5602 Turner St · Bristol, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Corporate owned property being sold in as is condition only. Proof of funds and pre-approval are required with all offers. No letters of intent or faxed agreements please. Buyer is responsible for cost to dewinterize and rewinterize for inspections, and all U & O requirements.
Key facts
- Fenced rear yard
- 6,431 sq ft lot
- 3 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with front entry (oversized), 3 garage spaces; Two driveway spaces; Additional off-street and on-street parking (total 5 parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling fuel; Natural gas for heating and hot water
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Architectural shingle roof
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Lot dimensions approximately 59 x 109
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Full basement, partially finished; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $289k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-107 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (6.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (21.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $228k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.4% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#546 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities F, health & safety F.
- Bristol Township SD (suburban): math 16% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #471 of 539 in PA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $167k; list at $289k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.58%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $326,316
- List price
- $289,000
- Delta
- -11.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5800 Beaver Dam Rd | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,370 (-0%) | 22mo | $325,000 | $237 | 74 |
| 9 Green Ln | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,354 (-2%) | 18mo | $285,000 | $210 | 66 |
| 10 Green Ln | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,218 (-12%) | 0mo | $262,000 | $215 | 65 |
| 1301 Hardy St | 0.48mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,359 (-1%) | 13mo | $320,000 | $235 | 60 |
| 1509 Venice Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,250 (-9%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $132 | 58 |
| 1210 Pacific Ave | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,348 (-2%) | 16mo | $325,000 | $241 | 58 |
| 5624 Fleetwing Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,425 (+4%) | 13mo | $298,900 | $210 | 58 |
| 1228 Pacific Ave | 0.28mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,264 (-8%) | 4mo | $391,000 | $309 | 57 |
| 1210 Marie Lowe Dr | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,275 (-7%) | 19mo | $385,000 | $302 | 53 |
| 55 Ash Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,401 (+2%) | 22mo | $380,000 | $271 | 36 |
| 1020 Beaver St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,280 (-7%) | 22mo | $475,000 | $371 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-53,644
- Equity at exit
- $43,091
- IRR
- -11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-55,543
- Equity at exit
- $24,987
Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19007
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,280 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,516
- Tax from tax record
- −$272 /mo · $3,264/yr
- Insurance
- −$120
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$479
- Net cashflow
- $-107
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $57 | -5% $-25 | +0% $-107 | +5% $-188 | +10% $-270 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-287 | -5% $-197 | +0% $-107 | +5% $-17 | +10% $73 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $39 | -0.5pp $-33 | base $-107 | +0.5pp $-182 | +1.0pp $-258 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,250
- Closing costs
- $8,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1416 Ashby Ave Bristol, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,300 | $2.19 | 2d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5634 Mitchell Rd Levittown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,150 | $2.24 | 19d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 269 Monroe St Bristol, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,600 | $2.89 | 2d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 13 Michele Ct Levittown, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $2,250 | $1.80 | 18d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 13 Michele Ct Unit 118 Levittown, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 10d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 7200 Marion Ave Levittown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,695 | $2.04 | 3d | 6 | 1.34mi |
| 3401 Bristol Oxford Valley Rd Levittown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,675 | $2.09 | 2d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 7406 Bristol Pike Unit 3 Levittown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,150 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 7406 Bristol Pike Unit 6 Levittown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $2,225 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 234 Franklin St Unit 1st Floor Bristol, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 6d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 1144-char remark
-
2026-05-07$289,000 Active 1144-char remark
-
2009-10-16soldstatus $167,000
-
2009-09-11historical
-
2009-02-11$184,000
-
2007-10-30soldstatus $80,000
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
Corporate owned property being sold in as is condition only. Proof of funds and pre-approval are required with all offers. No letters of intent or faxed agreements please. Buyer is responsible for cost to dewinterize and rewinterize for inspections, and all U & O requirements.
-
2007-10-05historical
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
Corporate owned property being sold in as is condition only. Proof of funds and pre-approval are required with all offers. No letters of intent or faxed agreements please. Buyer is responsible for cost to dewinterize and rewinterize for inspections, and all U & O requirements.
-
2007-03-19$80,000
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
Corporate owned property being sold in as is condition only. Proof of funds and pre-approval are required with all offers. No letters of intent or faxed agreements please. Buyer is responsible for cost to dewinterize and rewinterize for inspections, and all U & O requirements.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,264 · $272/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,915 · $326/mo
- Expected delta
- +$651/yr (+$54/mo · 19.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,361
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,188
- − Property taxes
- −$3,264
- − Insurance
- −$1,445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,189
- − Management
- −$2,189
- − Depreciation
- −$8,407
- Taxable loss
- −$6,321
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,517
- After-tax cash flow
- $237/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bristol Township SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204230
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -21.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,219
- Composite
- 21.04/100
- National rank
- #8451
- State rank
- #471 of 539 in PA
Livability — Bristol
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #546
- US rank
- #5093
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bucks County · 506,477 people
- City population
- 21,800
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,800
- Household income
- $65,511
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 808.0
Population outlook (Bucks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 630,973 people
- By 2030
- 627,093 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 609,680 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 584,225 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 539,840 · -14.4%
- By 2100
- 483,970 · -23.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 14% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Swiss 1% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bucks
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.7pp · 2024: -0.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.1 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+0.6 2012: D+1.2 2008: D+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -190.79%
- Current HPI
- 307.0709
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+261.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $289,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $167,000 Public Records
- 2009-09-11 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-02-11 Listed $184,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-10-30 Sold (MLS) $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-10-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-03-19 Listed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2026): $3,264 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…