77 Royal Ln · Burnside, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Manufactured Home with Addition & Updates! This maintained manufactured home features an addition which includes a beautiful sunroom perfect for relaxing. Recent updates include new flooring ,a mini-split system for efficient heating and cooling, durable exterior metal siding along with a metal roof. The property also boasts a 2 car garage and convenient storage shed, providing ample space for vehicles, tools and more. Don't miss out on this move-in-ready home!
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Mini-split system
- Metal siding
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6 ($-75/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (0.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (13.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $95k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.0% in Burnside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#141 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Pulaski County (town): math 43% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #17 of 165 in KY (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 194 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 117 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $757 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 457 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $110k implies a 356% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 457 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.24%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $168,375
- List price
- $109,500
- Delta
- -34.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-18,126
- Equity at exit
- $16,327
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-16,237
- Equity at exit
- $9,468
Cash invested: $30,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42501
- Home prices YoY
- -19.8%
- Active inventory
- 194
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $950 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$574
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$137 /mo · $1,642/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$200
- Net cashflow
- $-6
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,375
- Closing costs
- $3,285
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 770 Deerfield Ln Unit 4 Somerset, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,500 Active 457 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,500 Active 456 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,500 Active 455 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,500 Active 454 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,500 Active 452 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $109,500 Active 451 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,500 Active 448 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,500 Active 447 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,500 Active 446 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,500 Active 445 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,500 Active 442 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,500 Active 441 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,500 Active 440 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,500 Active 439 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,500 Active 438 DOM
-
2026-03-18status Active 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
Manufactured Home with Addition & Updates! This maintained manufactured home features an addition which includes a beautiful sunroom perfect for relaxing. Recent updates include new flooring ,a mini-split system for efficient heating and cooling, durable exterior metal siding along with a metal roof. The property also boasts a 2 car garage and convenient storage shed, providing ample space for vehicles, tools and more. Don't miss out on this move-in-ready home!
-
2026-03-16historical 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
Manufactured Home with Addition & Updates! This maintained manufactured home features an addition which includes a beautiful sunroom perfect for relaxing. Recent updates include new flooring ,a mini-split system for efficient heating and cooling, durable exterior metal siding along with a metal roof. The property also boasts a 2 car garage and convenient storage shed, providing ample space for vehicles, tools and more. Don't miss out on this move-in-ready home!
-
2025-09-17price $109,500 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
Manufactured Home with Addition & Updates! This maintained manufactured home features an addition which includes a beautiful sunroom perfect for relaxing. Recent updates include new flooring ,a mini-split system for efficient heating and cooling, durable exterior metal siding along with a metal roof. The property also boasts a 2 car garage and convenient storage shed, providing ample space for vehicles, tools and more. Don't miss out on this move-in-ready home!
-
2025-09-16status Active 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
Manufactured Home with Addition & Updates! This maintained manufactured home features an addition which includes a beautiful sunroom perfect for relaxing. Recent updates include new flooring ,a mini-split system for efficient heating and cooling, durable exterior metal siding along with a metal roof. The property also boasts a 2 car garage and convenient storage shed, providing ample space for vehicles, tools and more. Don't miss out on this move-in-ready home!
-
2025-09-08historical 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
Manufactured Home with Addition & Updates! This maintained manufactured home features an addition which includes a beautiful sunroom perfect for relaxing. Recent updates include new flooring ,a mini-split system for efficient heating and cooling, durable exterior metal siding along with a metal roof. The property also boasts a 2 car garage and convenient storage shed, providing ample space for vehicles, tools and more. Don't miss out on this move-in-ready home!
-
2025-04-28price $119,399 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
Manufactured Home with Addition & Updates! This maintained manufactured home features an addition which includes a beautiful sunroom perfect for relaxing. Recent updates include new flooring ,a mini-split system for efficient heating and cooling, durable exterior metal siding along with a metal roof. The property also boasts a 2 car garage and convenient storage shed, providing ample space for vehicles, tools and more. Don't miss out on this move-in-ready home!
-
2025-03-07$132,000 Active 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
Manufactured Home with Addition & Updates! This maintained manufactured home features an addition which includes a beautiful sunroom perfect for relaxing. Recent updates include new flooring ,a mini-split system for efficient heating and cooling, durable exterior metal siding along with a metal roof. The property also boasts a 2 car garage and convenient storage shed, providing ample space for vehicles, tools and more. Don't miss out on this move-in-ready home!
-
2013-03-15soldstatus $24,000 144-char remark
Show marketing remark (144 chars)
Single wide mobile home, on permanent foundation, small celler under part of house. 4 bedrooms, living room, 1 bath . Has 2 car detached garage.
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2013-03-14soldstatus $24,000
-
2012-12-15historical
-
2012-09-17$24,000 144-char remark
Show marketing remark (144 chars)
Single wide mobile home, on permanent foundation, small celler under part of house. 4 bedrooms, living room, 1 bath . Has 2 car detached garage.
-
2012-05-15soldstatus $15,000
-
2012-05-15$19,900
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2012-05-15soldstatus $15,000
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2012-04-12$21,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,134
- − Property taxes
- −$1,642
- − Insurance
- −$548
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$912
- − Management
- −$912
- − Depreciation
- −$3,185
- Taxable loss
- −$1,933
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$464
- After-tax cash flow
- $389/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pulaski County
- NCES district ID
- 2104950
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,366
- Composite
- 39.69/100
- National rank
- #3906
- State rank
- #17 of 165 in KY
Livability — Burnside
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #141
- US rank
- #6774
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,441
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,414 people
- By 2030
- 65,828 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 65,972 · +0.9%
- By 2050
- 65,108 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 61,647 · -5.8%
- By 2100
- 53,613 · -18.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.2) · D 16.9% · R 82.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -55.4pp · 2024: -65.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.2 2020: R+62.7 2016: R+66.7 2012: R+60.5 2008: R+55.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.04%
- Current HPI
- 284.0445
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+421.4% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-16 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-17 Price Changed $109,500 ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-16 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-08 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2025-04-28 Price Changed $119,399 ImagineMLS
- 2025-03-07 Listed $132,000 ImagineMLS
- 2013-03-15 Sold (MLS) $24,000 ImagineMLS
- 2013-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
- 2012-12-15 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2012-09-17 Listed $24,000 ImagineMLS
- 2012-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 2012-05-15 Listed $19,900 ImagineMLS
- 2012-05-15 Sold (MLS) $15,000 ImagineMLS
- 2012-04-12 Listed $21,000 ImagineMLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $217 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…