5603 Quist Dr · Port Richey, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HUD Property sold "as-is", Information from sources deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information. REALTORS READ REALTOR REMARKS Case 093-517489
Key facts
- Hurricane windows
- Metal roof
- Above ground pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfurnished; No lease restrictions; Private above-ground vinyl pool
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces south; Residential zoning (R2)
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on 0.14-acre lot
- Exterior features: Private mailbox; Paved road access; Near public transit; Located in county
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Insulated windows
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 0.9% in Port Richey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#368 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 581 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,976/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 2699% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $54k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $59k; list at $125k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.88%
- DSCR
- 2.11
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $260,555
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8138 Papaya St | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,285 (+1%) | 6mo | $266,000 | $207 | 77 |
| 5420 Bay Blvd | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,364 (+7%) | 5mo | $385,000 | $282 | 76 |
| 5510 Berlin Dr | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-9%) | 9mo | $130,000 | $113 | 68 |
| 5425 Bluepoint Dr | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,366 (+8%) | 11mo | $400,000 | $293 | 65 |
| 5531 Quist Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-9%) | 21mo | $236,000 | $205 | 65 |
| 8145 Papaya St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,230 (-3%) | 23mo | $285,000 | $232 | 65 |
| 5620 Quist Dr | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,126 (-11%) | 13mo | $186,887 | $166 | 63 |
| 5700 Bay Blvd | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (+12%) | 16mo | $98,000 | $69 | 62 |
| 5211 Miller Bayou Dr | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,386 (+9%) | 15mo | $205,000 | $148 | 49 |
| 5218 Limestone Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,136 (-11%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $97 | 43 |
| 4941 Waterside Dr | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,166 (-8%) | 14mo | $420,500 | $361 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-4,295
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $8,576
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34668
- Home prices YoY
- -17.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 581
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,976 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,531/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $299
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $370 | -5% $334 | +0% $299 | +5% $264 | +10% $228 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $143 | -5% $221 | +0% $299 | +5% $377 | +10% $455 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $362 | -0.5pp $331 | base $299 | +0.5pp $267 | +1.0pp $234 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5701 Berlin Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,745 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5706 Bay Blvd Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $1,950 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 5712 Bay Blvd Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,900 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 8134 Papaya St Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1364 | $1,800 | $1.32 | 11d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 8128 Papaya St Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1364 | $1,850 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 8124 Cormel St Unit 8126 Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1770 | $1,550 | $0.88 | 3d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 5688 Marbella Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1516 | $1,849 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 8660 Castillian Way Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1864 | $2,080 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 8647 Candida Ln Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1864 | $2,080 | $1.12 | 18d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5616 Mercado Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1864 | $2,080 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5568 Mercado Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1864 | $2,030 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5703 Mercado Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1864 | $2,080 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5695 Mercado Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1864 | $2,080 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5719 Mercado Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1864 | $2,080 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5573 Mercado Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1864 | $2,080 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 7730 Washington St Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,575 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 8026 Brighton Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $2,295 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 7630 Tortuga Bay Blvd Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1180 | $1,825 | $1.55 | 13d | 17 | 0.82mi |
| 7616 Washington St Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1180 | $1,970 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4823 Ebbtide Ln #301 Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4823 Ebbtide Ln Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7713 Heather St New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 8150 Brent St Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $2,500 | $2.26 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4927 Marina Palms Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,700 | $1.19 | 11d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 8540 Robilina Rd Port Richey, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 722 | $1,432 | $1.98 | 4d | 14 | 0.98mi |
| 4620 Bay Blvd #1116 Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,900 | $1.85 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4970 Marina Palms Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,800 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4550 Bay Blvd #1231 Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $2,300 | $2.24 | 3d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4550 Bay Blvd #1231 Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $2,500 | $2.44 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 8712 Roble Way Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,841 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 6430 Lomand Ave New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 952 | $1,550 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 6300 Limerick Ave New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 953 | $1,650 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7309 Washington St New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1311 | $1,600 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 8729 Sabal Way Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1807 | $2,015 | $1.12 | 5d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 6338 Aberdeen Ave New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,300 | $2.30 | 17d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 7353 Royal Palm Dr New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,550 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 6431 Citation Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $1,681 | $1.67 | 5d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 7124 Green St New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 2d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 8030 Gabriel Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $2,025 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6250 Kentfield Ave New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1578 | $2,500 | $1.58 | 5d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-05-21price $125,000
-
2026-05-21status Active
-
2026-04-09status Pending
-
2026-04-04price $150,000
-
2026-03-27status Active
-
2026-03-27price $174,900
-
2026-03-18status Pending
-
2026-03-11price $179,900
-
2026-03-11$179,000 Active
-
2016-07-27soldstatus $58,900
-
2016-06-02soldstatus $44,800 Sold 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
HUD Property sold "as-is", Information from sources deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information. REALTORS READ REALTOR REMARKS Case 093-517489
-
2016-05-05status Pending 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
HUD Property sold "as-is", Information from sources deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information. REALTORS READ REALTOR REMARKS Case 093-517489
-
2016-03-31$41,800 Active 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
HUD Property sold "as-is", Information from sources deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information. REALTORS READ REALTOR REMARKS Case 093-517489
-
2002-01-14soldstatus $54,000
-
1993-10-27soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,531 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,531 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,708
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,531
- − Insurance
- −$5,744
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,897
- − Management
- −$1,897
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $2,002
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$480
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,108/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Port Richey
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #368
- US rank
- #6481
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port Richey, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- City population
- 49,442
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,442
- Household income
- $47,401
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2699.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 5% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.64%
- Current HPI
- 359.7163
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.28%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+150.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-21 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $174,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-18 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $179,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-11 Listed $179,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $58,900 Public Records
- 2016-06-02 Sold (MLS) $44,800 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-05 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-31 Listed $41,800 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
- 1993-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,531 · -12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…