1629 Verdin Rd · Fort Worth, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in the back of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom, walk-in closet and direct access to an outdoor space. There are two secondary bedrooms that are both ideal for household members and overnight guests.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Open floorplan
- En-suite bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $211k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($317/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (10.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $188k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.0% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Everman ISD (suburban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #691 of 826 in TX (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: John And Polly Townley El (math 15% / reading 21%, grade F, #3,785 of 4,322 statewide, top 88%, 365 students, 95% FRL); Charles Baxter J H (math 19% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,200 of 1,662 statewide, top 73%, 769 students, 94% FRL); Everman H S (math 15% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,250 of 1,632 statewide, top 77%, 1,740 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 77% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 686 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 99d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 82% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.54%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $246,999
- List price
- $210,999
- Delta
- -14.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1619 Verdin Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,192 (0%) | 0mo | $195,999 | $164 | 100 |
| 1614 Verdin Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,192 (0%) | 2mo | $184,999 | $155 | 98 |
| 1620 Verdin Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,192 (0%) | 2mo | $185,999 | $156 | 98 |
| 1617 Verdin Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,192 (0%) | 3mo | $185,999 | $156 | 98 |
| 1661 Black Kite Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (+6%) | 1mo | $245,859 | $194 | 85 |
| 1656 Black Kite Ln | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (+6%) | 1mo | $247,499 | $195 | 83 |
| 1632 Black Kite Ln | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (+6%) | 2mo | $243,499 | $192 | 82 |
| 1608 Black Kite Ln | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (+6%) | 3mo | $277,499 | $219 | 80 |
| 1533 Orange Tree Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,201 (+1%) | 4mo | $279,990 | $233 | 79 |
| 1624 Verdin Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,033 (-13%) | 2mo | $174,999 | $169 | 76 |
| 1638 Verdin Rd | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,033 (-13%) | 0mo | $183,999 | $178 | 66 |
| 1344 Castle Ridge Rd | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,030 (-14%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $112 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-37,789
- Equity at exit
- $31,461
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-51,192
- Equity at exit
- $18,243
Cash invested: $59,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 53 active · 49 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.6 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $258,499 ($193/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 24 d
- This list price
- 28% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +7.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 76140
- Home prices YoY
- -21.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 686
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,879 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,107
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$264 /mo · $3,165/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $26
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $172 | -5% $99 | +0% $26 | +5% $-46 | +10% $-119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-122 | -5% $-48 | +0% $26 | +5% $101 | +10% $175 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $133 | -0.5pp $80 | base $26 | +0.5pp $-28 | +1.0pp $-84 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,750
- Closing costs
- $6,330
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1617 Verdin Rd Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,700 | $1.43 | 10d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1633 Limpkin Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,905 | $1.50 | 184d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1644 Limpkin Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $1,860 | $1.33 | 184d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1612 Limpkin Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,925 | $1.36 | 184d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1638 Verdin RD Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1033 | $1,650 | $1.60 | 3d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1500 Silver Oak Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1243 | $1,875 | $1.51 | 113d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1436 Mahogany Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $2,100 | $1.51 | 93d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1617 Crested Way Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $2,200 | $1.56 | 184d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1528 Pine Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1285 | $1,685 | $1.31 | 69d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1508 Pine Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,599 | $1.46 | 184d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1461 Pine Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,659 | $1.31 | 122d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1680 Crested Way Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,895 | $1.34 | 153d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1412 Silver Oak Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 72d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1456 Pine Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,600 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1437 Pine Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,850 | $1.57 | 57d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1452 Pine Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1098 | $1,595 | $1.45 | 161d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1408 Silver Spruce Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 159d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1433 Pine Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1316 | $2,075 | $1.58 | 184d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1424 Pine Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1332 | $1,590 | $1.19 | 153d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 10628 Wild Oak Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1312 | $1,670 | $1.27 | 123d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 10716 Wild Oak Dr Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,595 | $1.49 | 161d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1421 Castle Ridge Rd Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,765 | $1.39 | 133d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1413 Castle Ridge Rd Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $1,795 | $1.26 | 38d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 10745 Many Oaks Dr Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 997 | $1,595 | $1.60 | 165d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 10636 Many Oaks Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1326 | $1,399 | $1.06 | 90d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 10636 Many Oaks Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1326 | $1,399 | $1.06 | 10d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1336 Castle Ridge Rd Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1468 | $1,775 | $1.21 | 96d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1341 Castle Ridge Rd Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,575 | $1.53 | 91d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 10752 Many Oaks Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1312 | $1,755 | $1.34 | 132d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1429 Royal Meadows Trl Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1468 | $1,995 | $1.36 | 80d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1300 Hazelnut Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $1,860 | $1.28 | 10d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1800 Oak Grove Rd E Burleson, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $2,070 | $1.49 | 82d | 3 | 0.60mi |
| 1800 Oak Grove Rd E Burleson, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1560 | $1,875 | $1.20 | 0d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1500 Four Seasons Ln Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 876 | $1,400 | $1.60 | 3d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1456 Palamedes Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $2,000 | $1.52 | 145d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 9117 S Race St Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,408 | $1.31 | 29d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 9085 S Race St Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,198 | $1.12 | 64d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1121 Sandalwood Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1363 | $1,800 | $1.32 | 93d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 9700 Sierra Grande Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $1,795 | $1.36 | 99d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1316 Talton Ave Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $2,225 | $1.69 | 130d | 1 | 0.87mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-08remarks 394-char remark
-
2026-06-08$210,999 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,551
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,819
- − Property taxes
- −$3,165
- − Insurance
- −$1,055
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,804
- − Management
- −$1,804
- − Depreciation
- −$6,138
- Taxable loss
- −$3,234
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$776
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,094/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This single-level home is in excellent condition with a spacious open floorplan and modern finishes. It is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and some landscaping to further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Everman ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818810
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,803
- Composite
- 22.77/100
- National rank
- #8027
- State rank
- #691 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fort Worth
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #1954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Worth, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,380,417 people
- City population
- 911,619
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,321
- Household income
- $75,955
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15% of renters
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 39% Black 35% White 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 32% Vietnamese 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.54%
- Current HPI
- 285.9894
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.11%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…