🏷️ Likely Rental
93 Orston Rd · Parsippany-Troy Hills, NJ
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$4,200
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
CLEAN RANCH NESTLED ON A FLAT CORNER 100 X 100 BEAUTIFUL LOT. VERY SPACIOUS HOME OFFERING FINISHED BASEMENT, GARAGE, EAT INKITCHEN AND MUCH MORE. GREAT LOCATION AND CONVENIENT TO ALL MAJOR HIGHWAYS. NEW BATHS, NEW DECK. 5 BED ROOMS AND 3 FULL BATHS.
Key facts
- New baths
- Eat in kitchen
- Great location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Storage available; Pets: dogs ok (call for details)
Exterior
- Parking: Four total parking spaces; One-car built-in garage; Driveway two-car width; On-street parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service; Natural gas service; Fiber optic available
- Home design: Ranch-style home; Approximately built (year approximate); Renovated in 2023; Yellow exterior
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Range/Oven (Gas); Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on 1st floor with full bath and walk-in closet; Ground-level bedrooms (two additional bedrooms); Basement bedrooms (two bedrooms)
- Flooring: Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Electric and natural gas fuel sources; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Window treatments; Finished full basement; Sump pump
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $4k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($42k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $4k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Parsippany-Troy Hills Township School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #94 of 472 in NJ (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Eastlake Elementary School (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #176 of 1,303 statewide, top 15%, 370 students, 8% FRL) — zoned schools at 8% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,357 units permitted in Morris County in 2024 (1,496 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $155 of equity ($29 loan paydown + $126 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Morris County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 107.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1013.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3597.93%
- DSCR
- 161.09
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $137,228
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Willow Ln #42 | 0.49mi | 5/2.0 | 1,632 (+8%) | 18mo | $149,000 | $91 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 192.45×
- Total profit
- $225,145
- Equity at exit
- $1,889
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 415.00×
- Total profit
- $486,861
- Equity at exit
- $2,910
Cash invested: $1,176 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 07054-3168
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$22
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$5 /mo · $63/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$945
- Net cashflow
- $3,526
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,529 | -5% $3,527 | +0% $3,526 | +5% $3,525 | +10% $3,523 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,170 | -5% $3,348 | +0% $3,526 | +5% $3,704 | +10% $3,881 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,528 | -0.5pp $3,527 | base $3,526 | +0.5pp $3,525 | +1.0pp $3,524 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,050
- Closing costs
- $126
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 385 Allentown Rd Parsippany, NJ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1722 | $4,500 | $2.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-09remarks 249-char remark
-
2026-06-09$4,200 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $54,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$235
- − Property taxes
- −$63
- − Insurance
- −$21
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,320
- − Management
- −$4,320
- − Depreciation
- −$122
- Taxable income
- $44,919
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$10,780
- After-tax cash flow
- $31,531/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Parsippany-Troy Hills Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3412480
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $88,047
- Composite
- 49.68/100
- National rank
- #1969
- State rank
- #94 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Parsippany-Troy Hills
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Parsippany, NJ
Population outlook (Morris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 516,747 people
- By 2030
- 524,603 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 539,582 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 548,986 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 571,326 · +10.6%
- By 2100
- 561,122 · +8.6%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
-98.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $4,200 GSMLS
- 2013-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $286,500 Public Records
- 2013-08-23 Sold (MLS) $286,500 GSMLS
- 2006-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $382,000 Public Records
- 2005-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $365,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $9,217 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…