2000 La Salle Ave · Niagara Falls, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.6/15.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-maintained brick duplex featuring two spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath units. This multi-family property offers a functional layout, natural woodwork, and original hardwood floors with plenty of potential to restore and update. Ideal for an investor or owner-occupant, the home is vacant and ready for renovation or immediate occupancy. Conveniently located in Niagara Falls, this property is being sold as-is and presents a great opportunity to add value.
Key facts
- Natural woodwork
- Brick duplex
- Functional layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.8%/yr); 164 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,521/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 954% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.84%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $114,850
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- 13.10%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1455 Ferry Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 2,208 (+4%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $68 | 52 |
| 2719 Independence Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,208 (+4%) | 15mo | $180,000 | $82 | 52 |
| 506 15th St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 2,184 (+3%) | 23mo | $40,000 | $18 | 45 |
| 615 28th St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,832 (-13%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $76 | 38 |
| 2901 Independence Ave | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 1,824 (-14%) | 20mo | $169,500 | $93 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.48×
- Total profit
- $90,165
- Equity at exit
- $117,024
- IRR
- 28.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.61×
- Total profit
- $276,771
- Equity at exit
- $252,367
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14301
- Home prices YoY
- 6.2%
- Rents YoY
- 8.8%
- Active inventory
- 164
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,521 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$289 /mo · $3,474/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $177
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $251 | -5% $214 | +0% $177 | +5% $140 | +10% $104 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $57 | -5% $117 | +0% $177 | +5% $237 | +10% $297 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $242 | -0.5pp $210 | base $177 | +0.5pp $143 | +1.0pp $109 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 Forest Ave Niagara Falls, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 17d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1935 Niagara St Unit Upper Niagara Falls, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2685 | $1,200 | $0.45 | 15d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3025 Macklem Ave Niagara Falls, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1750 | $2,200 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-04-22$129,900 Active 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Well-maintained brick duplex featuring two spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath units. This multi-family property offers a functional layout, natural woodwork, and original hardwood floors with plenty of potential to restore and update. Ideal for an investor or owner-occupant, the home is vacant and ready for renovation or immediate occupancy. Conveniently located in Niagara Falls, this property is being sold as-is and presents a great opportunity to add value.
-
2025-11-12historical
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2025-10-12$135,000 Active
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2025-10-09historical
-
2025-09-09$135,000 Active
-
2025-09-07historical
-
2025-08-19price $135,000
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2025-08-07$149,000 Active
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2025-06-19historical
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2025-05-23status Active
-
2025-05-23price $135,000
-
2025-05-08status Pending
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2025-05-01price $99,000
-
2025-03-19$144,900 Active
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2024-12-23soldstatus $125,000
-
2024-01-06price $139,000
-
2023-11-29$149,000 Active
-
2012-11-08soldstatus $14,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,474 · $289/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,474 · $289/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,256
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$3,474
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,460
- − Management
- −$1,460
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $157
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$38
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,087/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Niagara Falls City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620820
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,488
- Composite
- 24.5/100
- National rank
- #7655
- State rank
- #578 of 590 in NY
Livability — Niagara Falls
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #956
- US rank
- #18749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Niagara Falls, NY
- County
- Niagara County · 157,377 people
- City population
- 62,983
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,923
- Household income
- $34,549
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 954.0
Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 204,149 people
- By 2030
- 197,900 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 182,239 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 165,198 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 129,416 · -36.6%
- By 2100
- 96,222 · -52.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 25% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Niagara
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 15.41%
- Current HPI
- 266.1457
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.79%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+827.9% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $129,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-11-12 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-10-12 Listed $135,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-10-09 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-09-09 Listed $135,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-09-07 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-08-19 Price Changed $135,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-08-07 Listed $149,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-06-19 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-05-23 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2025-05-23 Price Changed $135,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-05-08 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2025-05-01 Price Changed $99,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-03-19 Listed $144,900 WNYREIS
- 2024-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2024-01-06 Price Changed $139,000 WNYREIS
- 2023-11-29 Listed $149,000 WNYREIS
- 2012-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,474 · -21.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…