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30101 Niblett Ct
C+ Composite 62.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.4/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

30101 Niblett Ct · Delmar, MD 21875
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · SingleFamily · 141 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition $179/sqft · 13% below area Est $202k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Parkway Mobile Home Estates, a brand-new nine-unit manufactured home community in Delmar, MD designed for residents 50+. Nestled in a peaceful wooded setting, this community offers the perfect blend of privacy and convenience, just minutes from local shops, dining, Salisbury, and a short drive to the beaches. Each home features 2 or 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, modern finishes, open layouts, and covered front porches ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Buyers can also choose from add-on options such as carports, storage sheds, upgraded appliance packages, enhanced landscaping, or screened porches to personalize their new home. Pre-construction pricing is available now—reserve early to secure your spot in this limited nine-unit community. Photos are for illustrative purposes only and should be used as a guide for what is possible.

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2026
  • Listed 140 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $331 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 5.2% in Delmar — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#222 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wicomico County Public Schools (urban): math 16% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #19 of 24 in MD (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Wicomico County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wicomico County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $154,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.56%
Cash-on-cash
8.11%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$201,559
List price
$175,000
Delta
-13.18%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9333 Colonial Mill Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 960 (-2%) 1mo $109,900 $114 68
9241 Clare Cir 0.56mi 3/2.0 896 (-9%) 2mo $51,500 $57 58
8798 Bi State Blvd 0.60mi 3/1.0 960 (-2%) 8mo $235,000 $245 58
8811 Archid Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 933 (-5%) 17mo $105,000 $113 55
9219 Green Isle Cir 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,000 (+2%) 18mo $55,000 $55 51
9328 Colonial Mill Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 910 (-7%) 20mo $69,900 $77 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.9%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-7,239
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
5.8%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$20,971
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21875

Home prices YoY
-12.7%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,950 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax est. 1.5%
$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$331

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,531
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $452 -5% $392 +0% $331 +5% $271 +10% $210
Rent -10% $177 -5% $254 +0% $331 +5% $408 +10% $485
Rate -1.0pp $419 -0.5pp $376 base $331 +0.5pp $286 +1.0pp $240

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8650 Barbara Ann Way Delmar, MD 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1547 $1,950 $1.26 44d 12 0.88mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $175,000 Active 141 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 138 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 137 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 136 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 135 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $175,000 Active 133 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 132 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $175,000 Active 130 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 129 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 128 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 127 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 123 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 122 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 121 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 120 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $175,000 Active 119 DOM
  17. 2026-02-06
    price $175,000 850-char remark
    Show marketing remark (850 chars)

    Welcome to Parkway Mobile Home Estates, a brand-new nine-unit manufactured home community in Delmar, MD designed for residents 50+. Nestled in a peaceful wooded setting, this community offers the perfect blend of privacy and convenience, just minutes from local shops, dining, Salisbury, and a short drive to the beaches. Each home features 2 or 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, modern finishes, open layouts, and covered front porches ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Buyers can also choose from add-on options such as carports, storage sheds, upgraded appliance packages, enhanced landscaping, or screened porches to personalize their new home. Pre-construction pricing is available now—reserve early to secure your spot in this limited nine-unit community. Photos are for illustrative purposes only and should be used as a guide for what is possible.

  18. 2026-02-01
    listed $165,000 Active 850-char remark
    Show marketing remark (850 chars)

    Welcome to Parkway Mobile Home Estates, a brand-new nine-unit manufactured home community in Delmar, MD designed for residents 50+. Nestled in a peaceful wooded setting, this community offers the perfect blend of privacy and convenience, just minutes from local shops, dining, Salisbury, and a short drive to the beaches. Each home features 2 or 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, modern finishes, open layouts, and covered front porches ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Buyers can also choose from add-on options such as carports, storage sheds, upgraded appliance packages, enhanced landscaping, or screened porches to personalize their new home. Pre-construction pricing is available now—reserve early to secure your spot in this limited nine-unit community. Photos are for illustrative purposes only and should be used as a guide for what is possible.

  19. 2025-12-09
    historical $165,000 850-char remark
    Show marketing remark (850 chars)

    Welcome to Parkway Mobile Home Estates, a brand-new nine-unit manufactured home community in Delmar, MD designed for residents 50+. Nestled in a peaceful wooded setting, this community offers the perfect blend of privacy and convenience, just minutes from local shops, dining, Salisbury, and a short drive to the beaches. Each home features 2 or 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, modern finishes, open layouts, and covered front porches ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Buyers can also choose from add-on options such as carports, storage sheds, upgraded appliance packages, enhanced landscaping, or screened porches to personalize their new home. Pre-construction pricing is available now—reserve early to secure your spot in this limited nine-unit community. Photos are for illustrative purposes only and should be used as a guide for what is possible.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,400
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,625
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,872
− Management
−$1,872
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$1,262
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$303
After-tax cash flow
$3,670/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from some cosmetic updates to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrading the front porch railings — Modernizing the front porch can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrading the front porch railings — Modernizing the front porch can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wicomico County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400690
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$51,745
Composite
18.87/100
National rank
#8860
State rank
#19 of 24 in MD

Livability — Delmar

Score
67/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#11130

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,455

Population outlook (Wicomico County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
108,548 people
By 2030
111,783 · +3.0%
By 2040
118,139 · +8.8%
By 2050
123,641 · +13.9%
By 2075
139,784 · +28.8%
By 2100
145,334 · +33.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 6% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 9% Korean 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wicomico

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.5) · D 46.1% · R 51.5% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
+0.3pp no change · 2008: -5.8pp · 2024: -5.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.5 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+6.9 2008: R+5.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.12%
Current HPI
247.5758
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+6.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-01 Listed $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-09 Coming Soon $165,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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