CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
93 Orston Rd 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 49.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$4,200

93 Orston Rd · Parsippany-Troy Hills, NJ 07054-3168
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,508 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1960 10,018 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

CLEAN RANCH NESTLED ON A FLAT CORNER 100 X 100 BEAUTIFUL LOT. VERY SPACIOUS HOME OFFERING FINISHED BASEMENT, GARAGE, EAT INKITCHEN AND MUCH MORE. GREAT LOCATION AND CONVENIENT TO ALL MAJOR HIGHWAYS. NEW BATHS, NEW DECK. 5 BED ROOMS AND 3 FULL BATHS.

Key facts

  • New baths
  • Eat in kitchen
  • Great location

Tags

FINISHED BASEMENTEAT IN KITCHENNEW BATHSNEW DECKGREAT LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Storage available; Pets: dogs ok (call for details)

Exterior

  • Parking: Four total parking spaces; One-car built-in garage; Driveway two-car width; On-street parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service; Natural gas service; Fiber optic available
  • Home design: Ranch-style home; Approximately built (year approximate); Renovated in 2023; Yellow exterior
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Range/Oven (Gas); Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on 1st floor with full bath and walk-in closet; Ground-level bedrooms (two additional bedrooms); Basement bedrooms (two bedrooms)
  • Flooring: Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Electric and natural gas fuel sources; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Window treatments; Finished full basement; Sump pump
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $4,200 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$137,228) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $4k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($42k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $4k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Parsippany-Troy Hills Township School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #94 of 472 in NJ (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Eastlake Elementary School (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #176 of 1,303 statewide, top 15%, 370 students, 8% FRL) — zoned schools at 8% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,357 units permitted in Morris County in 2024 (1,496 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $155 of equity ($29 loan paydown + $126 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Morris County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $4,200

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
107.14%
Cap rate
1013.71%
Cash-on-cash
3597.93%
DSCR
161.09
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$137,228
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6 Willow Ln #42 0.49mi 5/2.0 1,632 (+8%) 18mo $149,000 $91 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
192.45×
Total profit
$225,145
Equity at exit
$1,889
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
415.00×
Total profit
$486,861
Equity at exit
$2,910

Cash invested: $1,176 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 07054-3168

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$22
Tax est. 1.5%
$5 /mo · $63/yr
Insurance
$2
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$945
Net cashflow
$3,526

Break-even live

Break-even rent $37
Max offer price $4,200
Occupancy floor 17%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $3,529 -5% $3,527 +0% $3,526 +5% $3,525 +10% $3,523
Rent -10% $3,170 -5% $3,348 +0% $3,526 +5% $3,704 +10% $3,881
Rate -1.0pp $3,528 -0.5pp $3,527 base $3,526 +0.5pp $3,525 +1.0pp $3,524

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,050
Closing costs
$126
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
385 Allentown Rd Parsippany, NJ 4.0 3.0 1722 $4,500 $2.61 44d 1 0.44mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    remarks 249-char remark
  2. 2026-06-09
    listed $4,200 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$54,000
− Mortgage interest
−$235
− Property taxes
−$63
− Insurance
−$21
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,320
− Management
−$4,320
− Depreciation
−$122
Taxable income
$44,919
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$10,780
After-tax cash flow
$31,531/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Parsippany-Troy Hills Township School District
NCES district ID
3412480
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$88,047
Composite
49.68/100
National rank
#1969
State rank
#94 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Parsippany-Troy Hills

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Parsippany, NJ

Population outlook (Morris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
516,747 people
By 2030
524,603 · +1.5%
By 2040
539,582 · +4.4%
By 2050
548,986 · +6.2%
By 2075
571,326 · +10.6%
By 2100
561,122 · +8.6%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $4,200 GSMLS
  • 2013-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $286,500 Public Records
  • 2013-08-23 Sold (MLS) $286,500 GSMLS
  • 2006-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $382,000 Public Records
  • 2005-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $365,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,217 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…