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666 Sims Ave Triplex
B- Composite 68.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,999

666 Sims Ave · St. Paul, MN 55106
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,143 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 97 Days on market
Built 1888 4,965 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity to own a well-maintained triplex with value-add potential. The property features three units plus an unfinished basement offering future expansion or additional storage opportunities. Units 1 and 3 are currently leased through 02/28/2027, providing stable income, while Unit 2 is vacant, creating an ideal opportunity for owner-occupancy or immediate rental upside. Unit 1 (main floor) is a 2-bedroom, 1-bath unit featuring LVP flooring, a full bathroom, and a spacious living room. Unit 2 is currently vacant and ready to rent or occupy, with some cosmetic improvements offering additional value-add potential. Unit 3 is an attic-style 1-bedroom, 1-bath unit with a full bathroom, newly installed bathroom flooring, a large living room, and additional storage space. The building is forced-air heated with additional baseboard heaters and includes a front porch, partially fenced yard, and a gravel parking area with four off-street spaces accessible from the alley. Tenants pay electricity, cooking gas, and a $45/month trash fee, while the owner currently covers water, sewer, lawn care, and snow removal. Excellent opportunity for an investor seeking stable income or an owner-occupant looking to offset housing costs with rental income. This property is currently managed by Housing Hub LLC.

Key facts

  • Gravel parking area
  • Unfinished basement
  • Front porch

Tags

UNFINISHED BASEMENTGRAVEL PARKING AREAPARTIALLY FENCED YARDFRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×2bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba + 1×5bd/3ba units multifamily listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $481/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $300k).
  • Recommended offer: $273k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,567/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 2046% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 14 sale attempts since 34y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $145k; list at $300k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1888 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $272,999 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1888 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
12.07%
Cash-on-cash
20.62%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.26% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$58,931
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
27.6%
Equity multiple
3.83×
Total profit
$238,104
Equity at exit
$25,938

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55106

Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
16.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,567 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$466 /mo · $5,592/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$959
Net cashflow
$1,444

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,740
Max offer price $299,999
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,614 -5% $1,529 +0% $1,444 +5% $1,359 +10% $1,274
Rent -10% $1,083 -5% $1,263 +0% $1,444 +5% $1,624 +10% $1,804
Rate -1.0pp $1,595 -0.5pp $1,520 base $1,444 +0.5pp $1,366 +1.0pp $1,287

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1 $1,540
1× unit 1 1 $1,246
1× unit 5 3 $1,781
Total (3 units) $4,567

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,999 Active 97 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,999 Active 96 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,999 Active 95 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,999 Active 94 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,999 Active 92 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,999 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,999 Active 87 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,999 Active 86 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $299,999 Active 83 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,999 Active 82 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,999 Active 81 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,999 Active 80 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,999 Active 79 DOM
  14. 2026-03-13
    listed $299,999 Active 1318-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1318 chars)

    Great opportunity to own a well-maintained triplex with value-add potential. The property features three units plus an unfinished basement offering future expansion or additional storage opportunities. Units 1 and 3 are currently leased through 02/28/2027, providing stable income, while Unit 2 is vacant, creating an ideal opportunity for owner-occupancy or immediate rental upside. Unit 1 (main floor) is a 2-bedroom, 1-bath unit featuring LVP flooring, a full bathroom, and a spacious living room. Unit 2 is currently vacant and ready to rent or occupy, with some cosmetic improvements offering additional value-add potential. Unit 3 is an attic-style 1-bedroom, 1-bath unit with a full bathroom, newly installed bathroom flooring, a large living room, and additional storage space. The building is forced-air heated with additional baseboard heaters and includes a front porch, partially fenced yard, and a gravel parking area with four off-street spaces accessible from the alley. Tenants pay electricity, cooking gas, and a $45/month trash fee, while the owner currently covers water, sewer, lawn care, and snow removal. Excellent opportunity for an investor seeking stable income or an owner-occupant looking to offset housing costs with rental income. This property is currently managed by Housing Hub LLC.

  15. 2025-12-26
    historical $1,250
  16. 2025-12-24
    listed $1,250
  17. 2024-04-01
    historical $849
  18. 2024-03-13
    price $849
  19. 2024-01-12
    price $899
  20. 2023-12-19
    listed $925
  21. 2017-08-28
    soldstatus $145,000
  22. 2017-08-18
    soldstatus $145,000 Sold
  23. 2017-07-05
    status Pending
  24. 2017-06-28
    listed $165,000 Active
  25. 2011-02-07
    soldstatus $144,000
  26. 2010-10-14
    soldstatus $43,000
  27. 2010-10-06
    historical
  28. 2010-10-06
    listed $46,000
  29. 2010-10-03
    historical
  30. 2010-06-03
    listed $46,000
  31. 2007-12-30
    historical
  32. 2007-05-15
    listed $246,000
  33. 2004-07-13
    soldstatus $185,000
  34. 2004-05-26
    soldstatus $185,000
  35. 2004-05-11
    historical
  36. 2003-10-29
    listed $185,000
  37. 2001-01-17
    soldstatus $121,000
  38. 1998-07-13
    soldstatus $60,000
  39. 1998-06-09
    soldstatus $60,000
  40. 1998-06-09
    soldstatus $60,000
  41. 1998-04-20
    historical
  42. 1998-04-20
    historical
  43. 1997-06-17
    listed $63,400
  44. 1997-06-17
    listed $63,400
  45. 1997-03-21
    historical
  46. 1997-02-07
    listed $57,500
  47. 1996-10-31
    historical
  48. 1996-07-05
    listed $56,000
  49. 1993-09-30
    historical
  50. 1992-12-07
    listed $66,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,592 · $466/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,592 · $466/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$54,804
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$5,592
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,384
− Management
−$4,384
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable income
$13,412
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,219
After-tax cash flow
$14,106/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Paul Public School District
NCES district ID
2733840
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$48,316
Composite
23.51/100
National rank
#7868
State rank
#270 of 301 in MN

Livability — St. Paul

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Paul, MN
County
Ramsey County · 542,837 people
City population
280,599
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
56,708
Household income
$70,187
Rent vs Own
38.9% rent · 61.1% own
Severe rent burden
2046.0

Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
603,431 people
By 2030
636,459 · +5.5%
By 2040
700,596 · +16.1%
By 2050
765,819 · +26.9%
By 2075
929,297 · +54.0%
By 2100
1,053,924 · +74.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 34% White 32% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
59% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 27% Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey

2024 margin
Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -239.48%
Current HPI
288.7205
Rent YoY
▲ 6.26%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+348.4% since first listed
39 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $299,999 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-26 Rental Removed $1,250 RENTALBEAST
  • 2025-12-24 Listed for Rent $1,250 RENTALBEAST
  • 2024-04-01 Rental Removed $849 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-13 Price Changed $849 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-12 Price Changed $899 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-12-19 Listed for Rent $925 APPFOLIO
  • 2017-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2017-08-18 Sold (MLS) $145,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-07-05 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-06-28 Listed $165,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $144,000 Public Records
  • 2010-10-14 Sold (MLS) $43,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-10-06 Listed $46,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-10-06 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-10-03 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-06-03 Listed $46,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-12-30 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-05-15 Listed $246,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
  • 2004-05-26 Sold (MLS) $185,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-05-11 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-10-29 Listed $185,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records
  • 1998-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 1998-06-09 Sold (MLS) $60,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-06-09 Sold (MLS) $60,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-04-20 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-04-20 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-06-17 Listed $63,400 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-06-17 Listed $63,400 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-03-21 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-02-07 Listed $57,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-10-31 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-07-05 Listed $56,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1993-09-30 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1992-12-07 Listed $66,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1992-11-04 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1992-04-13 Listed $66,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,592 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…