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471 Cedar St
D+ Composite 48.48
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$18,000

471 Cedar St · Dallas City, IL 62330
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily · 5 Days on market
Built 1920 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Consider some remodeling/renovations to this property to make it a great rental investment or first home!! The one story home offers an enclosed front porch, living room, bedroom, large kitchen/dining room, laundry room, and a full bathroom. The exterior is partially masonite or shingled siding. There is a partial/unfinished basement. The property will be selling in "AS IS" condition.

Key facts

  • Shingled siding
  • Enclosed front porch
  • 5,227 sq ft lot

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHLARGE KITCHEN DINING ROOMPARTIAL UNFINISHED BASEMENTPARTIALLY MASONITE SIDINGSHINGLED SIDING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 54 x 100; Zoning: Other

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
  • Construction: Masonite and other construction materials; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eating area
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring in eating area and bedroom; Hardwood flooring in living room and laundry
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heat
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Sump pump; Gas water heater; Unfinished partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $18k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $523 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($860 rent vs $18k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#549 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Illini West H S District 307 (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #611 of 919 in IL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Illini West High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #319 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 342 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $192 of equity ($124 loan paydown + $68 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Hancock County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $18,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.78%
Cap rate
41.16%
Cash-on-cash
124.51%
DSCR
6.54
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$79,680
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
489 E 3rd St 0.54mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,013 (+6%) 19mo $84,500 $83 45
750 W 3rd St 0.59mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,080 (+12%) 15mo $45,000 $42 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.57×
Total profit
$33,137
Equity at exit
$5,570
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.80×
Total profit
$74,610
Equity at exit
$6,977

Cash invested: $5,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62330

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$860 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$94
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $658/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$181
Net cashflow
$523

Break-even live

Break-even rent $198
Max offer price $18,000
Occupancy floor 34%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $533 -5% $528 +0% $523 +5% $518 +10% $513
Rent -10% $455 -5% $489 +0% $523 +5% $557 +10% $591
Rate -1.0pp $532 -0.5pp $528 base $523 +0.5pp $518 +1.0pp $514

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,500
Closing costs
$540
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $18,000 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $18,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $18,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $18,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $18,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    remarks 388-char remark
  7. 2026-06-03
    listed $18,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$658 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$658 · $55/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,324
− Mortgage interest
−$1,008
− Property taxes
−$658
− Insurance
−$90
− Repairs & maintenance
−$826
− Management
−$826
− Depreciation
−$524
Taxable income
$6,393
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,534
After-tax cash flow
$4,741/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Illini West H S District 307
NCES district ID
1701384
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$47,745
Composite
24.88/100
National rank
#12997
State rank
#611 of 919 in IL

Livability — Dallas City

Score
66/100
State rank
#549
US rank
#11621

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dallas City, IL
Population (ZIP)
1,548

Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,042 people
By 2030
16,056 · -5.8%
By 2040
13,912 · -18.4%
By 2050
11,879 · -30.3%
By 2075
8,302 · -51.3%
By 2100
5,846 · -65.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Hancock

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.1% · R 74.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-39.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -50.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.0 2020: R+48.9 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+19.0 2008: R+10.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.38%
Current HPI
133.3962
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $18,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-5.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $658 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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