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2989 N Vandecar Rd
B Composite 72.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

2989 N Vandecar Rd · Beal City, MI 48858
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,012 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1900 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious home with great potential, situated on a desirable 1-acre corner lot in a peaceful country setting. The main level features a large kitchen, comfortable living room, inviting gathering room, primary bedroom, and a full bath - offering convenient main floor living. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a second full bath, providing plenty of space for family or guests. Located within the Beal City School District, this property is a fantastic opportunity to create your dream home with room to grow.

Key facts

  • 1 acre corner lot
  • Large kitchen
  • Full bath

Tags

1 ACRE CORNER LOTLARGE KITCHENCOMFORTABLE LIVING ROOMINVITING GATHERING ROOMPRIMARY BEDROOMFULL BATH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic sewer system; LP/Propane gas fuel; Forced air heating
  • Home design: Residential 2-story home; Built in 1900; Below-grade finished area: none
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Michigan basement foundation; Year built: 1900
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Corner lot; Cleared lot; Gravel road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (14 x 15)
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom (13 x 16); Three upper-level bedrooms (12 x 14; 13 wide; 9 x 18)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; LP/Propane gas fuel
  • Interior features: Basement present (Michigan basement); Corner lot and cleared site
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (6 x 8)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $640 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#461 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, employment D+.
  • Beal City Public Schools (rural): math 40% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #138 of 540 in MI (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+16.9%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Isabella County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Isabella County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $64,025 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.30%
Cap rate
18.11%
Cash-on-cash
42.19%
DSCR
2.88
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.0%
Equity multiple
3.10×
Total profit
$38,210
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
53.2%
Equity multiple
7.71×
Total profit
$122,068
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48858

Home prices YoY
-31.9%
Rents YoY
16.9%
Active inventory
249
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,496 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$174 /mo · $2,091/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$314
Net cashflow
$640

Break-even live

Break-even rent $686
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    status $65,000 Pending 19 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-05-20
    listed $65,000 Active 525-char remark
    Show marketing remark (525 chars)

    Spacious home with great potential, situated on a desirable 1-acre corner lot in a peaceful country setting. The main level features a large kitchen, comfortable living room, inviting gathering room, primary bedroom, and a full bath - offering convenient main floor living. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a second full bath, providing plenty of space for family or guests. Located within the Beal City School District, this property is a fantastic opportunity to create your dream home with room to grow.

  11. 2026-05-20
    listed $65,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (525 chars)

    Spacious home with great potential, situated on a desirable 1-acre corner lot in a peaceful country setting. The main level features a large kitchen, comfortable living room, inviting gathering room, primary bedroom, and a full bath - offering convenient main floor living. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a second full bath, providing plenty of space for family or guests. Located within the Beal City School District, this property is a fantastic opportunity to create your dream home with room to grow.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,091 · $174/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,091 · $174/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,956
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$2,091
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,436
− Management
−$1,436
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$7,135
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,712
After-tax cash flow
$5,966/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beal City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2604290
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$54,247
Composite
39.01/100
National rank
#4068
State rank
#138 of 540 in MI

Livability — Beal City

Score
65/100
State rank
#461
US rank
#12984

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beal City, MI
County
Isabella County · 42,226 people
Metro
Mount Pleasant, MI
Population (ZIP)
42,226
Household income
$51,267
Rent vs Own
50.2% rent · 49.8% own
Severe rent burden
2381.0

Population outlook (Isabella County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
75,111 people
By 2030
77,600 · +3.3%
By 2040
79,890 · +6.4%
By 2050
81,568 · +8.6%
By 2075
86,602 · +15.3%
By 2100
92,201 · +22.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 4% Black 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Isabella

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.5) · D 45.5% · R 53.0% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: -7.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.5 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+9.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.75%
Current HPI
206.1153
Rent YoY
▲ 16.89%
Metro
Mount Pleasant, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,091 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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