🏷️ Likely Rental
1803 Balsawood Ct · Pine Hills, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
POOL HOME! COMPLETELY RENOVATED! Lovely ranch home features an incredible exterior that includes a new roof, new paint, new landscaping, new sod & a beautifully restored (original, deep) pool in fully fenced backyard w/ huge open & screened patios! Step inside to fresh paint throughout, new ceiling fans, new cabinets, new granite countertops, new appliances, new subway tile, new toilets, new light fixtures, new windows and new French doors! Terrific layout offers a large "L"-shaped living dining combo, pass-thru kitchen adjoining the family room that opens to the screened patio, large pool bathroom, spacious bedrooms w/ tons of closet space & a master suite w/ walk-in closet and gorgeous new shower in the master bathroom. Entire interior is completely tiled! Quiet, cul-de-sac location blocks from zoned elementary and middle schools and tons of everyday amenities! home is not for rent. EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1971
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R-1A
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Other water source; Other sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Construction details: see remarks
- Exterior features: Front porch; Other roof
Interior
- Flooring: Other
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Other flooring; One total room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
- Cap rate 443.3% vs local median 4.8% in Pine Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#317 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hiawassee Elementary (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,969 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 565 students, 80% FRL); Robinswood Middle (math 25% / reading 29%, grade F, #497 of 571 statewide, top 88%, 1,080 students, 71% FRL); Ocoee High (math 17% / reading 38%, grade F, #470 of 667 statewide, top 71%, 2,536 students, 50% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Orange average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 181 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 46.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 443.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1560.68%
- DSCR
- 70.44
- GRM
- 0.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $343,728
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6563 Magee Ct | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 1,672 (+6%) | 6mo | $270,000 | $161 | 62 |
| 7139 Blair Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,432 (-10%) | 24mo | $370,000 | $258 | 54 |
| 1909 Torrey Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,642 (+4%) | 2mo | $355,000 | $216 | 53 |
| 6801 Ambassador Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,591 (+0%) | 23mo | $345,000 | $217 | 44 |
| 7481 Laurel Hill Dr | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 1,447 (-9%) | 17mo | $285,000 | $197 | 44 |
| 1730 Tillstream Dr | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,746 (+10%) | 21mo | $410,000 | $235 | 36 |
| 7366 Briarlyn Ct | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,454 (-8%) | 18mo | $365,000 | $251 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 78.36×
- Total profit
- $108,310
- Equity at exit
- $746
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 156.13×
- Total profit
- $217,186
- Equity at exit
- $432
Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32818
- Home prices YoY
- -22.5%
- Rents YoY
- -2.7%
- Active inventory
- 181
- Price-to-rent
- 0.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,349 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$26
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$6 /mo · $75/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$493
- Net cashflow
- $1,821
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,824 | -5% $1,823 | +0% $1,821 | +5% $1,819 | +10% $1,817 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,635 | -5% $1,728 | +0% $1,821 | +5% $1,914 | +10% $2,006 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,823 | -0.5pp $1,822 | base $1,821 | +0.5pp $1,819 | +1.0pp $1,818 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,250
- Closing costs
- $150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7108 Steffie Ln Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $2,277 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1826 Mulberrywood Ct Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $2,225 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1826 Mulberrywood Ct Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $2,225 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 6623 Swyear Ct Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1842 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1005 Delnova Ln Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1554 | $2,650 | $1.71 | 13d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1737 Hinckley Rd Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $2,481 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 6821 Derrick Dr Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1954 | $1,900 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 6234 Balboa Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $2,005 | $1.37 | 0d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1303 Charles St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1780 | $2,200 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 6872 Alta Westgate Dr Orlando, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,700 | $1.43 | 9d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 6314 Gamble Dr Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1877 | $2,111 | $1.12 | 0d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 6033 Balboa Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $2,300 | $1.81 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1109 Woodman Way Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $1,750 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2429 Sandy Ln Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $2,490 | $1.76 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2603 Silkwood Cir Orlando, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,898 | $1.70 | 0d | 16 | 1.11mi |
| 7222 Nima Ct Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1449 | $2,400 | $1.66 | 16d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 8008 Balasands Blvd Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1140 | $2,290 | $2.01 | 0d | 16 | 1.15mi |
| 245 Alston Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1385 | $2,300 | $1.66 | 6d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1748 Brightmeadow Ct Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1685 | $2,200 | $1.31 | 19d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2637 Healy Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 6d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 6215 Melbourne Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $850 | $0.68 | 19d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 414 Sandpiper Ridge Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $2,500 | $1.54 | 19d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6119 Melbourne Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1109 | $1,999 | $1.80 | 0d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 6119 Melbourne Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1109 | $1,999 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1529 Ridge Pointe Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $1,995 | $1.80 | 9d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 371 Snowshoe Ct Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1417 | $2,540 | $1.79 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1537 Ridge Pointe Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $2,200 | $1.99 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 219 Ashbourne Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,205 | $2.04 | 9d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-19$5,000 Active
-
2021-10-15soldstatus $305,000 Closed 954-char remark
Show marketing remark (954 chars)
POOL HOME! COMPLETELY RENOVATED! Lovely ranch home features an incredible exterior that includes a new roof, new paint, new landscaping, new sod & a beautifully restored (original, deep) pool in fully fenced backyard w/ huge open & screened patios! Step inside to fresh paint throughout, new ceiling fans, new cabinets, new granite countertops, new appliances, new subway tile, new toilets, new light fixtures, new windows and new French doors! Terrific layout offers a large "L"-shaped living dining combo, pass-thru kitchen adjoining the family room that opens to the screened patio, large pool bathroom, spacious bedrooms w/ tons of closet space & a master suite w/ walk-in closet and gorgeous new shower in the master bathroom. Entire interior is completely tiled! Quiet, cul-de-sac location blocks from zoned elementary and middle schools and tons of everyday amenities! home is not for rent. EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY.
-
2021-08-09status Pending 954-char remark
Show marketing remark (954 chars)
POOL HOME! COMPLETELY RENOVATED! Lovely ranch home features an incredible exterior that includes a new roof, new paint, new landscaping, new sod & a beautifully restored (original, deep) pool in fully fenced backyard w/ huge open & screened patios! Step inside to fresh paint throughout, new ceiling fans, new cabinets, new granite countertops, new appliances, new subway tile, new toilets, new light fixtures, new windows and new French doors! Terrific layout offers a large "L"-shaped living dining combo, pass-thru kitchen adjoining the family room that opens to the screened patio, large pool bathroom, spacious bedrooms w/ tons of closet space & a master suite w/ walk-in closet and gorgeous new shower in the master bathroom. Entire interior is completely tiled! Quiet, cul-de-sac location blocks from zoned elementary and middle schools and tons of everyday amenities! home is not for rent. EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY.
-
2021-08-04$295,000 Active 954-char remark
Show marketing remark (954 chars)
POOL HOME! COMPLETELY RENOVATED! Lovely ranch home features an incredible exterior that includes a new roof, new paint, new landscaping, new sod & a beautifully restored (original, deep) pool in fully fenced backyard w/ huge open & screened patios! Step inside to fresh paint throughout, new ceiling fans, new cabinets, new granite countertops, new appliances, new subway tile, new toilets, new light fixtures, new windows and new French doors! Terrific layout offers a large "L"-shaped living dining combo, pass-thru kitchen adjoining the family room that opens to the screened patio, large pool bathroom, spacious bedrooms w/ tons of closet space & a master suite w/ walk-in closet and gorgeous new shower in the master bathroom. Entire interior is completely tiled! Quiet, cul-de-sac location blocks from zoned elementary and middle schools and tons of everyday amenities! home is not for rent. EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY.
-
2001-09-05soldstatus $51,000
-
1983-10-01soldstatus $65,000
-
1978-10-01soldstatus $48,000
-
1975-06-01soldstatus $39,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,182
- − Mortgage interest
- −$280
- − Property taxes
- −$75
- − Insurance
- −$25
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,255
- − Management
- −$2,255
- − Depreciation
- −$145
- Taxable income
- $23,148
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,555
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,294/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pine Hills
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #317
- US rank
- #5362
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pine Hills, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- City population
- 60,203
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,114
- Household income
- $63,061
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2059.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% Hispanic / Latino 14% White 10% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 21% Estonian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 40% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 25% Spanish 11% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.40%
- Current HPI
- 321.5821
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.66%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-87.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2021-10-15 Sold (MLS) $305,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-09 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-04 Listed $295,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 1983-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 1978-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 1975-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,502 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…