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944 Commercial Ave
B Composite 73.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$199,000

944 Commercial Ave · Anson, TX 79501
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,579 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 83 Days on market
Built 2015 0.38 ac lot $126/sqft · 45% above area ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Multi-use property in the heart of Jones County is move in ready. Don't miss this opportunity at a property that can be commercial, residential, or recreational; it's that nice! The original structure is pre-1922, but everything was updated and added on to in 2015. The possibilities are endless. With 910 sf, the space has a full kitchen with all the appliances, full bath, living room, and a large bedroom space with walk-in closet. The kitchen is nice! Granite countertops, stained and etched floors, stackable washer and dryer, and much more. The bathroom is off the kitchen and features a walk-in shower with bench seating, wainscoting, and pedestal sink. Other improvements include an attached insulated 28 x 40 workshop with wood burning stove, a 45 x 30 RV cover with full utility hook up, 12 x 12 she shed, 24 x 24 carport, tool shed and outhouse. Did we mention the prayer garden? This place is move-in ready for just about any use. It's worth your look, come see for yourself!

Key facts

  • Full kitchen
  • Walk-in closet
  • Multi-use property

Tags

MULTI-USE PROPERTYFULL KITCHENWALK-IN CLOSETWALK-IN SHOWERATTACHED INSULATED WORKSHOPRV COVER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $813 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $199k).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#377 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, employment D.
  • Anson ISD (rural): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #565 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Jones County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
  • Jones County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $187,060 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
11.20%
Cash-on-cash
17.52%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$79,132
List price
$199,000
Delta
151.48%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1720 Avenue K 0.50mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,553 (-2%) 5mo $74,900 $48 65
1226 15th St 0.37mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,770 (+12%) 19mo $130,000 $73 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.13% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.3%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$87,879
Equity at exit
$102,427
10-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
5.05×
Total profit
$225,854
Equity at exit
$168,761

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79501

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,545 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $851/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$535
Net cashflow
$813

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,516
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $199,000 Pending 83 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Active Option Contract 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Active Option Contract 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,000 Active Option Contract 78 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active Option Contract 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active Option Contract 76 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active Option Contract 75 DOM
  8. 2026-05-30
    days on market $199,000 Active Option Contract 74 DOM
  9. 2026-05-13
    price $199,000 999-char remark
    Show marketing remark (999 chars)

    Multi-use property in the heart of Jones County is move in ready. Don't miss this opportunity at a property that can be commercial, residential, or recreational; it's that nice! The original structure is pre-1922, but everything was updated and added on to in 2015. The possibilities are endless. With 910 sf, the space has a full kitchen with all the appliances, full bath, living room, and a large bedroom space with walk-in closet. The kitchen is nice! Granite countertops, stained and etched floors, stackable washer and dryer, and much more. The bathroom is off the kitchen and features a walk-in shower with bench seating, wainscoting, and pedestal sink. Other improvements include an attached insulated 28 x 40 workshop with wood burning stove, a 45 x 30 RV cover with full utility hook up, 12 x 12 she shed, 24 x 24 carport, tool shed and outhouse. Did we mention the prayer garden? This place is move-in ready for just about any use. It's worth your look, come see for yourself!

  10. 2026-03-30
    price $210,000 999-char remark
    Show marketing remark (999 chars)

    Multi-use property in the heart of Jones County is move in ready. Don't miss this opportunity at a property that can be commercial, residential, or recreational; it's that nice! The original structure is pre-1922, but everything was updated and added on to in 2015. The possibilities are endless. With 910 sf, the space has a full kitchen with all the appliances, full bath, living room, and a large bedroom space with walk-in closet. The kitchen is nice! Granite countertops, stained and etched floors, stackable washer and dryer, and much more. The bathroom is off the kitchen and features a walk-in shower with bench seating, wainscoting, and pedestal sink. Other improvements include an attached insulated 28 x 40 workshop with wood burning stove, a 45 x 30 RV cover with full utility hook up, 12 x 12 she shed, 24 x 24 carport, tool shed and outhouse. Did we mention the prayer garden? This place is move-in ready for just about any use. It's worth your look, come see for yourself!

  11. 2026-03-17
    listed $220,000 Active 999-char remark
    Show marketing remark (999 chars)

    Multi-use property in the heart of Jones County is move in ready. Don't miss this opportunity at a property that can be commercial, residential, or recreational; it's that nice! The original structure is pre-1922, but everything was updated and added on to in 2015. The possibilities are endless. With 910 sf, the space has a full kitchen with all the appliances, full bath, living room, and a large bedroom space with walk-in closet. The kitchen is nice! Granite countertops, stained and etched floors, stackable washer and dryer, and much more. The bathroom is off the kitchen and features a walk-in shower with bench seating, wainscoting, and pedestal sink. Other improvements include an attached insulated 28 x 40 workshop with wood burning stove, a 45 x 30 RV cover with full utility hook up, 12 x 12 she shed, 24 x 24 carport, tool shed and outhouse. Did we mention the prayer garden? This place is move-in ready for just about any use. It's worth your look, come see for yourself!

  12. 2015-01-28
    soldstatus
  13. 2003-03-05
    soldstatus
  14. 2002-08-06
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$851 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,642 · $303/mo
Expected delta
+$2,791/yr (+$233/mo · 327.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,544
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$851
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,444
− Management
−$2,444
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable income
$6,875
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,650
After-tax cash flow
$8,111/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anson ISD
NCES district ID
4808400
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$45,223
Composite
28.21/100
National rank
#6805
State rank
#565 of 826 in TX

Livability — Anson

Score
70/100
State rank
#377
US rank
#7976

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Anson, TX
City population
2,635
Population (ZIP)
2,635

Population outlook (Jones County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,845 people
By 2030
20,213 · +1.9%
By 2040
21,446 · +8.1%
By 2050
22,499 · +13.4%
By 2075
23,272 · +17.3%
By 2100
20,420 · +2.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 19%

Political lean MEDSL · Jones

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.2) · D 13.1% · R 86.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.1pp · 2024: -73.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.2 2020: R+69.1 2016: R+65.4 2012: R+54.5 2008: R+46.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.13%
Current HPI
148.5884
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $199,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $210,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $220,000 NTREIS
  • 2015-01-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2003-03-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-08-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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