12040 Diplomacy Ave · High Point, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Priced to Sell! This two-bedroom, two-bath home offers a private setting with no rear neighbors, backing on the golf course property. The property features a carport and a spacious storage area and is vacant and easy to show. While the home could use some TLC, it presents a great opportunity to make it your own. Located in the desirable 55+ High Point Golf Community, residents enjoy an array of amenities including golf, tennis, pickleball, a heated pool, clubhouse, social activities, and much more. Don't miss this chance to enjoy the active Florida lifestyle at an affordable price.
Key facts
- Golf course property
- No rear neighbors
- Carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with $46 monthly fee; Located in a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Single-story
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; On golf course; Asphalt road access; County road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Has heating (other); Ceiling fans for cooling; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $717 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 5.8% in High Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#677 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Pine Grove Elementary School (math 60% / reading 45%, grade C-, #976 of 2,144 statewide, top 46%, 991 students, 60% FRL); West Hernando Middle School (math 36% / reading 37%, grade F, #405 of 571 statewide, top 72%, 695 students, 58% FRL); Central High School (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #312 of 667 statewide, top 48%, 1,426 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 695 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $34k; list at $90k implies a 161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.16%
- DSCR
- 2.52
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $120,744
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7528 Western Circle Dr | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,026 (-1%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $102 | 91 |
| 12087 Club House Rd | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 984 (-5%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $127 | 86 |
| 12112 Sara St | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,009 (-2%) | 2mo | $114,000 | $113 | 86 |
| 7444 Highpoint Blvd | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,104 (+7%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $127 | 77 |
| 8043 Little Tee Ln | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+12%) | 2mo | $112,400 | $98 | 75 |
| 7359 Highpoint | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 984 (-5%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $137 | 74 |
| 12075 Walshwood Ave | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,104 (+7%) | 0mo | $107,084 | $97 | 72 |
| 9100 Highpoint Blvd | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (+1%) | 2mo | $177,000 | $170 | 72 |
| 12306 Club House Rd | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+12%) | 2mo | $149,900 | $130 | 61 |
| 12260 Hallmark Ave | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+12%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $91 | 60 |
| 8221 Highpoint Blvd | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+12%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $74 | 60 |
| 12041 Fairway Ave | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+12%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $117 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $31,160
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 36.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.43×
- Total profit
- $86,269
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34613
- Home prices YoY
- -17.2%
- Active inventory
- 695
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,826 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,049/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$46
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $717
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $767 | -5% $742 | +0% $717 | +5% $691 | +10% $666 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $572 | -5% $644 | +0% $717 | +5% $789 | +10% $861 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $762 | -0.5pp $739 | base $717 | +0.5pp $693 | +1.0pp $670 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7405 Western Circle Dr Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 12136 Fairway Ave Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,650 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 12103 Fairway Ave Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,725 | $2.00 | 2d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 7402 Eastern Circle Dr Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,200 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 13109 Lola Dr Spring Hill, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1483 | $4,900 | $3.30 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $46 · $552/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 588-char remark
-
2026-06-17$89,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,049 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,049 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,906
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$2,049
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,752
- − Management
- −$1,752
- − HOA
- −$552
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $7,700
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,848
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,750/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hernando
- NCES district ID
- 1200810
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,985
- Composite
- 42.03/100
- National rank
- #3329
- State rank
- #38 of 73 in FL
Livability — High Point
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #677
- US rank
- #14099
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- High Point, FL
- County
- Hernando County · 169,677 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,337
- Household income
- $58,596
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 307.0
Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,218 people
- By 2030
- 194,367 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 203,398 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 209,589 · +10.8%
- By 2075
- 218,452 · +15.4%
- By 2100
- 205,923 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hernando
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.51%
- Current HPI
- 276.2229
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+190.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $89,900 HCAR
- 2019-11-11 Listing Removed — HCAR
- 2012-06-29 Listed $34,900 HCAR
- 2001-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records
- 2001-11-15 Sold (MLS) $36,000 HCAR
- 2001-10-02 Listed $36,000 HCAR
- 1998-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+22.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,049 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…