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2731 Round Rd
C+ Composite 60.62
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

2731 Round Rd · Baltimore, MD 21225
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 756 sqft · Townhouse public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1945 8,712 sqft lot Est $100k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled in the charming Cherry Hill neighborhood, this delightful 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom townhouse offers a perfect blend of comfort and community. Built in 1945, its traditional brick exterior exudes timeless appeal, while the interior invites you to create your own sanctuary. Cherry Hill is renowned for its vibrant community spirit, with friendly neighbors and local events that foster connections. Enjoy leisurely strolls to nearby parks, where lush green spaces and playgrounds await, perfect for picnics or weekend relaxation. Convenient on-street parking and easy access to public services make daily life a breeze. Embrace the warmth of this welcoming neighborhood, where every day feels lik

Key facts

  • Built 1945
  • Listed 22 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Improvement assessed value reported; Land assessed value reported

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service for heating, cooling, and hot water
  • Home design: Interior townhouse / rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Estimated year built
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted; Above-grade finished area reported as 756
  • Exterior features: Tidal water: no

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wall unit heating (electric); Ductless / mini-split cooling (electric); Electric hot water
  • Interior features: No basement; Finished area reported by assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $491 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 16% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $115k implies a 820% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,275 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
11.42%
Cash-on-cash
18.30%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$99,792
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2715 Bookert Dr 0.06mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 3mo $125,000 $165 95
2737 Bookert Dr 0.05mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 4mo $90,000 $119 94
2820 Bookert Dr 0.07mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 6mo $85,000 $112 92
2856 Bookert Dr 0.11mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 12mo $105,000 $139 85
2805 Bookert Dr 0.07mi 2/2.0 756 (0%) 12mo $164,900 $218 83
3040 Ascension St 0.50mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 1mo $75,000 $99 76
2712 Woodview Rd 0.10mi 3/1.0 (+1) 774 (+2%) 17mo $150,000 $194 72
3051 Ascension St 0.53mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 6mo $100,000 $132 70
443 Roundview Rd 0.46mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 14mo $90,000 $119 67
462 Roundview Rd 0.43mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 17mo $71,000 $94 66
504 Bridgeview Rd 0.42mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 18mo $100,000 $132 65
403 Seagull Ave 0.57mi 2/1.5 756 (0%) 14mo $170,000 $225 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$14,457
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$60,466
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21225

Home prices YoY
-31.9%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,628 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$491

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2745 Round Rd Brooklyn, MD 2.0 2.0 756 $1,800 $2.38 44d 1 0.03mi
2454 Terra Firma Rd Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,650 $1.61 15d 1 0.29mi
511 Seagull Ave Brooklyn, MD 2.0 1.0 756 $1,550 $2.05 24d 1 0.55mi
2868 Potee St Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0 720 $1,392 $1.93 2d 22 0.64mi
3010 Alabama Ave Halethorpe, MD 2.0 1.0 900 $2,200 $2.44 18d 1 0.68mi
2200 W Patapsco Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 890 $1,569 $1.76 44d 1 1.02mi
217 W Edgevale Rd Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 992 $1,800 $1.81 24d 1 1.07mi
205 Arundel Rd W Brooklyn, MD 1.0 1.0 608 $1,200 $1.97 44d 1 1.21mi
2500 Insulator Dr Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 988 $3,816 $3.86 2d 152 1.24mi
2600 W Patapsco Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 856 $1,309 $1.53 2d 24 1.34mi
3004 Elizabeth Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,395 $1.36 4d 1 1.35mi
3513 Horton Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,600 $1.57 18d 1 1.37mi
3017 Janice Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,995 $1.95 24d 1 1.38mi
902 Catawba Ct Halethorpe, MD 3.0 1.0 906 $1,495 $1.65 22d 1 1.41mi
3111 Bero Rd Halethorpe, MD 3.0 2.0 1024 $1,750 $1.71 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-26
    historical $115,000
  15. 2025-09-30
    historical
  16. 2025-02-10
    status Active
  17. 2024-11-15
    historical
  18. 2024-11-15
    listed $99,000 Active
  19. 2024-10-01
    historical
  20. 2017-12-29
    historical
  21. 2017-12-29
    historical Withdrawn
  22. 2017-12-18
    price
  23. 2017-09-25
    listed Active
  24. 2017-09-25
    listed $12,000
  25. 1980-10-24
    soldstatus $12,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,532
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,725
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,563
− Management
−$1,563
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$4,320
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,037
After-tax cash flow
$4,857/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Anne Arundel County · 535,653 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
34,062
Household income
$54,020
Rent vs Own
50.4% rent · 49.6% own
Severe rent burden
1440.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 8% Native American 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.44%
Current HPI
254.5089
Rent YoY
▲ 4.08%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+820.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Coming Soon $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-10 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-15 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-15 Listed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-10-01 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-12-29 Delisted MRIS
  • 2017-12-29 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-12-18 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2017-09-25 Listed MRIS
  • 2017-09-25 Listed $12,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1980-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-16.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $117 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…