35397 N 1st Ave · Fox Lake, IL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- ARV discount +3.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$294,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful double lot surrounds this vintage Cape Cod that is ready to be updated/rehabbed. Lake rights are available through the voluntary HOA for $100/year which includes a key to the boat launch. There is a lottery for piers when one becomes available. 2nd floor bedrooms are tandem. The house appears to be solid and is on a poured concrete basement with a tuck-under 1+ car garage. Cash offers only, being sold as-is. Easy to show.
Key facts
- 3 season room
- Double lot
- Lake rights
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: School bus service and commuter train access
- HOA & community: Voluntary association fee of $100 (includes lake rights); Community features include park, street lights, and paved streets
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (1 garage space, 1 total parking space)
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story Cape Cod; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Approximate total finished area 1,158 sq ft; Main level approx. 856 sq ft; upper level approx. 302 sq ft; unfinished basement approx. 856 sq ft
- Exterior features: Corner lot with mature trees; Water rights; Lot dimensions 95 x 152 x 147 x 133
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (9 x 9)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (master and one bedroom on second level; one bedroom on main level); Master bedroom on second level (14 x 10); Bedroom on second level (12 x 10); Bedroom on main level (9 x 8)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating fueled by natural gas; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Separate dining room; Enclosed porch
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $294k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $707 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $294k).
- Recommended offer: $285k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 6.0% in Fox Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#247 in IL, #4,462 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: amenities D+, health & safety F.
- Grant Chsd 124 (suburban): math 23% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #296 of 620 in IL (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Grant Community High School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #247 of 693 statewide, top 36%, 1,837 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($285k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $151k; list at $294k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.31%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $269,941
- List price
- $294,000
- Delta
- 8.91%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35065 N Hilldale Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,152 (-0%) | 9mo | $255,000 | $221 | 74 |
| 35066 Frontage Rd | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,186 (+2%) | 10mo | $300,000 | $253 | 67 |
| 35060 N Hilldale Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,243 (+7%) | 8mo | $270,000 | $217 | 63 |
| 27892 W Bayview Dr | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,204 (+4%) | 11mo | $615,000 | $511 | 57 |
| 35048 N Hilldale Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-5%) | 17mo | $235,000 | $214 | 57 |
| 35179 N Hilldale Dr | 0.24mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 984 (-15%) | 6mo | $238,000 | $242 | 51 |
| 168 Cherry Ln | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,104 (-5%) | 24mo | $275,000 | $249 | 50 |
| 35242 N Moody St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,092 (-6%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $275 | 49 |
| 35752 N Marine Dr | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,216 (+5%) | 22mo | $295,000 | $243 | 48 |
| 707 Crestview Dr | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,287 (+11%) | 12mo | $280,000 | $218 | 46 |
| 509 Park Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,258 (+9%) | 23mo | $295,000 | $234 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-2,546
- Equity at exit
- $43,836
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $55,994
- Equity at exit
- $25,420
Cash invested: $82,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60041
- Home prices YoY
- -25.0%
- Active inventory
- 35
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,467 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,542
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$368 /mo · $4,410/yr
- Insurance
- −$122
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$728
- Net cashflow
- $707
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,500
- Closing costs
- $8,820
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 525 Circle Dr Unit 1374784P Fox Lake, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $4,830 | $4.24 | 1d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 22 W Grand Ave Fox Lake, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,700 | $2.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 28 Glen Ave Fox Lake, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $2,300 | $1.90 | 7d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 6 N Pistakee Lake Rd Fox Lake, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 1d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $294,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $294,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $294,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $294,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $294,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $294,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $294,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08price $294,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $299,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $299,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-14status Active 1275-char remark
-
2026-05-07historical Contingent - Continue to Show 1275-char remark
-
2026-04-28$299,000 Active 1275-char remark
-
2025-12-16soldstatus $151,000
-
2025-11-25soldstatus $151,000 Closed 440-char remark
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
Beautiful double lot surrounds this vintage Cape Cod that is ready to be updated/rehabbed. Lake rights are available through the voluntary HOA for $100/year which includes a key to the boat launch. There is a lottery for piers when one becomes available. 2nd floor bedrooms are tandem. The house appears to be solid and is on a poured concrete basement with a tuck-under 1+ car garage. Cash offers only, being sold as-is. Easy to show.
-
2025-11-06historical Contingent - Continue to Show 440-char remark
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
Beautiful double lot surrounds this vintage Cape Cod that is ready to be updated/rehabbed. Lake rights are available through the voluntary HOA for $100/year which includes a key to the boat launch. There is a lottery for piers when one becomes available. 2nd floor bedrooms are tandem. The house appears to be solid and is on a poured concrete basement with a tuck-under 1+ car garage. Cash offers only, being sold as-is. Easy to show.
-
2025-11-05$135,000 Active 440-char remark
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
Beautiful double lot surrounds this vintage Cape Cod that is ready to be updated/rehabbed. Lake rights are available through the voluntary HOA for $100/year which includes a key to the boat launch. There is a lottery for piers when one becomes available. 2nd floor bedrooms are tandem. The house appears to be solid and is on a poured concrete basement with a tuck-under 1+ car garage. Cash offers only, being sold as-is. Easy to show.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,605
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,469
- − Property taxes
- −$4,410
- − Insurance
- −$1,470
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,328
- − Management
- −$3,328
- − Depreciation
- −$8,553
- Taxable income
- $4,047
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$971
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,515/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grant Chsd 124
- NCES district ID
- 1717340
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,450
- Composite
- 22.95/100
- National rank
- #7989
- State rank
- #296 of 620 in IL
Livability — Fox Lake
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #247
- US rank
- #4462
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 10,846
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,920
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 700,217 people
- By 2030
- 693,290 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 673,588 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 643,556 · -8.1%
- By 2075
- 562,792 · -19.6%
- By 2100
- 457,715 · -34.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 15% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.75%
- Current HPI
- 230.4464
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+117.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $294,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Listed $299,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $151,000 Public Records
- 2025-11-25 Sold (MLS) $151,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-06 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-05 Listed $135,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-11.3%/yrLatest (2024): $282 · -7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…