2733 Pier Dr #5012 · Ruskin, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +10.6/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.1
$159,995
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Experience living the Florida Lifestyle in the 55+ active gated community of Riverside Club Golf & Marina in Ruskin, Florida. New Home - Move-in Ready! Get ready to be impressed by this gorgeous 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with an office/den, designed with an open, airy layout that makes every space feel inviting and bright. The kitchen steals the show with a large island a stylish farmhouse sink, a stove with a hood, and a convenient pantry. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and living areas, creating the perfect setup for entertaining or simply enjoying the spacious feel of the home. The split floor plan offers privacy, with the primary suite tucked away and featuring a roomy walk in closet and a sleek walk in shower. Vinyl flooring throughout adds durability, comfort, and a modern touch. Step outside and enjoy the Florida lifestyle every day. Your front porch with upgraded Trex flooring is the perfect spot for morning coffee, while the private back lanai lets you unwind and watch Florida wildlife in peace. Practical upgrades make this home even more appealing: a long driveway with upgraded pavers and sidewalk, plus a 12 12 storage shed for all your tools, hobbies, and extra storage needs. This home blends comfort, style, and outdoor living in a way that makes every day feel like a getaway. Riverside Club offers a resort style of living experience with a wide range of amenities and activities.
Key facts
- Spacious lanai
- Two club houses
- Outdoor pools
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $58 ($702/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (7.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.3% in Ruskin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#392 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute B+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ruskin Elementary School (math 30% / reading 23%, grade F, #2,009 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 781 students, 77% FRL); Shields Middle School (math 29% / reading 27%, grade F, #486 of 571 statewide, top 86%, 1,867 students, 68% FRL); Lennard High School (math 30% / reading 46%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 2,404 students, 47% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 703 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 241 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 241 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.57%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $172,000
- List price
- $159,995
- Delta
- -6.98%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2705 Metro Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (0%) | 2mo | $172,000 | $138 | 69 |
| 2607 Universal Dr | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (-8%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $131 | 66 |
| 2818 Charles Pathe Dr | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,176 (-6%) | 11mo | $181,500 | $154 | 49 |
| 464 Warm Heron Pl | 0.93mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,302 (+4%) | 6mo | $324,990 | $250 | 48 |
| 2314 Chaplin Dr | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-8%) | 23mo | $150,000 | $130 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-25,229
- Equity at exit
- $23,856
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-29,081
- Equity at exit
- $13,833
Cash invested: $44,799 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 15 active · 3 under contract
- Months of supply
- 45.0 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $159,995 ($128/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 4 d
- This list price
- 27% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +7.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33570
- Home prices YoY
- -28.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 703
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,474 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,400/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $58
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $169 | -5% $114 | +0% $58 | +5% $3 | +10% $-52 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-58 | -5% $0 | +0% $58 | +5% $117 | +10% $175 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $139 | -0.5pp $99 | base $58 | +0.5pp $17 | +1.0pp $-25 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,999
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2550 Pier Dr Ruskin, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,699 | $1.36 | 17d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 419 Frances Cir Ruskin, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1421 | $1,300 | $0.91 | 73d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 49 events
-
2026-07-31days on market $159,995 Active 241 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $159,995 Active 239 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $159,995 Active 238 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $159,995 Active 236 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $159,995 Active 234 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $159,995 Active 233 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $159,995 Active 232 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $159,995 Active 231 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $159,995 Active 230 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $159,995 Active 227 DOM
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2026-07-16pricedays on market $159,995 Active 226 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $165,995 Active 225 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $165,995 Active 223 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $165,995 Active 222 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $165,995 Active 221 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $165,995 Active 220 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $165,995 Active 219 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $165,995 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $165,995 Active 216 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $165,995 Active 215 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $165,995 Active 214 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $165,995 Active 213 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $165,995 Active 212 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $165,995 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $165,995 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $165,995 Active 209 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $165,995 Active 208 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $165,995 Active 207 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $165,995 Active 206 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $165,995 Active 204 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $165,995 Active 202 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $165,995 Active 201 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $165,995 Active 198 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $165,995 Active 197 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $165,995 Active 196 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $165,995 Active 195 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $165,995 Active 193 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $165,995 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,995 Active 189 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $165,995 Active 188 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $165,995 Active 187 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $165,995 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $165,995 Active 183 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $165,995 Active 182 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $165,995 Active 181 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $165,995 Active 180 DOM
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2026-03-26status Active 1496-char remark
Show marketing remark (1496 chars)
Experience living the Florida Lifestyle in the 55+ active gated community of Riverside Club Golf & Marina in Ruskin, Florida. New Home - Move-in Ready! Get ready to be impressed by this gorgeous 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with an office/den, designed with an open, airy layout that makes every space feel inviting and bright. The kitchen steals the show with a large island a stylish farmhouse sink, a stove with a hood, and a convenient pantry. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and living areas, creating the perfect setup for entertaining or simply enjoying the spacious feel of the home. The split floor plan offers privacy, with the primary suite tucked away and featuring a roomy walk in closet and a sleek walk in shower. Vinyl flooring throughout adds durability, comfort, and a modern touch. Step outside and enjoy the Florida lifestyle every day. Your front porch with upgraded Trex flooring is the perfect spot for morning coffee, while the private back lanai lets you unwind and watch Florida wildlife in peace. Practical upgrades make this home even more appealing: a long driveway with upgraded pavers and sidewalk, plus a 12 12 storage shed for all your tools, hobbies, and extra storage needs. This home blends comfort, style, and outdoor living in a way that makes every day feel like a getaway. Riverside Club offers a resort style of living experience with a wide range of amenities and activities. 18-Hole Championship Golf Course- 6,100-yard course that winds th
-
2026-03-25historical 1496-char remark
Show marketing remark (1496 chars)
Experience living the Florida Lifestyle in the 55+ active gated community of Riverside Club Golf & Marina in Ruskin, Florida. New Home - Move-in Ready! Get ready to be impressed by this gorgeous 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with an office/den, designed with an open, airy layout that makes every space feel inviting and bright. The kitchen steals the show with a large island a stylish farmhouse sink, a stove with a hood, and a convenient pantry. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and living areas, creating the perfect setup for entertaining or simply enjoying the spacious feel of the home. The split floor plan offers privacy, with the primary suite tucked away and featuring a roomy walk in closet and a sleek walk in shower. Vinyl flooring throughout adds durability, comfort, and a modern touch. Step outside and enjoy the Florida lifestyle every day. Your front porch with upgraded Trex flooring is the perfect spot for morning coffee, while the private back lanai lets you unwind and watch Florida wildlife in peace. Practical upgrades make this home even more appealing: a long driveway with upgraded pavers and sidewalk, plus a 12 12 storage shed for all your tools, hobbies, and extra storage needs. This home blends comfort, style, and outdoor living in a way that makes every day feel like a getaway. Riverside Club offers a resort style of living experience with a wide range of amenities and activities. 18-Hole Championship Golf Course- 6,100-yard course that winds th
-
2025-11-30$165,995 Active 1496-char remark
Show marketing remark (1496 chars)
Experience living the Florida Lifestyle in the 55+ active gated community of Riverside Club Golf & Marina in Ruskin, Florida. New Home - Move-in Ready! Get ready to be impressed by this gorgeous 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with an office/den, designed with an open, airy layout that makes every space feel inviting and bright. The kitchen steals the show with a large island a stylish farmhouse sink, a stove with a hood, and a convenient pantry. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and living areas, creating the perfect setup for entertaining or simply enjoying the spacious feel of the home. The split floor plan offers privacy, with the primary suite tucked away and featuring a roomy walk in closet and a sleek walk in shower. Vinyl flooring throughout adds durability, comfort, and a modern touch. Step outside and enjoy the Florida lifestyle every day. Your front porch with upgraded Trex flooring is the perfect spot for morning coffee, while the private back lanai lets you unwind and watch Florida wildlife in peace. Practical upgrades make this home even more appealing: a long driveway with upgraded pavers and sidewalk, plus a 12 12 storage shed for all your tools, hobbies, and extra storage needs. This home blends comfort, style, and outdoor living in a way that makes every day feel like a getaway. Riverside Club offers a resort style of living experience with a wide range of amenities and activities. 18-Hole Championship Golf Course- 6,100-yard course that winds th
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,684
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$2,400
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,415
- − Management
- −$1,415
- − Depreciation
- −$4,654
- Taxable loss
- −$1,962
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$471
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,173/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
This move-in ready manufactured home in Riverside Club Golf & Marina offers a spacious and well-maintained living environment with modern updates and a great location.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ruskin
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #392
- US rank
- #6879
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,607,022 people
- City population
- 33,319
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,319
- Household income
- $72,172
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15% of renters
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 23% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 23% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.10%
- Current HPI
- 277.8257
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.90%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-03-25 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-11-30 Listed $165,995 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…