61mi
176 Roycroft Dr Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1169 $950 $0.81 11d 1 0.63mi
222 Ellison St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 971 $1,000 $1.03 14d 1 0.67mi
59 Clark Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1728 $1,800 $1.04 3d 1 0.72mi
147 5th St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1289 $1,950 $1.51 22d 1 0.73mi
117 Northaven Ter Rochester, NY 4.0 2.0 1460 $1,975 $1.35 11d 1 0.75mi
32 Portland Pkwy Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 652 $1,485 $2.28 3d 8 0.75mi
95 Onondaga Rd Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,630 $1.98 3d 1 0.86mi
100 Fairbanks St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1456 $1,100 $0.76 45d 1 0.94mi
239 Weyl St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1208 $1,600 $1.32 20d 1 1.00mi
126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1574 $1,800 $1.14 44d 1 1.03mi
126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1574 $1,800 $1.14 22d 1 1.03mi
195 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1413 $1,265 $0.90 4d 1 1.09mi
36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 930 $2,005 $2.16 3d 9 1.12mi
36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY 2.0 1.0–1.5 1000 $1,675 $1.68 44d 3 1.12mi
420 Rosewood Ter Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1246 $1,300 $1.04 4d 1 1.24mi
459-461 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1053 $1,450 $1.38 24d 1 1.27mi
182 Laurelton Rd Unit 182 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,600 $1.60 11d 1 1.27mi
149 Brookdale Park Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1543 $2,950 $1.91 22d 1 1.29mi
2450 Culver Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1380 $2,400 $1.74 4d 1 1.34mi
2519 Culver Rd Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,395 $1.74 11d 4 1.34mi
1159 Culver Rd Unit A2 UP Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1313 $1,500 $1.14 44d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-07
    listed $119,900 Active
  3. 2011-04-21
    soldstatus $23,100 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    This property is a nice house that needs no major love. It has large size rooms and even a detached garage. Stop in today take a look, if you know someone who is handy they can turn this house into a home for you! The Price is Right! This property is UNINSURED WITH THE FOLLOWING REPAIR ITEMS. PER PCR NEW ROOF REQUIRED. $6,000.00; PER PCR ELECTRICAL SERVICE REPAIR. $500.00; MINOR PAINT REPAIR ON EXTERIOR. $750.00; COPPER PLUMBING IS MISSING IN BASEMENT. $1,500.00

  4. 2011-01-12
    listed $21,000 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    This property is a nice house that needs no major love. It has large size rooms and even a detached garage. Stop in today take a look, if you know someone who is handy they can turn this house into a home for you! The Price is Right! This property is UNINSURED WITH THE FOLLOWING REPAIR ITEMS. PER PCR NEW ROOF REQUIRED. $6,000.00; PER PCR ELECTRICAL SERVICE REPAIR. $500.00; MINOR PAINT REPAIR ON EXTERIOR. $750.00; COPPER PLUMBING IS MISSING IN BASEMENT. $1,500.00

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,352 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,689 · $141/mo
Expected delta
+$337/yr (+$28/mo · 24.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,563
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,352
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,645
− Management
−$1,645
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$5,117
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,228
After-tax cash flow
$5,520/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
432,803
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
40,274
Household income
$64,603
Rent vs Own
36.1% rent · 63.9% own
Severe rent burden
2183.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 15% Cuban 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.57%
Current HPI
328.7053
Rent YoY
▲ 7.89%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+471.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $119,900 UNYREIS
  • 2011-04-21 Sold (MLS) $23,100 UNYREIS
  • 2011-01-12 Listed $21,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,352 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…