16895 Orange St · Blountstown, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$43,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * Multiple Offers Received All Highest & Best offers must be submitted before deadline 1:00PM Central Time on 06-09-2026. * * This three-bedroom, two-bathroom block home is sitting on a corner fenced lot in the City of Blountstown, just waiting for someone with vision to bring it back to life. Inside, this home needs a fresh start from top to bottom. Think of it as a blank canvas. Three bedrooms and two bathrooms give you a solid layout to work with, and the block construction means the bones are sturdy. Whether you're a handy homeowner, a flipper, or an investor looking to build rental income, this one checks a lot of boxes at a price point that leaves room in your budget for
Key facts
- Solid layout
- Corner fenced lot
- Block construction
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Short-term rentals allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Unpaved parking
- Home design: Single-story (mobile home details provided in listing data)
- Construction: Block and wood frame construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Paved lot access; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (approximately 12 x 8)
- Bedrooms: Bedroom (approximately 10 x 9)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Total of 3 rooms (living room, kitchen, bedroom)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $43k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($940 rent vs $43k).
- Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 3.1% in Blountstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#562 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Calhoun (rural): math 52% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #27 of 73 in FL (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($297 loan paydown + $911 appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
- Calhoun County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.71%
- DSCR
- 2.95
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $90,651
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20560 NW Folsom Ave | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,383 (+2%) | 2mo | $92,500 | $67 | 75 |
| 16934 NW 12th St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-4%) | 10mo | $45,000 | $35 | 61 |
| 16979 11th St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (-5%) | 21mo | $183,000 | $143 | 53 |
| 19788 SW South St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,342 (-1%) | 22mo | $30,000 | $22 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.59×
- Total profit
- $31,161
- Equity at exit
- $17,237
- IRR
- 48.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.18×
- Total profit
- $74,358
- Equity at exit
- $25,035
Cash invested: $12,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32424
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $940 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$225
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $730/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$197
- Net cashflow
- $439
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $463 | -5% $451 | +0% $439 | +5% $426 | +10% $414 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $364 | -5% $401 | +0% $439 | +5% $476 | +10% $513 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $460 | -0.5pp $450 | base $439 | +0.5pp $427 | +1.0pp $416 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,750
- Closing costs
- $1,290
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-13status $43,000 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $43,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $43,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $43,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-07$43,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $730 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $730 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,284
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,409
- − Property taxes
- −$730
- − Insurance
- −$215
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$903
- − Management
- −$903
- − Depreciation
- −$1,251
- Taxable income
- $4,874
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,170
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,094/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calhoun
- NCES district ID
- 1200210
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,844
- Composite
- 44.14/100
- National rank
- #2863
- State rank
- #27 of 73 in FL
Livability — Blountstown
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #562
- US rank
- #10782
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Blountstown, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,430
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,969 people
- By 2030
- 13,584 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 12,853 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 12,006 · -14.1%
- By 2075
- 9,504 · -32.0%
- By 2100
- 6,541 · -53.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 20% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.6) · D 15.9% · R 83.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.2pp toward R · 2008: -40.4pp · 2024: -67.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.6 2020: R+62.3 2016: R+56.2 2012: R+43.9 2008: R+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.12%
- Current HPI
- 182.1718
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $43,000 CPARMLS
Property tax history
+46.5%/yrLatest (2025): $730 · +2325.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…