7667 SE Sugar Sand Cir · Hobe Sound, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
$15,000 seller's credit close by June 1, 2026. Come see this 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1 car garage with a newer metal roof, newer A/C, 55+ villa that even has boat/RV/trailer storage options within the community! This home is ready for your personal touch!
Key facts
- 1,890 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-403 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (27.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (6.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $189k (27.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.5% in Hobe Sound — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#497 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 279 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $260k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.65%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $348,969
- List price
- $260,000
- Delta
- -25.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7707 SE Sugar Sand Cir | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,119 (0%) | 8mo | $350,000 | $313 | 90 |
| 7821 SE Sugar Sand Cir | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,119 (0%) | 5mo | $352,000 | $315 | 88 |
| 8072 SE Helen Ter | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,134 (+1%) | 16mo | $399,000 | $352 | 74 |
| 8685 SE Keathley Ct | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,118 (-0%) | 6mo | $408,000 | $365 | 68 |
| 8935 SE Hobe Ridge Ave #8935 | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 | 1,156 (+3%) | 18mo | $205,500 | $178 | 67 |
| 8913 SE Sandridge Ave | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,260 (+13%) | 2mo | $425,000 | $337 | 64 |
| 7909 SE Villa Cir | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,026 (-8%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $224 | 56 |
| 7993 SE Villa Cir #2715 | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 1,026 (-8%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $195 | 52 |
| 8182 SE Villa Way | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 | 1,026 (-8%) | 11mo | $200,000 | $195 | 49 |
| 7917 SE Villa Cir | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,026 (-8%) | 11mo | $215,000 | $210 | 48 |
| 8681 SE Eagle Ave | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,228 (+10%) | 9mo | $450,000 | $366 | 48 |
| 7348 SE Bruce Ter | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,269 (+13%) | 21mo | $570,000 | $449 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-70,364
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- -37.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.44×
- Total profit
- $-104,497
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33455
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 279
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,425 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$350 /mo · $4,195/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$498
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$509
- Net cashflow
- $-403
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7959 SE Woodview Ter Hobe Sound, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,675 | $2.39 | 23d | 4 | 0.15mi |
| 8014 SE Carlton St Hobe Sound, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $3,500 | $2.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 9073 SE Hobe Ridge Ave Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $2,100 | $2.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 7920 SE Woodview Ter Unit 792007 Hobe Sound, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,675 | $2.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 8997 SE Sandy Ln Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 8905 SE Sandy Ln Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1006 | $1,850 | $1.84 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 9650 SE Eagle Ave Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1241 | $2,330 | $1.88 | 23d | 5 | 0.40mi |
| 9627 Crest Ct Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 8455 SE Palm St Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1423 | $4,700 | $3.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 7607 SE Hobe Ter Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $2,200 | $1.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 8005 SE Villa Cir Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $1,850 | $1.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 8042 SE Villa Cir Unit 8042 Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $1,950 | $1.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 8585 SE Palm St Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $10,000 | $7.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 8585 SE Palm St Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $10,000 | $7.67 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 7030 SE Ridgeway Ter Hobe Sound, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $2,500 | $1.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 10230 SE Federal Hwy Lot 13 Hobe Sound, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 8002 SE Skylark Ave Hobe Sound, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $2,000 | $2.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 6948 SE Delegate St Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,775 | $2.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 8227 SE Croft Cir Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1177 | $2,100 | $1.78 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 8574 SE Seagrape Way Hobe Sound, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $3,600 | $2.44 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 7916 SE Sugar Pines Way Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,700 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 7894 SE Saratoga Dr Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,100 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $498 · $5,976/yr
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $260,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $260,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $260,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $260,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $260,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $260,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $260,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $260,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $260,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $260,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $260,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $260,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $260,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $260,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $260,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $260,000 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
$15,000 seller's credit close by June 1, 2026. Come see this 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1 car garage with a newer metal roof, newer A/C, 55+ villa that even has boat/RV/trailer storage options within the community! This home is ready for your personal touch!
-
2026-04-14price $275,000 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
$15,000 seller's credit close by June 1, 2026. Come see this 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1 car garage with a newer metal roof, newer A/C, 55+ villa that even has boat/RV/trailer storage options within the community! This home is ready for your personal touch!
-
2026-03-23price $285,000 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
$15,000 seller's credit close by June 1, 2026. Come see this 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1 car garage with a newer metal roof, newer A/C, 55+ villa that even has boat/RV/trailer storage options within the community! This home is ready for your personal touch!
-
2026-02-19$290,000 Active 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
$15,000 seller's credit close by June 1, 2026. Come see this 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1 car garage with a newer metal roof, newer A/C, 55+ villa that even has boat/RV/trailer storage options within the community! This home is ready for your personal touch!
-
2026-02-11historical $290,000 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
$15,000 seller's credit close by June 1, 2026. Come see this 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1 car garage with a newer metal roof, newer A/C, 55+ villa that even has boat/RV/trailer storage options within the community! This home is ready for your personal touch!
-
2003-06-10soldstatus $115,000
-
1989-02-24soldstatus $77,000
-
1987-10-06soldstatus $67,990
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,195 · $350/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,195 · $350/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,102
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$4,195
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,328
- − Management
- −$2,328
- − HOA
- −$5,976
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$9,152
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,197
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,645/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin
- NCES district ID
- 1201290
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,482
- Composite
- 45.1/100
- National rank
- #2690
- State rank
- #24 of 73 in FL
Livability — Hobe Sound
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #497
- US rank
- #8763
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hobe Sound, FL
- County
- Martin County · 165,223 people
- City population
- 20,018
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,018
- Household income
- $70,389
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 317.0
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 172,383 people
- By 2030
- 180,192 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 194,114 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 204,992 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 229,641 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 232,146 · +34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -287.05%
- Current HPI
- 356.7273
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.80%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+282.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $260,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $275,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $285,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-19 Listed $290,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-11 Coming Soon $290,000 Beaches MLS
- 2003-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 1989-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
- 1987-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $67,990 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,195 · +102.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…