2317 Fruitville Pike · East Petersburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.2/30.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to 2317 Fruitville Pike, a charming 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath home situated on a scenic half-acre lot in Lancaster's desirable Manheim Township. The property offers over 1,900 square feet of total finished living space, including an impressive detached, two-story garage completed in 2023. The garage's upper level is a fully finished 500+ sq ft studio, heated and cooled by its own electric heat pump - perfect for a peaceful home office with a view, an artist's retreat, or a dedicated workshop (permits obtained for all work). The main house (1,430 sq ft) features efficient propane heat and includes custom built-ins upstairs. Step outside to your own picturesque oasis: fenced garden beds with mature apple trees and raspberry bushes, a storage shed, a brand-new deck, a new driveway, a new fence along the north side, and even a gentle sledding hill. This space is a gardener's dream, an artisan's sanctuary, and allows plenty of room to breathe. Significant updates provide peace of mind, including a newer roof (2013), heat pump hot water heater (2021), upgraded electrical panel (2021), insulation improvements (2018 & 2021), and new exterior doors and windows (2020). Enjoy easy access to Routes 283 and 30, Overlook Park, and the highly-rated schools of the Manheim Township district, including Bucher Elementary.
Key facts
- Brand new deck
- Fenced garden beds
- Raspberry bushes
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-552 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (32.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (37.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $187k (37.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 1.9% in East Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#87 in PA, #640 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities F.
- Manheim Township SD (suburban): math 53% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #61 of 539 in PA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Bucher Sch (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #313 of 1,518 statewide, top 24%, 385 students, 38% FRL); Manheim Twp Ms (math 34% / reading 63%, grade C-, #146 of 512 statewide, top 30%, 955 students, 32% FRL); Manheim Twp Hs (math 81% / reading 24%, grade C-, #107 of 437 statewide, top 25%, 1,899 students, 29% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $300k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.62% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.88%
- DSCR
- 0.65
- GRM
- 13.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $382,695
- List price
- $299,900
- Delta
- -21.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 429 Candlewyck Rd | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,451 (+2%) | 3mo | $415,000 | $286 | 73 |
| 351 Old Delp Rd | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,606 (+12%) | 13mo | $378,000 | $235 | 54 |
| 458 Revere Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,638 (+14%) | 7mo | $400,000 | $244 | 51 |
| 422 Chelsea Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,616 (+13%) | 8mo | $395,000 | $244 | 42 |
| 2156 Kentwood Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,600 (+12%) | 22mo | $345,000 | $216 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-81,845
- Equity at exit
- $44,716
- IRR
- -25.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.29×
- Total profit
- $-108,636
- Equity at exit
- $25,930
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17601
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 327
- Price-to-rent
- 13.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,868 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$329 /mo · $3,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $-552
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-382 | -5% $-467 | +0% $-552 | +5% $-636 | +10% $-721 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-699 | -5% $-625 | +0% $-552 | +5% $-478 | +10% $-404 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-401 | -0.5pp $-475 | base $-552 | +0.5pp $-629 | +1.0pp $-708 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 590 Candlewyck Rd Lancaster, PA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.5 | 1475 | $1,909 | $1.29 | 15d | 8 | 0.35mi |
| 2600 Lititz Pike Apt 2 Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1373 | $1,850 | $1.35 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-19status Pending 1341-char remark
Show marketing remark (1341 chars)
Welcome home to 2317 Fruitville Pike, a charming 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath home situated on a scenic half-acre lot in Lancaster's desirable Manheim Township. The property offers over 1,900 square feet of total finished living space, including an impressive detached, two-story garage completed in 2023. The garage's upper level is a fully finished 500+ sq ft studio, heated and cooled by its own electric heat pump - perfect for a peaceful home office with a view, an artist's retreat, or a dedicated workshop (permits obtained for all work). The main house (1,430 sq ft) features efficient propane heat and includes custom built-ins upstairs. Step outside to your own picturesque oasis: fenced garden beds with mature apple trees and raspberry bushes, a storage shed, a brand-new deck, a new driveway, a new fence along the north side, and even a gentle sledding hill. This space is a gardener's dream, an artisan's sanctuary, and allows plenty of room to breathe. Significant updates provide peace of mind, including a newer roof (2013), heat pump hot water heater (2021), upgraded electrical panel (2021), insulation improvements (2018 & 2021), and new exterior doors and windows (2020). Enjoy easy access to Routes 283 and 30, Overlook Park, and the highly-rated schools of the Manheim Township district, including Bucher Elementary.
-
2026-05-15price $299,900 1341-char remark
Show marketing remark (1341 chars)
Welcome home to 2317 Fruitville Pike, a charming 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath home situated on a scenic half-acre lot in Lancaster's desirable Manheim Township. The property offers over 1,900 square feet of total finished living space, including an impressive detached, two-story garage completed in 2023. The garage's upper level is a fully finished 500+ sq ft studio, heated and cooled by its own electric heat pump - perfect for a peaceful home office with a view, an artist's retreat, or a dedicated workshop (permits obtained for all work). The main house (1,430 sq ft) features efficient propane heat and includes custom built-ins upstairs. Step outside to your own picturesque oasis: fenced garden beds with mature apple trees and raspberry bushes, a storage shed, a brand-new deck, a new driveway, a new fence along the north side, and even a gentle sledding hill. This space is a gardener's dream, an artisan's sanctuary, and allows plenty of room to breathe. Significant updates provide peace of mind, including a newer roof (2013), heat pump hot water heater (2021), upgraded electrical panel (2021), insulation improvements (2018 & 2021), and new exterior doors and windows (2020). Enjoy easy access to Routes 283 and 30, Overlook Park, and the highly-rated schools of the Manheim Township district, including Bucher Elementary.
-
2026-05-11price $313,000 1341-char remark
Show marketing remark (1341 chars)
Welcome home to 2317 Fruitville Pike, a charming 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath home situated on a scenic half-acre lot in Lancaster's desirable Manheim Township. The property offers over 1,900 square feet of total finished living space, including an impressive detached, two-story garage completed in 2023. The garage's upper level is a fully finished 500+ sq ft studio, heated and cooled by its own electric heat pump - perfect for a peaceful home office with a view, an artist's retreat, or a dedicated workshop (permits obtained for all work). The main house (1,430 sq ft) features efficient propane heat and includes custom built-ins upstairs. Step outside to your own picturesque oasis: fenced garden beds with mature apple trees and raspberry bushes, a storage shed, a brand-new deck, a new driveway, a new fence along the north side, and even a gentle sledding hill. This space is a gardener's dream, an artisan's sanctuary, and allows plenty of room to breathe. Significant updates provide peace of mind, including a newer roof (2013), heat pump hot water heater (2021), upgraded electrical panel (2021), insulation improvements (2018 & 2021), and new exterior doors and windows (2020). Enjoy easy access to Routes 283 and 30, Overlook Park, and the highly-rated schools of the Manheim Township district, including Bucher Elementary.
-
2026-04-21price $314,159 1341-char remark
Show marketing remark (1341 chars)
Welcome home to 2317 Fruitville Pike, a charming 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath home situated on a scenic half-acre lot in Lancaster's desirable Manheim Township. The property offers over 1,900 square feet of total finished living space, including an impressive detached, two-story garage completed in 2023. The garage's upper level is a fully finished 500+ sq ft studio, heated and cooled by its own electric heat pump - perfect for a peaceful home office with a view, an artist's retreat, or a dedicated workshop (permits obtained for all work). The main house (1,430 sq ft) features efficient propane heat and includes custom built-ins upstairs. Step outside to your own picturesque oasis: fenced garden beds with mature apple trees and raspberry bushes, a storage shed, a brand-new deck, a new driveway, a new fence along the north side, and even a gentle sledding hill. This space is a gardener's dream, an artisan's sanctuary, and allows plenty of room to breathe. Significant updates provide peace of mind, including a newer roof (2013), heat pump hot water heater (2021), upgraded electrical panel (2021), insulation improvements (2018 & 2021), and new exterior doors and windows (2020). Enjoy easy access to Routes 283 and 30, Overlook Park, and the highly-rated schools of the Manheim Township district, including Bucher Elementary.
-
2026-04-09$333,000 Active 1341-char remark
Show marketing remark (1341 chars)
Welcome home to 2317 Fruitville Pike, a charming 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath home situated on a scenic half-acre lot in Lancaster's desirable Manheim Township. The property offers over 1,900 square feet of total finished living space, including an impressive detached, two-story garage completed in 2023. The garage's upper level is a fully finished 500+ sq ft studio, heated and cooled by its own electric heat pump - perfect for a peaceful home office with a view, an artist's retreat, or a dedicated workshop (permits obtained for all work). The main house (1,430 sq ft) features efficient propane heat and includes custom built-ins upstairs. Step outside to your own picturesque oasis: fenced garden beds with mature apple trees and raspberry bushes, a storage shed, a brand-new deck, a new driveway, a new fence along the north side, and even a gentle sledding hill. This space is a gardener's dream, an artisan's sanctuary, and allows plenty of room to breathe. Significant updates provide peace of mind, including a newer roof (2013), heat pump hot water heater (2021), upgraded electrical panel (2021), insulation improvements (2018 & 2021), and new exterior doors and windows (2020). Enjoy easy access to Routes 283 and 30, Overlook Park, and the highly-rated schools of the Manheim Township district, including Bucher Elementary.
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2026-04-08historical
-
2026-03-23$340,000 Active
-
2013-01-23soldstatus $110,000
-
2013-01-22soldstatus $110,000
-
2012-12-06historical
-
2012-10-15$109,900
-
2005-05-13soldstatus $116,000
-
2005-05-13soldstatus $116,000
-
2005-04-15historical
-
2005-03-02$122,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,950 · $329/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,344 · $362/mo
- Expected delta
- +$394/yr (+$33/mo · 10.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥101°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,410
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$3,950
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,793
- − Management
- −$1,793
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$12,149
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,916
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,703/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manheim Township SD
- NCES district ID
- 4214580
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,335
- Composite
- 53.18/100
- National rank
- #1506
- State rank
- #61 of 539 in PA
Livability — East Petersburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #87
- US rank
- #640
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lancaster County · 390,309 people
- City population
- 5,001
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,382
- Household income
- $102,435
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1296.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 561,011 people
- By 2030
- 570,969 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 585,929 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 591,056 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 594,747 · +6.0%
- By 2100
- 558,850 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -383.04%
- Current HPI
- 257.0336
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.99%
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+144.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $299,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $313,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $314,159 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $333,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-08 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-23 Listed $340,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2013-01-22 Sold (MLS) $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-12-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-10-15 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $116,000 Public Records
- 2005-05-13 Sold (MLS) $116,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-04-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-03-02 Listed $122,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2026): $3,950 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…