CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
153 Thornapple Ln
F Composite 28.93
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$275,000

153 Thornapple Ln · Mount Pocono, PA 18466
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,182 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 131 Days on market
Built 1987 1.00 ac lot Est $212k · 30% over $33/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

SPACIOUS 4bd/3ba Contemporary Home w/ 2 FULLY equipped living spaces! BRIGHT & OPEN concept on the upper level w/ tons of windows. Sunken Living Room w/ cathedral ceilings, wood burning FIREPLACE, & wood stove making it a GREAT space to gather family & friends. The Dining Room has sliders to the LARGE deck that overlooks the HUGE 1 ACRE yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. Open Kitchen w/ PLENTY of cabinet & counter space. This floor also has a Master Bedroom w/ a PRIVATE Bath, 2 additional bedrooms, & full bath. Lower Level has a separate fully function Kitchen w/ wood stove, ample Living Room w/ TIKI BAR, bedroom, full bath, & laundry. This home also has a 1 car garage, MANY improvements like the roof & well pump, & has LOW taxes/dues! Call Today to come see this LOVELY Home!

Key facts

  • 2nd separate kitchen
  • 1 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

CUSTOM MODERN EAT-IN KITCHEN2ND SEPARATE KITCHENENERGY EFFICIENT WOOD STOVES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $400 (about $33.33/month); Association offers other amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage; Driveway; Off-street parking; 4 open parking spaces; Garage faces front
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family house; Residential property; 1 acre lot; Subdivision: Pocono Hemlock Civic
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Cleared lot; Gravel road access; Private maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Microwave; Kitchen island; Granite counters; Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wood stove; Electric heating; Ceiling fans; Cooling via ceiling fans; Other heating
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Granite counters; Vaulted ceilings; In-law floorplan; Ceiling fans; Storage; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-416 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (26.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (31.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $190k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 355 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $160k; list at $275k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $189,772 (31.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
4.48%
Cash-on-cash
-6.49%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$211,578
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3022 Briarwood Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,286 (+9%) 4mo $204,000 $159 58
102 Orchard Ln 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (+6%) 13mo $255,000 $204 57
4569 Briarcliff Ter 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,110 (-6%) 1mo $169,000 $152 50
3057 Briarwood Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,170 (-1%) 17mo $210,000 $179 50
911 Granite Ter 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,224 (+4%) 10mo $180,000 $147 49
3136 Carobeth Dr 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,055 (-11%) 6mo $165,000 $156 43
129 Echo Lake Rd 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,276 (+8%) 13mo $252,500 $198 41
4553 Briarcliff Ter 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,024 (-13%) 13mo $190,000 $186 34
4122 Timber Ln 0.45mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (+14%) 19mo $285,000 $212 33
3361 Woodland Dr 0.74mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,320 (+12%) 6mo $170,000 $129 32
4615 Burnside Dr 0.60mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,300 (+10%) 16mo $215,000 $165 31
900 Granite Ter 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,328 (+12%) 16mo $294,000 $221 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.6%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-2,588
Equity at exit
$113,814
10-year hold
IRR
3.6%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$39,838
Equity at exit
$168,104

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18466

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
355
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,898 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$326 /mo · $3,908/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$-416

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,425
Max offer price $201,481
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-261 -5% $-338 +0% $-416 +5% $-494 +10% $-572
Rent -10% $-566 -5% $-491 +0% $-416 +5% $-341 +10% $-266
Rate -1.0pp $-278 -0.5pp $-346 base $-416 +0.5pp $-487 +1.0pp $-560

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5215 Sundew Ter Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,750 $1.46 44d 1 1.03mi
7694 Fawn Ln Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 1128 $1,800 $1.60 44d 1 1.36mi
7067 Vista Dr Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 1436 $2,250 $1.57 44d 1 1.38mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-03
    status Active
  3. 2026-02-19
    status Pending
  4. 2025-12-08
    listed $275,000 Active
  5. 2020-12-04
    soldstatus $159,900 835-char remark
    Show marketing remark (835 chars)

    SPACIOUS 4bd/3ba Contemporary Home w/ 2 FULLY equipped living spaces! BRIGHT & OPEN concept on the upper level w/ tons of windows. Sunken Living Room w/ cathedral ceilings, wood burning FIREPLACE, & wood stove making it a GREAT space to gather family & friends. The Dining Room has sliders to the LARGE deck that overlooks the HUGE 1 ACRE yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. Open Kitchen w/ PLENTY of cabinet & counter space. This floor also has a Master Bedroom w/ a PRIVATE Bath, 2 additional bedrooms, & full bath. Lower Level has a separate fully function Kitchen w/ wood stove, ample Living Room w/ TIKI BAR, bedroom, full bath, & laundry. This home also has a 1 car garage, MANY improvements like the roof & well pump, & has LOW taxes/dues! Call Today to come see this LOVELY Home!

  6. 2020-12-04
    soldstatus $159,900
    Show marketing remark (835 chars)

    SPACIOUS 4bd/3ba Contemporary Home w/ 2 FULLY equipped living spaces! BRIGHT & OPEN concept on the upper level w/ tons of windows. Sunken Living Room w/ cathedral ceilings, wood burning FIREPLACE, & wood stove making it a GREAT space to gather family & friends. The Dining Room has sliders to the LARGE deck that overlooks the HUGE 1 ACRE yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. Open Kitchen w/ PLENTY of cabinet & counter space. This floor also has a Master Bedroom w/ a PRIVATE Bath, 2 additional bedrooms, & full bath. Lower Level has a separate fully function Kitchen w/ wood stove, ample Living Room w/ TIKI BAR, bedroom, full bath, & laundry. This home also has a 1 car garage, MANY improvements like the roof & well pump, & has LOW taxes/dues! Call Today to come see this LOVELY Home!

  7. 2020-10-27
    listed $159,900 835-char remark
    Show marketing remark (835 chars)

    SPACIOUS 4bd/3ba Contemporary Home w/ 2 FULLY equipped living spaces! BRIGHT & OPEN concept on the upper level w/ tons of windows. Sunken Living Room w/ cathedral ceilings, wood burning FIREPLACE, & wood stove making it a GREAT space to gather family & friends. The Dining Room has sliders to the LARGE deck that overlooks the HUGE 1 ACRE yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. Open Kitchen w/ PLENTY of cabinet & counter space. This floor also has a Master Bedroom w/ a PRIVATE Bath, 2 additional bedrooms, & full bath. Lower Level has a separate fully function Kitchen w/ wood stove, ample Living Room w/ TIKI BAR, bedroom, full bath, & laundry. This home also has a 1 car garage, MANY improvements like the roof & well pump, & has LOW taxes/dues! Call Today to come see this LOVELY Home!

  8. 2000-04-27
    soldstatus $113,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,908 · $326/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,126 · $344/mo
Expected delta
+$219/yr (+$18/mo · 5.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,773
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$3,908
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,822
− Management
−$1,822
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$9,954
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,389
After-tax cash flow
$-2,605/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mount Pocono

Score
77/100
State rank
#362
US rank
#3166

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,997

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.36%
Current HPI
202.4134
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+142.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-03-03 Relisted PMAR
  • 2026-02-19 Pending PMAR
  • 2025-12-08 Listed $275,000 PMAR
  • 2020-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $159,900 Public Records
  • 2020-12-04 Sold (MLS) $159,900 PMAR
  • 2020-10-27 Listed $159,900 PMAR
  • 2000-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $113,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,908 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…