1907 W 4th St · North Platte, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
So much potential with this property! Bathroom has a claw foot tub & separate shower and loads of storage. There are two closets in master bedroom & a large back yard. Call Kim 308-520-2950 to see this property before its too late!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Porch area
- Privacy fence
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Composition roof; Storm door(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater; Laminate flooring; Partial, partially finished basement; Storm door(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($423/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (13.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $112k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.5% in North Platte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#109 in NE, #4,400 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D, commute F.
- North Platte Public Schools (town): math 47% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #77 of 111 in NE (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 190 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lincoln County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $130k implies a 123% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.16%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $169,199
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- -23.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1610 W 5th St | 0.17mi | 2/1.5 | 1,544 (+1%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $136 | 87 |
| 907 W 6th St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 1,527 (+0%) | 2mo | $157,000 | $103 | 68 |
| 802 N Jackson Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,622 (+7%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $117 | 58 |
| 2905 W 4th | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,498 (-2%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $187 | 57 |
| 1800 W D St | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,590 (+4%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $142 | 53 |
| 602 N Sherman Ave | 0.19mi | 1/2.0 (-1) | 1,728 (+14%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $90 | 52 |
| 301 S Carr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,611 (+6%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $137 | 51 |
| 121 N Elder Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (-1%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $149 | 49 |
| 1302 W 3rd St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,722 (+13%) | 2mo | $203,000 | $118 | 49 |
| 1512 W B St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,350 (-11%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $126 | 46 |
| 2211 W E | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,644 (+8%) | 7mo | $265,000 | $161 | 40 |
| 1911 W E St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-15%) | 4mo | $197,000 | $152 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-18,833
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-13,555
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 69101
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,125 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,408/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $35
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 315-char remark
-
2026-04-29$130,000 Active 315-char remark
-
2017-03-17soldstatus $58,200 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
So much potential with this property! Bathroom has a claw foot tub & separate shower and loads of storage. There are two closets in master bedroom & a large back yard. Call Kim 308-520-2950 to see this property before its too late!
-
2016-09-01$62,000 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
So much potential with this property! Bathroom has a claw foot tub & separate shower and loads of storage. There are two closets in master bedroom & a large back yard. Call Kim 308-520-2950 to see this property before its too late!
-
2009-06-10soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,408 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,249 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- +$841/yr (+$70/mo · 59.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,496
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,408
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,080
- − Management
- −$1,080
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$1,786
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$429
- After-tax cash flow
- $851/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Platte Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3100022
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,348
- Composite
- 39.64/100
- National rank
- #3918
- State rank
- #77 of 111 in NE
Livability — North Platte
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #4400
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Platte, NE
- County
- Lincoln County · 27,198 people
- City population
- 27,198
- Metro
- North Platte, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,198
- Household income
- $62,268
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 796.0
Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,750 people
- By 2030
- 34,004 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 32,310 · -7.0%
- By 2050
- 30,918 · -11.0%
- By 2075
- 29,245 · -15.8%
- By 2100
- 29,116 · -16.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.2) · D 21.8% · R 77.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.7pp toward R · 2008: -35.5pp · 2024: -55.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.2 2020: R+54.6 2016: R+58.1 2012: R+40.6 2008: R+35.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -132.87%
- Current HPI
- 174.088
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- North Platte, NE
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+100.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — LCBR
- 2026-04-29 Listed $130,000 LCBR
- 2017-03-17 Sold (MLS) $58,200 LCBR
- 2016-09-01 Listed $62,000 LCBR
- 2009-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,408 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…