30101 Niblett Ct · Delmar, MD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- ARV discount +13.4/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Parkway Mobile Home Estates, a brand-new nine-unit manufactured home community in Delmar, MD designed for residents 50+. Nestled in a peaceful wooded setting, this community offers the perfect blend of privacy and convenience, just minutes from local shops, dining, Salisbury, and a short drive to the beaches. Each home features 2 or 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, modern finishes, open layouts, and covered front porches ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Buyers can also choose from add-on options such as carports, storage sheds, upgraded appliance packages, enhanced landscaping, or screened porches to personalize their new home. Pre-construction pricing is available now—reserve early to secure your spot in this limited nine-unit community. Photos are for illustrative purposes only and should be used as a guide for what is possible.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 2026
- Listed 140 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $331 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 5.2% in Delmar — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#222 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Wicomico County Public Schools (urban): math 16% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #19 of 24 in MD (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Wicomico County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wicomico County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.11%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $201,559
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -13.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9333 Colonial Mill Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-2%) | 1mo | $109,900 | $114 | 68 |
| 9241 Clare Cir | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 896 (-9%) | 2mo | $51,500 | $57 | 58 |
| 8798 Bi State Blvd | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-2%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $245 | 58 |
| 8811 Archid Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 933 (-5%) | 17mo | $105,000 | $113 | 55 |
| 9219 Green Isle Cir | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (+2%) | 18mo | $55,000 | $55 | 51 |
| 9328 Colonial Mill Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 910 (-7%) | 20mo | $69,900 | $77 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-7,239
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $20,971
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21875
- Home prices YoY
- -12.7%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,950 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $331
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $452 | -5% $392 | +0% $331 | +5% $271 | +10% $210 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $177 | -5% $254 | +0% $331 | +5% $408 | +10% $485 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $419 | -0.5pp $376 | base $331 | +0.5pp $286 | +1.0pp $240 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8650 Barbara Ann Way Delmar, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1547 | $1,950 | $1.26 | 44d | 12 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $175,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-02-06price $175,000 850-char remark
Show marketing remark (850 chars)
Welcome to Parkway Mobile Home Estates, a brand-new nine-unit manufactured home community in Delmar, MD designed for residents 50+. Nestled in a peaceful wooded setting, this community offers the perfect blend of privacy and convenience, just minutes from local shops, dining, Salisbury, and a short drive to the beaches. Each home features 2 or 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, modern finishes, open layouts, and covered front porches ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Buyers can also choose from add-on options such as carports, storage sheds, upgraded appliance packages, enhanced landscaping, or screened porches to personalize their new home. Pre-construction pricing is available now—reserve early to secure your spot in this limited nine-unit community. Photos are for illustrative purposes only and should be used as a guide for what is possible.
-
2026-02-01$165,000 Active 850-char remark
Show marketing remark (850 chars)
Welcome to Parkway Mobile Home Estates, a brand-new nine-unit manufactured home community in Delmar, MD designed for residents 50+. Nestled in a peaceful wooded setting, this community offers the perfect blend of privacy and convenience, just minutes from local shops, dining, Salisbury, and a short drive to the beaches. Each home features 2 or 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, modern finishes, open layouts, and covered front porches ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Buyers can also choose from add-on options such as carports, storage sheds, upgraded appliance packages, enhanced landscaping, or screened porches to personalize their new home. Pre-construction pricing is available now—reserve early to secure your spot in this limited nine-unit community. Photos are for illustrative purposes only and should be used as a guide for what is possible.
-
2025-12-09historical $165,000 850-char remark
Show marketing remark (850 chars)
Welcome to Parkway Mobile Home Estates, a brand-new nine-unit manufactured home community in Delmar, MD designed for residents 50+. Nestled in a peaceful wooded setting, this community offers the perfect blend of privacy and convenience, just minutes from local shops, dining, Salisbury, and a short drive to the beaches. Each home features 2 or 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, modern finishes, open layouts, and covered front porches ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Buyers can also choose from add-on options such as carports, storage sheds, upgraded appliance packages, enhanced landscaping, or screened porches to personalize their new home. Pre-construction pricing is available now—reserve early to secure your spot in this limited nine-unit community. Photos are for illustrative purposes only and should be used as a guide for what is possible.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,625
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,872
- − Management
- −$1,872
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $1,262
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$303
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,670/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This home is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from some cosmetic updates to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.
- Both Upgrading the front porch railings — Modernizing the front porch can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the front porch railings — Modernizing the front porch can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wicomico County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400690
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,745
- Composite
- 18.87/100
- National rank
- #8860
- State rank
- #19 of 24 in MD
Livability — Delmar
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #11130
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,455
Population outlook (Wicomico County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 108,548 people
- By 2030
- 111,783 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 118,139 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 123,641 · +13.9%
- By 2075
- 139,784 · +28.8%
- By 2100
- 145,334 · +33.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 9% Korean 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wicomico
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.5) · D 46.1% · R 51.5% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.3pp no change · 2008: -5.8pp · 2024: -5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.5 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+6.9 2008: R+5.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.12%
- Current HPI
- 247.5758
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+6.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-01 Listed $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-09 Coming Soon $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…