107 Silver Poplar Pl · Harvest, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,800
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this like-new brick ranch in the heart of Harvest, eligible for 100% USDA financing. Move-in ready with fresh paint and LVP flooring throughout. The updated kitchen features a new dishwasher and stove with a separate dining area. This functional layout offers 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, including a primary suite with private bath. Major updates include a new roof and water heater. Enjoy the patio just off the dining area and a large fenced backyard, perfect for outdoor living. An attached 2-car garage adds convenience. Don’t miss this low-maintenance home in a prime location!
Key facts
- New stove
- Private bath
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Poplar Ridge
Exterior
- Parking: Two-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Brick exterior; One story
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: 0.4-acre lot; Public water
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: One-level living
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-30 ($-362/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (2.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (27.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (27.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.5% in Harvest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#27 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Harvest School (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #329 of 627 statewide, top 53%, 734 students, 54% FRL); Sparkman Middle School (math 18% / reading 53%, grade F, #81 of 257 statewide, top 33%, 859 students, 60% FRL); Sparkman High School (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #58 of 305 statewide, top 19%, 1,738 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 29% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 666 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.52%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $258,059
- List price
- $249,800
- Delta
- -3.20%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 Balsam Poplar Way | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,529 (+2%) | 10mo | $299,900 | $196 | 82 |
| 104 Zelkova Ct | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+0%) | 1mo | $197,500 | $132 | 79 |
| 114 Poplar Green Ln | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,393 (-7%) | 3mo | $262,000 | $188 | 69 |
| 129 Poplar Green Ln | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-6%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $179 | 67 |
| 149 Populus Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,283 (-14%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $183 | 61 |
| 120 Yellow Poplar Ln | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,570 (+5%) | 13mo | $298,000 | $190 | 58 |
| 221 Waxmyrtle Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,690 (+13%) | 0mo | $285,000 | $169 | 53 |
| 116 Trestle Point Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+0%) | 14mo | $262,900 | $175 | 50 |
| 114 Trestle Point Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,486 (-1%) | 14mo | $249,900 | $168 | 49 |
| 103 Willow Green Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-13%) | 9mo | $195,000 | $150 | 46 |
| 8047 Wall Triana Hwy | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,720 (+15%) | 2mo | $269,900 | $157 | 41 |
| 120 Western Hills Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+14%) | 8mo | $256,000 | $151 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-46,466
- Equity at exit
- $37,246
- IRR
- -16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-58,915
- Equity at exit
- $21,598
Cash invested: $69,944 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35749
- Home prices YoY
- -5.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 666
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,825 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,310
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $691/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $-30
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,450
- Closing costs
- $7,494
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 136 Populus Dr Harvest, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $1,600 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 324 Willow Oak Dr Harvest, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1226 | $1,850 | $1.51 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 105 Dorchester Ln Harvest, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,750 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 7403 Wall Triana Hwy Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,495 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 115 Sabel Cir Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $1,698 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,800 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,800 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,800 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,800 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $249,800 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $249,800 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,800 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,800 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,800 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,800 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,800 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,800 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $249,800 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $249,800 595-char remark
-
2026-05-05$249,900 Active 595-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $691 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,024 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- +$333/yr (+$28/mo · 48.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,895
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,993
- − Property taxes
- −$691
- − Insurance
- −$1,249
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,752
- − Management
- −$1,752
- − Depreciation
- −$7,267
- Taxable loss
- −$4,808
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,154
- After-tax cash flow
- $791/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 0102220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,058
- Composite
- 37.15/100
- National rank
- #4483
- State rank
- #19 of 129 in AL
Livability — Harvest
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #5986
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 30,710
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,710
- Household income
- $103,901
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 174.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.54%
- Current HPI
- 291.1184
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.81%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $249,800 VMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $249,900 VMLS
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2024): $691 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…