153 Thornapple Ln · Mount Pocono, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +6.9/30.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SPACIOUS 4bd/3ba Contemporary Home w/ 2 FULLY equipped living spaces! BRIGHT & OPEN concept on the upper level w/ tons of windows. Sunken Living Room w/ cathedral ceilings, wood burning FIREPLACE, & wood stove making it a GREAT space to gather family & friends. The Dining Room has sliders to the LARGE deck that overlooks the HUGE 1 ACRE yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. Open Kitchen w/ PLENTY of cabinet & counter space. This floor also has a Master Bedroom w/ a PRIVATE Bath, 2 additional bedrooms, & full bath. Lower Level has a separate fully function Kitchen w/ wood stove, ample Living Room w/ TIKI BAR, bedroom, full bath, & laundry. This home also has a 1 car garage, MANY improvements like the roof & well pump, & has LOW taxes/dues! Call Today to come see this LOVELY Home!
Key facts
- 2nd separate kitchen
- 1 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $400 (about $33.33/month); Association offers other amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage; Driveway; Off-street parking; 4 open parking spaces; Garage faces front
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family house; Residential property; 1 acre lot; Subdivision: Pocono Hemlock Civic
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Cleared lot; Gravel road access; Private maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Microwave; Kitchen island; Granite counters; Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wood stove; Electric heating; Ceiling fans; Cooling via ceiling fans; Other heating
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Granite counters; Vaulted ceilings; In-law floorplan; Ceiling fans; Storage; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-416 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (26.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (31.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $190k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 355 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $160k; list at $275k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.49%
- DSCR
- 0.71
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $211,578
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3022 Briarwood Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,286 (+9%) | 4mo | $204,000 | $159 | 58 |
| 102 Orchard Ln | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+6%) | 13mo | $255,000 | $204 | 57 |
| 4569 Briarcliff Ter | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,110 (-6%) | 1mo | $169,000 | $152 | 50 |
| 3057 Briarwood Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,170 (-1%) | 17mo | $210,000 | $179 | 50 |
| 911 Granite Ter | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,224 (+4%) | 10mo | $180,000 | $147 | 49 |
| 3136 Carobeth Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,055 (-11%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $156 | 43 |
| 129 Echo Lake Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,276 (+8%) | 13mo | $252,500 | $198 | 41 |
| 4553 Briarcliff Ter | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,024 (-13%) | 13mo | $190,000 | $186 | 34 |
| 4122 Timber Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+14%) | 19mo | $285,000 | $212 | 33 |
| 3361 Woodland Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,320 (+12%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $129 | 32 |
| 4615 Burnside Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,300 (+10%) | 16mo | $215,000 | $165 | 31 |
| 900 Granite Ter | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,328 (+12%) | 16mo | $294,000 | $221 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-2,588
- Equity at exit
- $113,814
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $39,838
- Equity at exit
- $168,104
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18466
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 355
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,898 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$326 /mo · $3,908/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $-416
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-261 | -5% $-338 | +0% $-416 | +5% $-494 | +10% $-572 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-566 | -5% $-491 | +0% $-416 | +5% $-341 | +10% $-266 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-278 | -0.5pp $-346 | base $-416 | +0.5pp $-487 | +1.0pp $-560 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5215 Sundew Ter Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7694 Fawn Ln Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,800 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 7067 Vista Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $2,250 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-03-03status Active
-
2026-02-19status Pending
-
2025-12-08$275,000 Active
-
2020-12-04soldstatus $159,900 835-char remark
Show marketing remark (835 chars)
SPACIOUS 4bd/3ba Contemporary Home w/ 2 FULLY equipped living spaces! BRIGHT & OPEN concept on the upper level w/ tons of windows. Sunken Living Room w/ cathedral ceilings, wood burning FIREPLACE, & wood stove making it a GREAT space to gather family & friends. The Dining Room has sliders to the LARGE deck that overlooks the HUGE 1 ACRE yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. Open Kitchen w/ PLENTY of cabinet & counter space. This floor also has a Master Bedroom w/ a PRIVATE Bath, 2 additional bedrooms, & full bath. Lower Level has a separate fully function Kitchen w/ wood stove, ample Living Room w/ TIKI BAR, bedroom, full bath, & laundry. This home also has a 1 car garage, MANY improvements like the roof & well pump, & has LOW taxes/dues! Call Today to come see this LOVELY Home!
-
2020-12-04soldstatus $159,900
Show marketing remark (835 chars)
SPACIOUS 4bd/3ba Contemporary Home w/ 2 FULLY equipped living spaces! BRIGHT & OPEN concept on the upper level w/ tons of windows. Sunken Living Room w/ cathedral ceilings, wood burning FIREPLACE, & wood stove making it a GREAT space to gather family & friends. The Dining Room has sliders to the LARGE deck that overlooks the HUGE 1 ACRE yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. Open Kitchen w/ PLENTY of cabinet & counter space. This floor also has a Master Bedroom w/ a PRIVATE Bath, 2 additional bedrooms, & full bath. Lower Level has a separate fully function Kitchen w/ wood stove, ample Living Room w/ TIKI BAR, bedroom, full bath, & laundry. This home also has a 1 car garage, MANY improvements like the roof & well pump, & has LOW taxes/dues! Call Today to come see this LOVELY Home!
-
2020-10-27$159,900 835-char remark
Show marketing remark (835 chars)
SPACIOUS 4bd/3ba Contemporary Home w/ 2 FULLY equipped living spaces! BRIGHT & OPEN concept on the upper level w/ tons of windows. Sunken Living Room w/ cathedral ceilings, wood burning FIREPLACE, & wood stove making it a GREAT space to gather family & friends. The Dining Room has sliders to the LARGE deck that overlooks the HUGE 1 ACRE yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. Open Kitchen w/ PLENTY of cabinet & counter space. This floor also has a Master Bedroom w/ a PRIVATE Bath, 2 additional bedrooms, & full bath. Lower Level has a separate fully function Kitchen w/ wood stove, ample Living Room w/ TIKI BAR, bedroom, full bath, & laundry. This home also has a 1 car garage, MANY improvements like the roof & well pump, & has LOW taxes/dues! Call Today to come see this LOVELY Home!
-
2000-04-27soldstatus $113,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,908 · $326/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,126 · $344/mo
- Expected delta
- +$219/yr (+$18/mo · 5.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,773
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$3,908
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,822
- − Management
- −$1,822
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$9,954
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,389
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,605/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Mount Pocono
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #362
- US rank
- #3166
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,997
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Current HPI
- 202.4134
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+142.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — PMAR
- 2026-03-03 Relisted — PMAR
- 2026-02-19 Pending — PMAR
- 2025-12-08 Listed $275,000 PMAR
- 2020-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $159,900 Public Records
- 2020-12-04 Sold (MLS) $159,900 PMAR
- 2020-10-27 Listed $159,900 PMAR
- 2000-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $113,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2026): $3,908 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…