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20864 Santorini Way 🌊 Lakefront
D+ Composite 49.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.7/30.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$359,900

20864 Santorini Way · North Fort Myers, FL 33917
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,716 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 135 Days on market
Built 1991 9,844 sqft lot Est $533k · 32% under · waterfront $242/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Villa Real model in HERONS GLEN GOLF AND COUNTRY CLUB is located on a quiet street and large lot with a views of a lake and golf course beyond. The home is ready for some tlc, so you can make it your own. Outside living spaces include a Florida Room and lanai with planting boxes. Make the most of Florida living in this spacious home with second master suite and a new roof in the amenity rich community of Herons Glen.

Key facts

  • Leaded glass door
  • Custom cabinets
  • Bay window

Tags

LEADED GLASS DOORGRANITE COUNTERTOPSBAY WINDOWCUSTOM CABINETSENCLOSED FLORIDA ROOMATTACHED SCREENED LANAI

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed conditionally (call), up to 3
  • Financial info: Association fee $727 quarterly
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with quarterly fee; Association fee includes management, cable TV, internet, irrigation water, legal/accounting, grounds maintenance, recreation facilities, reserve fund, road maintenance, street lights and security; Community amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, golf course, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis, pickleball, bocce, shuffleboard, putting greens, billiards, hobby room, restaurant, barbecue and walking trails

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Assigned parking; Two parking spaces (covered)
  • Security: Gated community with guard; Security gate; Community security included in association
  • Utilities: Cable available; Underground utilities; Water assessment paid; Sewer assessment paid
  • Home design: Single-story; Entry level 1; Resale property; Faces southwest; Block, concrete and stucco construction; Tile roof
  • Construction: Built with block, concrete and stucco; Tile roof
  • Exterior features: Lanai; Porch; Screened porch; Automatic sprinklers; Community pool; Private paved road; Sprinkler/Irrigation; Northeast exposures; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Self-cleaning oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Den; Great room; Screened porch
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Kitchen island; Pantry; Living/Dining room; High speed internet; Split bedrooms; Bathtub; Dual sinks; Separate shower
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup inside; Dryer hookup inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $360k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-41 ($-489/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $353k (2.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $325k (9.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $317k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Diplomat Elementary School (math 67% / reading 60%, grade B, #564 of 2,144 statewide, top 27%, 1,069 students, 56% FRL); Mariner Middle School (math 50% / reading 47%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,001 students, 53% FRL); Ida S. Baker High School (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D-, #223 of 667 statewide, top 34%, 1,933 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 846 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,255/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 775% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($317k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $316,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  8. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  9. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.16%
Cash-on-cash
-0.49%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$532,818
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2140 Valparaiso Blvd 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,773 (+3%) 22mo $330,000 $186 73
1950 Corona Del Sire Dr 0.21mi 2/2.0 1,602 (-7%) 11mo $250,000 $156 70
2411 Palo Duro Blvd 0.48mi 2/2.0 1,814 (+6%) 0mo $488,000 $269 68
2401 Palo Duro Blvd 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,729 (+1%) 22mo $460,000 $266 53
2521 Palo Duro Blvd 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,644 (-4%) 20mo $500,000 $304 47
1921 Embarcadero Way 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,495 (-13%) 22mo $429,000 $287 43
2640 Palo Duro Blvd 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,917 (+12%) 6mo $440,000 $230 41
20526 Plumwood Loop 0.64mi 2/2.0 1,497 (-13%) 18mo $285,000 $190 34
20502 Plumwood Loop 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,497 (-13%) 18mo $330,000 $220 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.5%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-61,995
Equity at exit
$53,662
10-year hold
IRR
-10.2%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-61,730
Equity at exit
$31,118

Cash invested: $100,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33917

Home prices YoY
-30.2%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
846
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,255 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,887
Tax from tax record
$333 /mo · $3,993/yr
Insurance
$150
HOA
$242
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$684
Net cashflow
$-41

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,306
Max offer price $352,705
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $163 -5% $61 +0% $-41 +5% $-143 +10% $-244
Rent -10% $-298 -5% $-169 +0% $-41 +5% $88 +10% $216
Rate -1.0pp $141 -0.5pp $51 base $-41 +0.5pp $-134 +1.0pp $-229

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$89,975
Closing costs
$10,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2130 Rio Nuevo Dr Unit 1546442P North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1248 $4,682 $3.75 16d 1 0.15mi
2300 Valparaiso Blvd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1237 $4,000 $3.23 25d 1 0.19mi
2300 Valparaiso Blvd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1237 $3,000 $2.43 18d 1 0.19mi
1900 Corona del Sire Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1449 $2,400 $1.66 25d 1 0.26mi
20919 Villareal Way North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1428 $4,000 $2.80 25d 1 0.27mi
1670 Palo Duro Blvd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1604 $2,700 $1.68 5d 1 0.38mi
2481 Palo Duro Blvd North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1450 $4,000 $2.76 23d 1 0.50mi
2481 Palo Duro Blvd North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1450 $4,000 $2.76 18d 1 0.50mi
20559 Long Pond Rd North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1805 $2,295 $1.27 25d 1 0.86mi
20056 Sweetbay Dr North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1672 $4,000 $2.39 25d 1 0.86mi
20038 Fiddlewood Ave North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1519 $1,999 $1.32 21d 1 0.87mi
20728 Tisbury Ln North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.5 2133 $5,000 $2.34 16d 1 1.00mi
10401 Circle Pine Rd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1294 $3,000 $2.32 25d 1 1.40mi
19621 N Tamiami Trl North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1205 $1,300 $1.08 25d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$242 · $2,904/yr

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $359,900 Active 135 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $359,900 Active 131 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $359,900 Active 130 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $359,900 Active 129 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $359,900 Active 127 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $359,900 Active 124 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $359,900 Active 123 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $359,900 Active 121 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $359,900 Active 116 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $359,900 Active 115 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $359,900 Active 114 DOM
  12. 2026-03-24
    price $359,900
  13. 2026-02-06
    listed $365,000 Active
  14. 2026-01-29
    historical
  15. 2026-01-12
    price $369,900
  16. 2025-12-10
    price $386,900
  17. 2025-11-12
    price $396,000
  18. 2025-07-20
    price $399,000
  19. 2025-07-05
    price $399,900
  20. 2025-05-30
    price $419,900
  21. 2025-05-06
    price $439,000
  22. 2025-04-17
    price $446,900
  23. 2025-03-31
    price $467,750
  24. 2025-03-01
    listed $474,500 Active
  25. 2023-03-15
    soldstatus $330,000
  26. 2023-03-09
    soldstatus $330,000 Closed 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    This Villa Real model in HERONS GLEN GOLF AND COUNTRY CLUB is located on a quiet street and large lot with a views of a lake and golf course beyond. The home is ready for some tlc, so you can make it your own. Outside living spaces include a Florida Room and lanai with planting boxes. Make the most of Florida living in this spacious home with second master suite and a new roof in the amenity rich community of Herons Glen.

  27. 2022-11-27
    historical 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    This Villa Real model in HERONS GLEN GOLF AND COUNTRY CLUB is located on a quiet street and large lot with a views of a lake and golf course beyond. The home is ready for some tlc, so you can make it your own. Outside living spaces include a Florida Room and lanai with planting boxes. Make the most of Florida living in this spacious home with second master suite and a new roof in the amenity rich community of Herons Glen.

  28. 2022-11-26
    listed $335,000 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    This Villa Real model in HERONS GLEN GOLF AND COUNTRY CLUB is located on a quiet street and large lot with a views of a lake and golf course beyond. The home is ready for some tlc, so you can make it your own. Outside living spaces include a Florida Room and lanai with planting boxes. Make the most of Florida living in this spacious home with second master suite and a new roof in the amenity rich community of Herons Glen.

  29. 2008-08-27
    soldstatus $170,000
  30. 2008-08-21
    soldstatus $170,000
  31. 2008-07-10
    price $219,900
  32. 2003-09-05
    soldstatus $187,000
  33. 2003-07-28
    price $191,000
  34. 2001-11-17
    soldstatus $200,000
  35. 2001-04-24
    soldstatus $189,000
  36. 1991-04-01
    soldstatus $158,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,993 · $333/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,993 · $333/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,058
− Mortgage interest
−$20,160
− Property taxes
−$3,993
− Insurance
−$1,800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,125
− Management
−$3,125
− HOA
−$2,904
− Depreciation
−$10,470
Taxable loss
−$6,517
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,564
After-tax cash flow
$1,075/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Fort Myers

Score
74/100
State rank
#269
US rank
#4409

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Fort Myers, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
57,035
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,380
Household income
$55,000
Rent vs Own
16.3% rent · 83.7% own
Severe rent burden
775.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.28%
Current HPI
282.2895
Rent YoY
▲ 2.63%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+127.8% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $359,900 FORTMLS
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $365,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed $369,900 FORTMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $386,900 FORTMLS
  • 2025-11-12 Price Changed $396,000 FORTMLS
  • 2025-07-20 Price Changed $399,000 FORTMLS
  • 2025-07-05 Price Changed $399,900 FORTMLS
  • 2025-05-30 Price Changed $419,900 FORTMLS
  • 2025-05-06 Price Changed $439,000 FORTMLS
  • 2025-04-17 Price Changed $446,900 FORTMLS
  • 2025-03-31 Price Changed $467,750 FORTMLS
  • 2025-03-01 Listed $474,500 FORTMLS
  • 2023-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $330,000 Public Records
  • 2023-03-09 Sold (MLS) $330,000 FORTMLS
  • 2022-11-27 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2022-11-26 Listed $335,000 FORTMLS
  • 2008-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 2008-08-21 Sold (MLS) $170,000 FORTMLS
  • 2008-07-10 Price Changed $219,900 FORTMLS
  • 2003-09-05 Sold (MLS) $187,000 FORTMLS
  • 2003-07-28 Price Changed $191,000 FORTMLS
  • 2001-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
  • 2001-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $189,000 Public Records
  • 1991-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $158,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,993 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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