None · Highland Park, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.9/30.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$509,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to 1377 Ferndale Ave, a beautifully maintained and sun-filled Sherwood Forest gem nestled on a quiet, tree-lined street in desirable Highland Park. Brimming with vintage character and thoughtful updates, this charming home offers 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and plenty of space to live, work, and grow. A brick-paved walkway welcomes you to the inviting front entry and foyer, complete with a convenient coat closet. Inside, you'll find gorgeous hardwood floors, arched doorways, abundant natural light, and a flexible floor plan designed for modern living. The spacious living room features a distinctive stone fireplace, creating a warm and inviting gathering space, while the separate din
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1927
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Has garage
- Home design: Single family home
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1.5 bathrooms
- Interior features: Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $509k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $151 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $464k (8.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $464k (8.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 1.4% in Highland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#23 in IL, #430 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Twp Hsd 113 (suburban): math 60% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #19 of 620 in IL (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.6%/yr); 123 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($168k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.28%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $668,980
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1236 Cavell Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 2,200 (+2%) | 3mo | $735,000 | $334 | 83 |
| 1429 Ferndale Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 2,286 (+6%) | 9mo | $640,000 | $280 | 79 |
| 1140 Ridge Rd | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 | 2,248 (+4%) | 6mo | $658,800 | $293 | 70 |
| 1177 Ridge Rd | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,300 (+7%) | 3mo | $615,000 | $267 | 67 |
| 1659 Friar Tuck Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 | 2,140 (-1%) | 1mo | $685,000 | $320 | 61 |
| 1202 Taylor Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 2,023 (-6%) | 3mo | $360,000 | $178 | 60 |
| 945 Villas Ct | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 | 2,300 (+7%) | 4mo | $800,000 | $348 | 56 |
| 920 Villas Ct | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 2,300 (+7%) | 7mo | $1,059,000 | $460 | 55 |
| 1250 Oxford Rd | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 2,100 (-3%) | 12mo | $650,000 | $310 | 51 |
| 870 Evergreen Way | 0.65mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,156 (-0%) | 12mo | $777,000 | $360 | 48 |
| 1812 Sherwood Rd | 0.59mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,477 (+15%) | 8mo | $760,000 | $307 | 34 |
| 1703 Beverly Pl | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,936 (-10%) | 11mo | $505,000 | $261 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-48,217
- Equity at exit
- $75,894
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $82,435
- Equity at exit
- $44,009
Cash invested: $142,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60035
- Rents YoY
- 8.6%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,644 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,669
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$636 /mo · $7,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$212
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$975
- Net cashflow
- $151
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $503 | -5% $327 | +0% $151 | +5% $-24 | +10% $-200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-215 | -5% $-32 | +0% $151 | +5% $335 | +10% $518 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $408 | -0.5pp $281 | base $151 | +0.5pp $20 | +1.0pp $-115 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $127,250
- Closing costs
- $15,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1150 Blackthorn Ln Deerfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1566 | $4,500 | $2.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 916 Driscoll Ct Highland Park, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1751 | $3,200 | $1.83 | 8d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1850 Green Bay Rd Highland Park, IL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1239 | $5,695 | $4.59 | 0d | 15 | 1.18mi |
| 728 Waukegan Rd Deerfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1767 | $7,000 | $3.96 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 728 Waukegan Rd Unit 209 Deerfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1767 | $5,950 | $3.37 | 17d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 728 Waukegan Rd Unit 209 Deerfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1767 | $5,950 | $3.37 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1430 Waukegan Rd Deerfield, IL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1562 | $3,500 | $2.24 | 0d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-08remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-08$509,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,733
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,512
- − Property taxes
- −$7,635
- − Insurance
- −$2,545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,459
- − Management
- −$4,459
- − Depreciation
- −$14,807
- Taxable loss
- −$6,684
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,604
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,422/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Twp Hsd 113
- NCES district ID
- 1719080
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $122,404
- Composite
- 59.23/100
- National rank
- #937
- State rank
- #19 of 620 in IL
Livability — Highland Park
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #23
- US rank
- #430
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Highland Park, IL
- County
- Lake County · 591,991 people
- City population
- 30,398
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,398
- Household income
- $168,094
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 412.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 700,217 people
- By 2030
- 693,290 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 673,588 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 643,556 · -8.1%
- By 2075
- 562,792 · -19.6%
- By 2100
- 457,715 · -34.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 8% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -250.71%
- Current HPI
- 199.1977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.58%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…