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1019 E Walnut St
B- Composite 67.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$34,900

1019 E Walnut St · Canton, IL 61520
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1911 0.46 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BANK REPO SOLD "AS IS'. EXTRA LARGE LOT, 2 FULL BATHS, OFFERS SUMBITTED BY AGENT THROUGH E-BAY. CALL LISTING AGENT FOR DETAILS.

Key facts

  • Alley access
  • Large lot
  • 0.46 acre lot

Tags

LARGE LOTALLEY ACCESSDETACHED GARAGE WORKSHOP

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking; Alley access; Paved surfaces (no garage)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1911; Has a partial, unfinished basement; Main entry and rooms across multiple levels (main, upper, lower, basement, additional level)
  • Construction: Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Replacement windows; Level lot; Road access via gravel and paved surfaces

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (bedroom sizes include: 16 x 11; 15 x 12; 11 x 8) — bedrooms located on the main level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring in multiple main-level rooms; Vinyl flooring in laundry room; Other flooring in some areas
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric water heater
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room on main level; Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
  • Cap rate 30.6% vs local median 7.8% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#318 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Canton Union SD 66 (town): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #417 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Canton High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 641 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $241 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $35k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $34,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.71%
Cap rate
30.56%
Cash-on-cash
86.68%
DSCR
4.86
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$86,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
434 Dean Ct 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,604 (+0%) 2mo $85,000 $53 68
605 E Chestnut St 0.39mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,656 (+4%) 2mo $115,000 $69 65
447 N 10th Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,500 (-6%) 1mo $75,000 $50 59
45 N 7th Ave 0.30mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,824 (+14%) 1mo $50,000 $27 57
336 N 14th St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,776 (+11%) 2mo $128,500 $72 55
1350 E Chestnut St 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,410 (-12%) 6mo $150,000 $106 54
506 E Elm St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,832 (+14%) 0mo $98,500 $54 53
637 S 3rd Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,496 (-6%) 2mo $67,000 $45 53
1340 E Ash St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,408 (-12%) 3mo $50,000 $36 52
1418 Wheeler Ln 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,728 (+8%) 3mo $162,500 $94 49
454 Dean Ct 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,406 (-12%) 1mo $35,000 $25 48
695 N 11th Ave 0.72mi 3/2.5 1,788 (+12%) 6mo $145,000 $81 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
87.2%
Equity multiple
5.03×
Total profit
$39,365
Equity at exit
$5,204
10-year hold
IRR
90.3%
Equity multiple
10.46×
Total profit
$92,432
Equity at exit
$3,018

Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61520

Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,293 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$183
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,420/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$706

Break-even live

Break-even rent $400
Max offer price $34,900
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $726 -5% $716 +0% $706 +5% $696 +10% $686
Rent -10% $604 -5% $655 +0% $706 +5% $757 +10% $808
Rate -1.0pp $723 -0.5pp $715 base $706 +0.5pp $697 +1.0pp $688

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,725
Closing costs
$1,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $34,900 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $34,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $34,900 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $34,900 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    remarks 225-char remark
  6. 2026-06-16
    listed $34,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,420 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,420 · $118/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,520
− Mortgage interest
−$1,955
− Property taxes
−$1,420
− Insurance
−$174
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,242
− Management
−$1,242
− Depreciation
−$1,015
Taxable income
$8,472
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,033
After-tax cash flow
$6,437/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canton Union SD 66
NCES district ID
1708280
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$42,657
Composite
18.03/100
National rank
#8980
State rank
#417 of 620 in IL

Livability — Canton

Score
72/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#6313

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Canton, IL
Population (ZIP)
16,098

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,356 people
By 2030
32,144 · -3.6%
By 2040
29,518 · -11.5%
By 2050
26,775 · -19.7%
By 2075
19,972 · -40.1%
By 2100
13,580 · -59.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.8) · D 37.1% · R 60.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-45.2pp toward R · 2008: 21.3pp · 2024: -23.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+15.1 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+21.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.00%
Current HPI
123.8086
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+48.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $34,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-11-25 Sold (MLS) $20,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-05-30 Listed $23,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,420 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…