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107 Silver Poplar Pl
D Composite 40.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.9/15.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,800

107 Silver Poplar Pl · Harvest, AL 35749
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,498 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 2002 0.40 ac lot $167/sqft · 28% below area Est $258k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this like-new brick ranch in the heart of Harvest, eligible for 100% USDA financing. Move-in ready with fresh paint and LVP flooring throughout. The updated kitchen features a new dishwasher and stove with a separate dining area. This functional layout offers 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, including a primary suite with private bath. Major updates include a new roof and water heater. Enjoy the patio just off the dining area and a large fenced backyard, perfect for outdoor living. An attached 2-car garage adds convenience. Don’t miss this low-maintenance home in a prime location!

Key facts

  • New stove
  • Private bath
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

BRICK RANCHUPDATED KITCHENNEW DISHWASHERNEW STOVEPRIVATE BATHNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Poplar Ridge

Exterior

  • Parking: Two-car garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Brick exterior; One story
  • Construction: Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: 0.4-acre lot; Public water

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: One-level living

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-30 ($-362/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (2.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (27.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (27.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.5% in Harvest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#27 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Harvest School (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #329 of 627 statewide, top 53%, 734 students, 54% FRL); Sparkman Middle School (math 18% / reading 53%, grade F, #81 of 257 statewide, top 33%, 859 students, 60% FRL); Sparkman High School (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #58 of 305 statewide, top 19%, 1,738 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 29% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 666 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,462 (27.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
6.15%
Cash-on-cash
-0.52%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$258,059
List price
$249,800
Delta
-3.20%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
101 Balsam Poplar Way 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,529 (+2%) 10mo $299,900 $196 82
104 Zelkova Ct 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+0%) 1mo $197,500 $132 79
114 Poplar Green Ln 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,393 (-7%) 3mo $262,000 $188 69
129 Poplar Green Ln 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-6%) 9mo $250,000 $179 67
149 Populus Dr 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,283 (-14%) 8mo $235,000 $183 61
120 Yellow Poplar Ln 0.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,570 (+5%) 13mo $298,000 $190 58
221 Waxmyrtle Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,690 (+13%) 0mo $285,000 $169 53
116 Trestle Point Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,504 (+0%) 14mo $262,900 $175 50
114 Trestle Point Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,486 (-1%) 14mo $249,900 $168 49
103 Willow Green Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-13%) 9mo $195,000 $150 46
8047 Wall Triana Hwy 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,720 (+15%) 2mo $269,900 $157 41
120 Western Hills Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,700 (+14%) 8mo $256,000 $151 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.3%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-46,466
Equity at exit
$37,246
10-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-58,915
Equity at exit
$21,598

Cash invested: $69,944 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35749

Home prices YoY
-5.4%
Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
666
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,825 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,310
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $691/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$383
Net cashflow
$-30

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,863
Max offer price $244,464
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,450
Closing costs
$7,494
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
136 Populus Dr Harvest, AL 3.0 2.0 1374 $1,600 $1.16 44d 1 0.08mi
324 Willow Oak Dr Harvest, AL 3.0 2.0 1226 $1,850 $1.51 14d 1 0.40mi
105 Dorchester Ln Harvest, AL 3.0 2.0 1700 $1,750 $1.03 14d 1 0.63mi
7403 Wall Triana Hwy Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1512 $1,495 $0.99 23d 1 1.13mi
115 Sabel Cir Madison, AL 3.0 2.5 1412 $1,698 $1.20 14d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,800 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,800 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,800 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,800 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $249,800 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $249,800 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,800 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,800 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,800 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,800 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,800 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,800 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $249,800 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-11
    price $249,800 595-char remark
  15. 2026-05-05
    listed $249,900 Active 595-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$691 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,024 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$333/yr (+$28/mo · 48.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,895
− Mortgage interest
−$13,993
− Property taxes
−$691
− Insurance
−$1,249
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,752
− Management
−$1,752
− Depreciation
−$7,267
Taxable loss
−$4,808
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,154
After-tax cash flow
$791/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
0102220
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$66,058
Composite
37.15/100
National rank
#4483
State rank
#19 of 129 in AL

Livability — Harvest

Score
72/100
State rank
#27
US rank
#5986

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
30,710
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
30,710
Household income
$103,901
Rent vs Own
12.4% rent · 87.6% own
Severe rent burden
174.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.54%
Current HPI
291.1184
Rent YoY
▲ 0.81%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $249,800 VMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $249,900 VMLS

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $691 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…