2119 River Pine Rd · Forney, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- Cash flow +6.5/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- DSCR +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$270,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover 2119 River Pine Road, a beautifully maintained corner-lot home in Forney that blends clean, modern design with everyday functionality. Located in the desirable Briarwood Hills community, this four-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath residence offers added value with a roof less than 3 years old and a recently updated HVAC system. Sunlight fills the open-concept living spaces, creating an easy flow for quiet evenings or lively gatherings. The first-floor primary suite provides a peaceful escape, while upstairs bedrooms and a spacious game room offer room to grow, work, or host.
Key facts
- Corner-lot home
- Upstairs bedrooms
- 5,140 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $270k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-452 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $190k (29.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (14.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $190k (29.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#98 in TX, #3,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- Forney ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #234 of 826 in TX (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Griffin El (782 students, 48% FRL); Brown Middle (math 29% / reading 39%, grade F, #892 of 1,662 statewide, top 55%, 673 students, 56% FRL); North Forney H S (math 32% / reading 45%, grade F, #866 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 2,502 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 26% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 2639 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 71d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.17%
- DSCR
- 0.68
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $320,429
- List price
- $270,000
- Delta
- -6.69%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1347 Cress Garden Ln | 0.22mi | 4/2.5 | 2,106 (+6%) | 3mo | $319,900 | $152 | 77 |
| 1632 Briar Hunt Dr | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 | 2,280 (+15%) | 3mo | $290,000 | $127 | 68 |
| 16018 University Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,731 (-13%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $182 | 64 |
| 2305 Bay Laurel Ln | 0.59mi | 4/2.5 | 1,893 (-5%) | 2mo | $274,990 | $145 | 63 |
| 2475 Arbutus Dr | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 | 2,167 (+9%) | 1mo | $299,990 | $138 | 56 |
| 2303 Bay Laurel Ln | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 | 2,167 (+9%) | 1mo | $289,990 | $134 | 55 |
| 2473 Arbutus Dr | 0.56mi | 4/2.5 | 2,257 (+14%) | 1mo | $314,990 | $140 | 50 |
| 2123 Charming Forge Rd | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 | 2,271 (+14%) | 1mo | $400,000 | $176 | 49 |
| 2479 Arbutus Dr | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 | 2,257 (+14%) | 3mo | $334,990 | $148 | 48 |
| 2109 Sugar Maple Ln | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 | 2,257 (+14%) | 1mo | $319,990 | $142 | 48 |
| 2307 Ryehill Rd | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 | 2,186 (+10%) | 0mo | $358,990 | $164 | 48 |
| 2043 Pleasant Knoll Cir | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,734 (-13%) | 3mo | $264,990 | $153 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -30.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.00×
- Total profit
- $-75,853
- Equity at exit
- $40,258
- IRR
- -45.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.54×
- Total profit
- $-116,300
- Equity at exit
- $23,345
Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 116 active · 37 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.0 mo (11%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $334,500 ($162/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 119 d
- This list price
- 9% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -0.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 75126
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 2639
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,308 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,416
- Tax from tax record
- −$693 /mo · $8,310/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$54
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$485
- Net cashflow
- $-452
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-299 | -5% $-375 | +0% $-452 | +5% $-528 | +10% $-605 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-634 | -5% $-543 | +0% $-452 | +5% $-361 | +10% $-269 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-316 | -0.5pp $-383 | base $-452 | +0.5pp $-522 | +1.0pp $-593 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,500
- Closing costs
- $8,100
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2111 River Pine Rd Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 93d | 1 | 0.00mi |
| 2330 Aspen Hill Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,795 | $1.20 | 68d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1214 Green Timber Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1731 | $2,165 | $1.25 | 9d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1431 Rolling Fox Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1570 | $2,099 | $1.34 | 17d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1636 Briar Hunt Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,250 | $1.12 | 93d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1718 Cecil Crest Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2147 | $2,395 | $1.12 | 93d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1633 Briar Hunt Dr Forney, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2470 | $2,500 | $1.01 | 70d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1631 Rosy Finch Dr Heath, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $2,600 | $1.56 | 66d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1631 Rosy Finch Dr Heath, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $2,600 | $1.56 | 35d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1622 Rosy Finch Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $2,195 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1625 Rosy Finch Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $2,095 | $1.26 | 93d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1650 Briar Hunt Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1559 | $1,995 | $1.28 | 73d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1610 Rosy Finch Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,895 | $1.50 | 12d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1457 Rolling Fox Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1981 | $2,395 | $1.21 | 34d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2003 Pine Stone Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $2,000 | $1.34 | 93d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1947 Aves Glen Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $2,195 | $1.56 | 73d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2378 Aspen Hill Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1731 | $2,500 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2017 Pine Stone Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2255 | $2,950 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1714 High Perch Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $1,800 | $1.40 | 8d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1429 Dovekie Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $2,055 | $1.57 | 10d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1318 Canyon Wren Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,699 | $1.20 | 71d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1728 High Perch Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 68d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1729 High Perch Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $2,350 | $1.37 | 93d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1271 Falcon Heights Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $2,400 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1727 Crossbill St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $1,750 | $1.33 | 68d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1725 Crossbill St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $1,785 | $1.23 | 93d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1355 Wedgeleaf Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1461 | $2,200 | $1.51 | 93d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1723 Crossbill St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1461 | $1,785 | $1.22 | 93d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1158 Barbary Fields St Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1780 | $2,200 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1720 Crossbill St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1461 | $1,785 | $1.22 | 93d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1719 Crossbill St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,795 | $1.22 | 71d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1718 Crossbill St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $1,730 | $1.32 | 71d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1716 Crossbill St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $1,785 | $1.23 | 93d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1715 Crossbill St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $1,785 | $1.17 | 71d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1231 Canyon Wren Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $1,785 | $1.23 | 93d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2287 Cliff Springs Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,195 | $1.10 | 93d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1229 Canyon Wren Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1461 | $1,785 | $1.22 | 93d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1227 Canyon Wren Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,995 | $1.35 | 93d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1228 Canyon Wren Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $1,785 | $1.23 | 93d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1147 Barbary Fields St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $1,895 | $1.25 | 9d | 1 | 0.38mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Mandatory HOA with annual fee (management fees included)HOA management: Neighborhood Mgmt Inc
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage2 covered parking spaces
- Utilities
- City waterCity sewerMunicipal utility district
- Home design
- Single family residenceAttached propertyTwo levelsBuilt in 2022
- Construction
- Smart home features
- Exterior features
- Lot under 0.5 acreSubdivision: Briarwood Hills Ph 2Please use GPS for directions
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherEat-in kitchen with island and pantry
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedroomsPrimary bedroom on level 1
- Bathrooms
- 3 total bathrooms (2 full, 1 half)
- Interior features
- Decorative lightingEat-in kitchenKitchen islandOpen floor planPantry
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $270,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $270,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $270,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $270,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $270,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $270,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $270,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $270,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $270,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $270,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $270,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $270,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $270,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $270,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $270,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $270,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $270,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $270,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $270,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $270,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $270,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $270,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $270,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $270,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $270,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $270,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $270,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $270,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $270,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $270,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $270,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $270,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $270,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $270,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $270,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $270,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $270,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $270,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $270,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $270,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $270,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $270,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $270,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $270,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $270,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $270,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $270,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $270,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $270,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $270,000 Active 12 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,310 · $693/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,310 · $693/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,693
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,124
- − Property taxes
- −$8,310
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,215
- − Management
- −$2,215
- − HOA
- −$648
- − Depreciation
- −$7,855
- Taxable loss
- −$10,025
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,406
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,016/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, modern home in Forney, TX, offers a good condition with recent updates and a good roof. It's ready for immediate move-in and minor cosmetic improvements could further enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Rental replace carpet — improves comfort and reduces maintenance ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Forney ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819560
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $86,679
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3812
- State rank
- #234 of 826 in TX
Livability — Forney
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #3339
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Kaufman County · 138,716 people
- City population
- 84,799
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 84,799
- Household income
- $103,673
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 14% Arabic 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.93%
- Current HPI
- 148.5749
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.42%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-21.2% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-20 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-06-20 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-05-23 Listed $270,000 NTREIS
- 2026-05-22 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $270,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $299,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-17 Listed $340,000 NTREIS
- 2026-01-20 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $279,900 NTREIS
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $289,900 NTREIS
- 2025-12-17 Listed $299,900 NTREIS
- 2025-12-10 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-10-09 Listed $325,000 NTREIS
- 2025-08-31 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-04-21 Price Changed $349,000 NTREIS
- 2025-04-07 Price Changed $359,000 NTREIS
- 2025-02-26 Listed $365,000 NTREIS
- 2023-04-28 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2023-02-28 Pending — NTREIS
- 2023-01-24 Price Changed $337,435 NTREIS
- 2022-12-09 Price Changed $342,435 NTREIS
- 2022-11-29 Price Changed $347,435 NTREIS
- 2022-11-21 Listed $342,435 NTREIS
Property tax history
-2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $8,310 · -4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…