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763 E Howard St
D Composite 43.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.6/5.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

763 E Howard St · Bellefonte, PA 16823
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Other public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1968 0.28 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Loaded with charm. Feels brand new completely redone. Unfinished basement offers additional living space. Great one floor living.

Key facts

  • Propane stove
  • Electric fan heater
  • Eat-in kitchen

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENLARGE REAR DECKMOUNTAIN VIEWSUNFINISHED WALK-UP BASEMENTPROPANE STOVEELECTRIC FAN HEATER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with shared driveway access
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Detached structure; Not located in a federal flood zone; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Block construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck(s); Shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One half bathroom on a lower level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane (owned) fuel; Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full, unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($269/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (17.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $166k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.0% in Bellefonte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 92/100 on livability (#10 in PA, #37 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D+.
  • Bellefonte Area SD (town): math 48% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #140 of 539 in PA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Bellefonte El Sch (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #654 of 1,518 statewide, top 47%, 335 students, 47% FRL); Bellefonte Area Ms (math 31% / reading 52%, grade F, #234 of 512 statewide, top 47%, 576 students, 28% FRL); Bellefonte Area Hs (math 72%, 847 students, 16% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 200 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 399 units permitted in Centre County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Centre County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $104k; list at $200k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $165,697 (17.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.43%
Cash-on-cash
0.48%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.6%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-30,998
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-25,290
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16823

Active inventory
200
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,657 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$155 /mo · $1,860/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$348
Net cashflow
$22

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,629
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $136 -5% $79 +0% $22 +5% $-34 +10% $-91
Rent -10% $-108 -5% $-43 +0% $22 +5% $88 +10% $153
Rate -1.0pp $123 -0.5pp $73 base $22 +0.5pp $-29 +1.0pp $-82

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
302 E Howard St Bellefonte, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 525 $1,250 $2.38 45d 2 0.69mi
313 E Bishop St Bellefonte, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $1,225 $1.75 45d 3 0.73mi
254 N Allegheny St Unit Mansion 1 Bellefonte, PA 2.0 2.0 750 $2,695 $3.59 45d 1 0.81mi
254 N Allegheny St Unit 12 Bellefonte, PA 2.0 1.0 750 $2,250 $3.00 45d 1 0.81mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    listed $199,900 Active
  2. 2008-06-12
    soldstatus $103,900 129-char remark
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    Loaded with charm. Feels brand new completely redone. Unfinished basement offers additional living space. Great one floor living.

  3. 2008-06-12
    soldstatus $103,900
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    Loaded with charm. Feels brand new completely redone. Unfinished basement offers additional living space. Great one floor living.

  4. 2008-06-12
    soldstatus $103,900
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    Loaded with charm. Feels brand new completely redone. Unfinished basement offers additional living space. Great one floor living.

  5. 2008-05-05
    listed $103,900 129-char remark
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    Loaded with charm. Feels brand new completely redone. Unfinished basement offers additional living space. Great one floor living.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,860 · $155/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,509 · $209/mo
Expected delta
+$649/yr (+$54/mo · 34.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,884
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$1,860
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,591
− Management
−$1,591
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$3,170
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$761
After-tax cash flow
$1,030/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bellefonte Area SD
NCES district ID
4203240
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$54,460
Composite
45.25/100
National rank
#2662
State rank
#140 of 539 in PA

Livability — Bellefonte

Score
92/100
State rank
#10
US rank
#37

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bellefonte, PA
County
Centre County · 99,000 people
City population
29,126
Metro
State College, PA
Population (ZIP)
29,126
Household income
$76,245
Rent vs Own
29.5% rent · 70.5% own
Severe rent burden
855.0

Population outlook (Centre County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
177,113 people
By 2030
185,138 · +4.5%
By 2040
196,009 · +10.7%
By 2050
205,070 · +15.8%
By 2075
217,575 · +22.8%
By 2100
230,649 · +30.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 8% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · China, Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Centre

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 48.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-9.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.8pp · 2024: 2.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.8 2020: D+4.8 2016: D+1.9 2012: R+0.0 2008: D+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.54%
Current HPI
202.598
Rent YoY
Metro
State College, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+92.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $103,900 Public Records
  • 2008-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $103,900 Public Records
  • 2008-06-12 Sold (MLS) $103,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-05-05 Listed $103,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,860 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…