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9000 US Hwy 192 #311 🌊 Lakefront
D- Composite 39.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0

$147,900

9000 US Hwy 192 #311 · Four Corners, FL 34714
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 408 sqft · Condo public records · 112 Days on market
Built 2002 $256/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Corner lot close to clubhouse. Unit is all on one level and is neat and tidy with nice furnishings. 6 ft x 10 ft back porch. Located in resort type lake front community featuring golf course, clubhouse, 2 pools, tennis, shuffleboard and many activitiesfor the residents. And, it is close to the attractions

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Open floor plan
  • Paved patio

Tags

CORNER LOTOPEN FLOOR PLANCOVERED PORCHPAVED PATIONEW LAMINATE FLOORINGNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Furnished; Third-party listing; Living area reported as 688 square feet
  • Financial info: Total monthly association fees noted as $256; total annual association fees noted as $3,072; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: SABRINA STONE association (monthly HOA $256; quarterly association fee $768); Association approval required; Association fee covers security, pool, cable TV, water, sewer, trash, management, maintenance of grounds, insurance, private road, recreational facilities, escrow reserves and 24-hour guard; Community amenities: clubhouse, pool, playground, tennis courts, pickleball, shuffleboard, dog park, storage, laundry, recreation facilities, gated, wheelchair access, community mailbox, golf and golf cart friendly; Senior community; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: Well water; Private sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One level; Faces north
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built on crawlspace
  • Exterior features: Covered rear porch; Rear porch; Rain gutters; Asphalt road access; Lake access (Lake Davenport) with private boat ramp, fishing pier, skiing allowed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Flooring: Laminate; Crawlspace foundation (utility access)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floorplan; Living room/dining room combo; Double-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry in a laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $148k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-114 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (13.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (6.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.2% in Four Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#453 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 716 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $535 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-488 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
  • Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $72k; list at $148k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,844 (13.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  10. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  11. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  12. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  13. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  14. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
5.37%
Cash-on-cash
-3.29%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.33% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.6%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-17,769
Equity at exit
$40,521
10-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-23,087
Equity at exit
$46,814

Cash invested: $41,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34714

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Rents YoY
-3.5%
Active inventory
716
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,388 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$776
Tax from tax record
$117 /mo · $1,406/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$256
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$-114

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,532
Max offer price $127,844
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,975
Closing costs
$4,437
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9000 US Highway 192 #115 Clermont, FL 1.0 1.0 364 $950 $2.61 10d 1 0.17mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$256 · $3,072/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $147,900 Active 112 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $147,900 Active 111 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $147,900 Active 110 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $147,900 Active 109 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $147,900 Active 107 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $147,900 Active 104 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $147,900 Active 103 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $147,900 Active 102 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $147,900 Active 101 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $147,900 Active 98 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $147,900 Active 96 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $147,900 Active 95 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $147,900 Active 94 DOM
  14. 2026-02-26
    listed $147,900 Active
  15. 2014-12-08
    historical
  16. 2014-05-15
    price $72,500
  17. 2014-05-15
    price $74,500
  18. 2014-02-25
    listed $77,400 Active
  19. 2009-04-21
    soldstatus $72,500
  20. 2009-04-13
    soldstatus $72,500 306-char remark
    Show marketing remark (306 chars)

    Corner lot close to clubhouse. Unit is all on one level and is neat and tidy with nice furnishings. 6 ft x 10 ft back porch. Located in resort type lake front community featuring golf course, clubhouse, 2 pools, tennis, shuffleboard and many activitiesfor the residents. And, it is close to the attractions

  21. 2008-12-19
    listed $81,750 306-char remark
    Show marketing remark (306 chars)

    Corner lot close to clubhouse. Unit is all on one level and is neat and tidy with nice furnishings. 6 ft x 10 ft back porch. Located in resort type lake front community featuring golf course, clubhouse, 2 pools, tennis, shuffleboard and many activitiesfor the residents. And, it is close to the attractions

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,406 · $117/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,406 · $117/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,661
− Mortgage interest
−$8,285
− Property taxes
−$1,406
− Insurance
−$740
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,333
− Management
−$1,333
− HOA
−$3,072
− Depreciation
−$4,303
Taxable loss
−$3,809
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$914
After-tax cash flow
$-448/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk
NCES district ID
1201590
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,979
Composite
34.74/100
National rank
#5132
State rank
#62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Four Corners

Score
69/100
State rank
#453
US rank
#8218

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Four Corners, FL
County
Lake County · 364,602 people
City population
27,422
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
28,200
Household income
$75,392
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
953.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
752,975 people
By 2030
804,621 · +6.9%
By 2040
906,117 · +20.3%
By 2050
1,000,476 · +32.9%
By 2075
1,197,520 · +59.0%
By 2100
1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 25% Black 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 17% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.33%
Current HPI
256.1331
Rent YoY
▼ -3.46%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+80.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $147,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-12-08 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-05-15 Price Changed $72,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-05-15 Price Changed $74,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-02-25 Listed $77,400 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
  • 2009-04-13 Sold (MLS) $72,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-12-19 Listed $81,750 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,406 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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