CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1307 Ocean Shores Blvd Blvd SW Unit N14
F Composite 31.99
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.0/30.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,500

1307 Ocean Shores Blvd Blvd SW Unit N14 · Ocean Shores, WA 98569
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 771 sqft · Condo · 117 Days on market
Built 2005 Fair condition $129/sqft · 56% below area $590/mo HOA · 45% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Take a look at this affordable ground floor ocean front condo. Needs some upgrades but the price is right. Being sold "As Is". Imagine living on the beach listening to the crashing waves of the Pacific Ocean. This 1st-floor, easy access, north corner condo is located in the Ocean Crest North building, which features an elevator, 2 access stairs, fire sprinklers, and enclosed outdoor hallways. This condo features an open design with a slider to the patio. Kitchen with counter, all appliances, plenty of cabinet and counter space, and a closet with the stackable washer/dryer. Large open bedroom and a 3/4 bath.

Key facts

  • North corner condo
  • Slider to patio
  • Open design

Tags

GROUND FLOOR OCEAN FRONTNORTH CORNER CONDOOPEN DESIGNSLIDER TO PATIOKITCHEN WITH COUNTERPLENTY OF CABINET SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-237 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $65k (34.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $65k (34.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#424 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • North Beach School District (rural): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #236 of 291 in WA (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ocean Shores Elementary (240 students, 76% FRL); North Beach Junior High School (162 students, 78% FRL); North Beach Senior High School (177 students, 63% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 802 active listings in the ZIP; 297 units permitted in Grays Harbor County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grays Harbor County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $62k (39%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $80k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 45% of rent.
Recommended offer $65,272 (34.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
3.44%
Cash-on-cash
-10.19%
DSCR
0.55
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$225,315
List price
$99,500
Delta
-55.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1307 Ocean Shores Blvd SW Unit N24 0.00mi 1/1.0 771 (0%) 6mo $205,000 $266 95
1317 Ocean Shores Blvd SW #4 0.05mi 1/1.0 740 (-4%) 6mo $315,000 $426 86
1307 Ocean Shores Blvd Unit N52 0.00mi 1/1.0 855 (+11%) 4mo $197,900 $231 78
442 Sportsmens St SW 0.36mi 1/1.0 768 (-0%) 8mo $280,000 $365 76
1341 Ocean Shores Blvd SW #5 0.13mi 1/1.5 673 (-13%) 4mo $315,000 $468 67
1129 Fairwood Dr SW 0.52mi 2/2.0 (+1) 720 (-7%) 6mo $305,250 $424 51
1407 Ocean Shores Blvd SW Unit 3S-E 0.32mi 2/2.0 (+1) 950 (+23%) 6mo $4,500 $5 46
1056 1057 Greenview Ave SW 0.89mi 2/1.0 (+1) 840 (+9%) 1mo $222,500 $265 44
1407 Ocean Shores Blvd SW Unit 1N-I 0.33mi 2/2.0 (+1) 950 (+23%) 10mo $3,000 $3 42
416 S Bel Air Loop SW 0.39mi 2/1.5 (+1) 960 (+24%) 9mo $320,000 $333 42
486 Winlock St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (+1) 884 (+15%) 9mo $349,000 $395 31
1037 Brentwood Ct SW 0.96mi 2/1.0 (+1) 672 (-13%) 10mo $250,000 $372 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-33.9%
Equity multiple
-0.11×
Total profit
$-30,806
Equity at exit
$14,836
10-year hold
IRR
-39.0%
Equity multiple
-0.60×
Total profit
$-44,671
Equity at exit
$8,603

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98569

Home prices YoY
-3.4%
Active inventory
802
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,318 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,492/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$590
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$-237

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,617
Max offer price $65,272
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-168 -5% $-202 +0% $-237 +5% $-271 +10% $-305
Rent -10% $-341 -5% $-289 +0% $-237 +5% $-184 +10% $-132
Rate -1.0pp $-186 -0.5pp $-211 base $-237 +0.5pp $-262 +1.0pp $-289

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,875
Closing costs
$2,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Building name: Ocean CrestCalculated building area: 771 square feet
Financial info
Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
HOA & community
HOA present; monthly association fee of $590Association fee includes common area maintenance, sewer, trash, and waterAssociation contact: Peter RobinsonBuilding amenities: elevator, fire sprinklers, outside entry20 units in the community

Exterior

Parking
Off-street parking
Security
Fire sprinklers in buildingOutside entry
Utilities
Electric energy sourceElectric water heaterWater service: City of Ocean ShoresSewer service: City of Ocean ShoresPower: GH PUD
Home design
Attached condominiumOne-level condo styleMulti-family building (Ocean Crest)Ground-floor entryFaces eastUnit on floor 1 of a 5-story buildingUnit offers unit-level view
Construction
Cement and wood constructionComposition roof
Exterior features
Cement/Concrete and wood exteriorAdjacent to public landPaved access

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherGarbage disposalMicrowaveRefrigeratorStove/Range
Bedrooms
1 bedroom on the main level
Flooring
Ceramic tileLaminate
Bathrooms
One three-quarter bathroom (main level) with a shower
Heating & cooling
Wall furnace heatingNo central cooling
Interior features
Water heaterWindow blindsBalcony/Deck/Patio (unit feature)End unitGround floor unitUnit has a view
Laundry & utility
WasherDryer

HOA detail $590/mo · $7,080/yr condo

Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-07-29
    days on market $99,500 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-07-27
    days on market $99,500 Active 115 DOM
  3. 2026-07-25
    days on market $99,500 Active 113 DOM
  4. 2026-07-23
    days on market $99,500 Active 111 DOM
  5. 2026-07-22
    days on market $99,500 Active 110 DOM
  6. 2026-07-21
    days on market $99,500 Active 109 DOM
  7. 2026-07-18
    days on market $99,500 Active 106 DOM
  8. 2026-07-16
    days on market $99,500 Active 104 DOM
  9. 2026-07-16
    days on market $99,500 Active 103 DOM
  10. 2026-07-14
    days on market $99,500 Active 102 DOM
  11. 2026-07-13
    days on market $99,500 Active 101 DOM
  12. 2026-07-12
    days on market $99,500 Active 100 DOM
  13. 2026-07-11
    days on market $99,500 Active 99 DOM
  14. 2026-07-10
    days on market $99,500 Active 98 DOM
  15. 2026-07-09
    days on market $99,500 Active 97 DOM
  16. 2026-07-08
    days on market $99,500 Active 96 DOM
  17. 2026-07-07
    days on market $99,500 Active 95 DOM
  18. 2026-07-06
    days on market $99,500 Active 94 DOM
  19. 2026-07-05
    days on market $99,500 Active 93 DOM
  20. 2026-07-04
    days on market $99,500 Active 92 DOM
  21. 2026-07-03
    days on market $99,500 Active 91 DOM
  22. 2026-07-02
    days on market $99,500 Active 90 DOM
  23. 2026-07-01
    days on market $99,500 Active 89 DOM
  24. 2026-06-30
    days on market $99,500 Active 88 DOM
  25. 2026-06-29
    days on market $99,500 Active 87 DOM
  26. 2026-06-28
    days on market $99,500 Active 86 DOM
  27. 2026-06-27
    days on market $99,500 Active 85 DOM
  28. 2026-06-26
    days on market $99,500 Active 83 DOM
  29. 2026-06-22
    days on market $99,500 Active 80 DOM
  30. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,500 Active 77 DOM
  31. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,500 Active 76 DOM
  32. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,500 Active 75 DOM
  33. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,500 Active 74 DOM
  34. 2026-06-16
    price $99,500 Active 73 DOM
  35. 2026-06-15
    days on market $144,900 Active 73 DOM
  36. 2026-06-14
    days on market $144,900 Active 71 DOM
  37. 2026-06-12
    days on market $144,900 Active 70 DOM
  38. 2026-06-09
    days on market $144,900 Active 67 DOM
  39. 2026-06-08
    days on market $144,900 Active 66 DOM
  40. 2026-06-07
    days on market $144,900 Active 65 DOM
  41. 2026-06-05
    days on market $144,900 Active 62 DOM
  42. 2026-06-03
    days on market $144,900 Active 61 DOM
  43. 2026-06-02
    days on market $144,900 Active 60 DOM
  44. 2026-06-01
    days on market $144,900 Active 59 DOM
  45. 2026-05-31
    days on market $144,900 Active 58 DOM
  46. 2026-05-30
    days on market $144,900 Active 57 DOM
  47. 2026-05-03
    price $144,900
  48. 2026-04-03
    listed $162,000 Active
  49. 2025-01-02
    historical $1,350
  50. 2024-12-20
    listed $1,350

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,814
− Mortgage interest
−$5,574
− Property taxes
−$1,492
− Insurance
−$498
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,265
− Management
−$1,265
− HOA
−$7,080
− Depreciation
−$2,895
Taxable loss
−$4,254
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,021
After-tax cash flow
$-1,817/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $19,275–$34,695 screening

This affordable oceanfront condo requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include exterior landscaping, interior painting, and replacing worn carpet.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior landscaping — Signage area is overgrown and needs trimming
  • Major hallway carpet — Worn and dirty, needs replacement
  • Minor door frames — Slight damage, can be repaired

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the appearance and value of the property
  • Both Replace worn carpet in hallway — New carpet will enhance the aesthetic and functionality of the space
  • Both Landscaping and exterior maintenance — A well-maintained exterior can significantly boost curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

Zoned Schools

Elementary Ocean Shores Elementary Middle North Beach Junior High School High North Beach Senior High School

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Beach School District
NCES district ID
5305700
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$40,966
Composite
34.46/100
National rank
#10153
State rank
#236 of 291 in WA
C Composite livability gradescore 62/100

Livability — Ocean Shores

Score
62/100
State rank
#424
US rank
#16852

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocean Shores, WA
County
Grays Harbor County · 66,443 people
City population
7,187
Metro
Aberdeen, WA
Population (ZIP)
7,489
Household income
$58,378
Rent vs Own
17.0% rent · 83.0% own
Severe rent burden
7% of renters

Population outlook (Grays Harbor County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,443 people
By 2030
63,255 · -4.8%
By 2040
56,466 · -15.0%
By 2050
50,516 · -24.0%
By 2075
39,296 · -40.9%
By 2100
31,142 · -53.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3% Native American 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 8% Iranian 5% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Grays Harbor

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.0) · D 45.6% · R 51.6% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -6.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.0 2020: R+6.6 2016: R+7.1 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+17.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $99,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $144,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $162,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-02 Rental Removed $1,350 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-12-20 Listed for Rent $1,350 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-06-22 Rental Removed APPFOLIO
  • 2017-09-01 Sold (MLS) $80,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-08-18 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-08-16 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-07-13 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-03-27 Listed $85,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…