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4540 Joplin Ct
D- Composite 38.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.9/15.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,999

4540 Joplin Ct · Spartanburg, SC 29307
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,674 sqft · Townhouse · 58 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 3,485 sqft lot $131/sqft · at area comps Est $222k · at est. $150/mo HOA · 8% of rent ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The Nassau Cove truly lives up to its name. Enter this attached home through the 1-car garage and find a light-filled, airy floor plan. The great room flows into the dinette and kitchen area, so you never miss a moment with friends or family around the island. The kitchen’s large center island overlooks both the inviting great room and the formal dining space. Entertain family and friends here or outside on the covered outdoor patio. The main level also includes your luxury owner’s suite, which features a dual vanity bath and huge walk-in closet. Upstairs, you’ll find two spacious bedrooms, a full bath, and extra storage.

Key facts

  • Luxury owners suite
  • 1 car garage
  • Great room

Tags

1 CAR GARAGELIGHT FILLED FLOOR PLANGREAT ROOMCOVERED OUTDOOR PATIOLUXURY OWNERS SUITEDUAL VANITY BATH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $220k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-189 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (12.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (14.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.3% in Spartanburg — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#24 in SC, #3,679 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Spartanburg 07 (urban): math 34% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #39 of 80 in SC (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Drayton Mills Elementary (math 20% / reading 22%, grade F, #488 of 597 statewide, top 82%, 751 students, 100% FRL); Mccracken Middle (math 41% / reading 49%, grade D, #48 of 229 statewide, top 22%, 926 students, 78% FRL); Spartanburg High (math 67% / reading 79%, grade B+, #44 of 196 statewide, top 23%, 2,056 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 62% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 416 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 109d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,129 units permitted in Spartanburg County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Spartanburg County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $187,568 (14.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.26%
Cash-on-cash
-3.67%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$221,758
List price
$219,999
Delta
-0.79%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4315 Joplin Ct 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,674 (0%) 1mo $239,999 $143 98
4295 Joplin Ct 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,674 (0%) 1mo $213,999 $128 98
4288 Joplin Ct 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,674 (0%) 9mo $234,999 $140 91
4264 Joplin Ct 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,674 (0%) 11mo $223,000 $133 88
4411 Duparc Way 0.17mi 3/2.5 1,656 (-1%) 3mo $200,000 $121 88
4245 Joplin Ct 0.08mi 3/2.5 1,674 (0%) 11mo $227,999 $136 87
4420 Duparc Way 0.19mi 3/2.5 1,656 (-1%) 4mo $229,000 $138 86
4547 Duparc Way 0.30mi 3/2.5 1,674 (0%) 1mo $215,000 $128 85
4464 Duparc Way 0.23mi 3/2.5 1,656 (-1%) 15mo $244,500 $148 75
4463 Duparc Way 0.21mi 3/2.5 1,670 (-0%) 19mo $217,000 $130 74

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.4%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-51,891
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
-32.2%
Equity multiple
-0.25×
Total profit
$-77,193
Equity at exit
$19,021

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
26 active · 13 under contract
Months of supply
9.8 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$214,999 ($134/sqft)
Median days on market
59 d
This list price
65% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-1.3% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 29307

Home prices YoY
-17.7%
Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
416
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,876 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax est. 1.5%
$275 /mo · $3,300/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$150
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$-189

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,114
Max offer price $192,712
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-37 -5% $-113 +0% $-189 +5% $-265 +10% $-341
Rent -10% $-337 -5% $-263 +0% $-189 +5% $-114 +10% $-40
Rate -1.0pp $-78 -0.5pp $-133 base $-189 +0.5pp $-246 +1.0pp $-304

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
499 Mill Park Way Spartanburg, SC 4.0 3.0 2165 $2,700 $1.25 6d 1 1.23mi
484 Mill Park Way Unit 1 Spartanburg, SC 3.0 3.0 1560 $2,200 $1.41 109d 1 1.26mi
476 Mill Park Way Spartanburg, SC 3.0 2.5 1581 $1,800 $1.14 6d 1 1.27mi
253 Pebble Rock Cir #2 Spartanburg, SC 2.0 2.0 1056 $975 $0.92 116d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-29
    days on market $219,999 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-28
    days on market $219,999 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-28
    days on market $219,999 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-27
    days on market $219,999 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-25
    days on market $219,999 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-23
    days on market $219,999 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-21
    days on market $219,999 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,999 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,999 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,999 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,999 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-14
    days on market $219,999 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-13
    days on market $219,999 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-06-10
    days on market $219,999 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,999 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,999 Active 37 DOM
  17. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,999 Active 36 DOM
  18. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,999 Active 31 DOM
  19. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,999 Active 30 DOM
  20. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,999 Active 29 DOM
  21. 2026-05-30
    days on market $219,999 Active 28 DOM
  22. 2026-05-02
    price $219,999
  23. 2026-05-02
    listed $239,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,508
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$3,300
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,801
− Management
−$1,801
− HOA
−$1,800
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$6,016
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,444
After-tax cash flow
$-819/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This new construction townhouse is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good ROI with minor updates to enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Interior paint touch-ups — Fresh paint can make a home more inviting
  • Both Kitchen appliances — Upgrading appliances can increase both resale and rental value
F Composite school gradezoned avg 46/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Drayton Mills Elementary F SC #488/597 Nat'l #33,016/41,679 Middle Mccracken Middle D SC #48/229 Nat'l #4,622/14,009 High Spartanburg High B+ SC #44/196 Nat'l #1,820/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Spartanburg 07
NCES district ID
4503660
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$35,825
Composite
31.04/100
National rank
#6087
State rank
#39 of 80 in SC
B Composite livability gradescore 76/100

Livability — Spartanburg

Score
76/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#3679

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Spartanburg County · 325,495 people
City population
120,406
Metro
Spartanburg, SC
Population (ZIP)
19,115
Household income
$65,850
Rent vs Own
25.9% rent · 74.1% own
Severe rent burden
9% of renters

Population outlook (Spartanburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
325,495 people
By 2030
338,800 · +4.1%
By 2040
363,471 · +11.7%
By 2050
384,156 · +18.0%
By 2075
430,137 · +32.1%
By 2100
442,733 · +36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 20% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Spartanburg

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-12.0pp toward R · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -33.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.6 2020: R+27.3 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+23.1 2008: R+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-8.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $219,999 SPMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $239,999 SPMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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