6117 Patton Ave · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great family home with plenty of living area. Quick access to the highway this is a must as a starter home and great for investors.
Key facts
- Built 1963
- Listed 27 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $536 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Wenonah High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 656 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools at 85% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 87 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask is 5809% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.33%
- DSCR
- 2.57
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $75,768
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6012 Martin Luther Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,380 (+2%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $76 | 87 |
| 6112 Blocton Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,460 (+8%) | 3mo | $64,900 | $44 | 77 |
| 930 Palmer Ave | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (-5%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $112 | 67 |
| 442 Oakmont St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (-8%) | 14mo | $106,000 | $85 | 58 |
| 1131 Oak St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,323 (-2%) | 11mo | $175,000 | $132 | 56 |
| 5824 Underwood Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+12%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $40 | 56 |
| 4600 Huntsville Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,474 (+9%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $24 | 53 |
| 1106 Ontario St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,384 (+2%) | 22mo | $33,000 | $24 | 43 |
| 1223 Woodfall Dr | 0.59mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,450 (+7%) | 18mo | $114,500 | $79 | 40 |
| 63 Wilkes Cir | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,164 (-14%) | 22mo | $65,000 | $56 | 37 |
| 5409 Huntsville Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,488 (+10%) | 17mo | $55,000 | $37 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $20,084
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 33.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.63×
- Total profit
- $47,858
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35228
- Home prices YoY
- -3.5%
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,197 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $500/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $536
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 Wilkes Cir Unit 1 Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $1,250 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 63 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $1,200 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 80 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 520 Brewer Dr Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,100 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 6001 Ivy St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $950 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 6025 Ivy St Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,300 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 6029 Ivy St Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1234 | $1,200 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 546 Selma Rd Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $900 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 832 Alden Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1231 | $1,150 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5912 Owen St Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1192 | $1,300 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1254 Lewis St Brighton, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $850 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5704 14th St S Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $850 | $0.83 | 16d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 603 11th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1289 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5624 Cairo Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $1,200 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 806 12th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1262 | $1,075 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 605 10th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $850 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5709 13th St S Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4506 Letson St Brighton, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 925 Woodward Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $950 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 923 Woodward Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1273 | $1,200 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 222 4th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1109 12th Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1217 | $1,475 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 617 8th Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,350 | $0.94 | 1d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 226 3rd Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 616 Rutledge Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,095 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 800 Fairfax Dr Fairfield, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 1d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 5906 5th St S Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $900 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 608 5th Ave Midfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1241 | $795 | $0.64 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 733 Glen Ridge Dr Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,378 | $1.12 | 1d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1401 9th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,200 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1206 15th St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $950 | $0.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 801 Rutledge Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1808 | $1,600 | $0.88 | 1d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5703 Avenue O Unit O Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $800 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 416-11 Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 935 | $975 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 436-10 Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $890 | $1.00 | 10d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 400-12 Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $915 | $1.03 | 10d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 424-3 Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1035 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 10d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 424-10 Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1035 | $1,275 | $1.23 | 11d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 436-11 Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 935 | $910 | $0.97 | 10d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 444-12 Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $910 | $1.02 | 10d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-04-09$1,100
-
2026-03-20historical $1,100
-
2026-03-10$1,100
-
2024-11-05soldstatus $100,000
-
2023-11-22status Pending
-
2023-11-15status Active
-
2023-08-30status Pending
-
2023-08-23status Active
-
2023-08-16status Pending
-
2023-08-11status Active
-
2023-08-08status Pending
-
2023-07-31$65,000 Active
-
2020-06-19soldstatus $28,000 Sold 131-char remark
Show marketing remark (131 chars)
Great family home with plenty of living area. Quick access to the highway this is a must as a starter home and great for investors.
-
2020-06-10historical Contingent 131-char remark
Show marketing remark (131 chars)
Great family home with plenty of living area. Quick access to the highway this is a must as a starter home and great for investors.
-
2020-05-02$43,000 Active 131-char remark
Show marketing remark (131 chars)
Great family home with plenty of living area. Quick access to the highway this is a must as a starter home and great for investors.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $500 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $500 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,362
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$500
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,149
- − Management
- −$1,149
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $5,707
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,370
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,061/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,216
- Household income
- $50,815
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 456.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% White 5%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.84%
- Current HPI
- 134.8633
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.47%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-97.4% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed for Rent $1,100 BUILDIUM
- 2026-03-20 Rental Removed $1,100 BUILDIUM
- 2026-03-10 Listed for Rent $1,100 BUILDIUM
- 2024-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2023-11-22 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-11-15 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-08-30 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-08-23 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-08-16 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-08-11 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-08-08 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-07-31 Listed $65,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-06-19 Sold (MLS) $28,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-06-10 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-05-02 Listed $43,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $500 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…