763 E Howard St · Bellefonte, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.6/5.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Loaded with charm. Feels brand new completely redone. Unfinished basement offers additional living space. Great one floor living.
Key facts
- Propane stove
- Electric fan heater
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with shared driveway access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Detached structure; Not located in a federal flood zone; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Block construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck(s); Shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One half bathroom on a lower level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane (owned) fuel; Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full, unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($269/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (17.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $166k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.0% in Bellefonte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 92/100 on livability (#10 in PA, #37 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D+.
- Bellefonte Area SD (town): math 48% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #140 of 539 in PA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Bellefonte El Sch (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #654 of 1,518 statewide, top 47%, 335 students, 47% FRL); Bellefonte Area Ms (math 31% / reading 52%, grade F, #234 of 512 statewide, top 47%, 576 students, 28% FRL); Bellefonte Area Hs (math 72%, 847 students, 16% FRL).
- Market conditions: 200 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 399 units permitted in Centre County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Centre County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $104k; list at $200k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.48%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-30,998
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-25,290
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16823
- Active inventory
- 200
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,657 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$155 /mo · $1,860/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$348
- Net cashflow
- $22
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $136 | -5% $79 | +0% $22 | +5% $-34 | +10% $-91 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-108 | -5% $-43 | +0% $22 | +5% $88 | +10% $153 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $123 | -0.5pp $73 | base $22 | +0.5pp $-29 | +1.0pp $-82 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302 E Howard St Bellefonte, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,250 | $2.38 | 45d | 2 | 0.69mi |
| 313 E Bishop St Bellefonte, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,225 | $1.75 | 45d | 3 | 0.73mi |
| 254 N Allegheny St Unit Mansion 1 Bellefonte, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 750 | $2,695 | $3.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 254 N Allegheny St Unit 12 Bellefonte, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,250 | $3.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-18$199,900 Active
-
2008-06-12soldstatus $103,900 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Loaded with charm. Feels brand new completely redone. Unfinished basement offers additional living space. Great one floor living.
-
2008-06-12soldstatus $103,900
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Loaded with charm. Feels brand new completely redone. Unfinished basement offers additional living space. Great one floor living.
-
2008-06-12soldstatus $103,900
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Loaded with charm. Feels brand new completely redone. Unfinished basement offers additional living space. Great one floor living.
-
2008-05-05$103,900 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Loaded with charm. Feels brand new completely redone. Unfinished basement offers additional living space. Great one floor living.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,860 · $155/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,509 · $209/mo
- Expected delta
- +$649/yr (+$54/mo · 34.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,884
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$1,860
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,591
- − Management
- −$1,591
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$3,170
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$761
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,030/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bellefonte Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203240
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,460
- Composite
- 45.25/100
- National rank
- #2662
- State rank
- #140 of 539 in PA
Livability — Bellefonte
- Score
- 92/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #37
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellefonte, PA
- County
- Centre County · 99,000 people
- City population
- 29,126
- Metro
- State College, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,126
- Household income
- $76,245
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 855.0
Population outlook (Centre County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 177,113 people
- By 2030
- 185,138 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 196,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 205,070 · +15.8%
- By 2075
- 217,575 · +22.8%
- By 2100
- 230,649 · +30.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 8% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Centre
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 48.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.8pp · 2024: 2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.8 2020: D+4.8 2016: D+1.9 2012: R+0.0 2008: D+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.54%
- Current HPI
- 202.598
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- State College, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+92.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $103,900 Public Records
- 2008-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $103,900 Public Records
- 2008-06-12 Sold (MLS) $103,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-05-05 Listed $103,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,860 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…